How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks 3 Wild 4 -5.9
-0.6
Sharks 1 Stars 3 -5.6
-0.6
Sharks 1 Oilers 4 -5.6
-0.6
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 -5.6
-0.6
Sharks 3 Hurricanes 4 -5.6
-0.6
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 -5.5
-0.6
Sharks 0 Capitals 1 -5.4
-0.5
Stars 4 Sharks 3 -5.3
-0.5
Sharks 2 Rangers 5 -5.3
-0.6
Sharks 1 Panthers 2 -5.2
-0.5
Wild 4 Sharks 3 -5.0
-0.5
Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 -5.0
-0.5
Penguins 4 Sharks 0 -4.9
-0.5
Oilers 1 Sharks 5 +4.9
+0.5
Blues 2 Sharks 0 -4.8
-0.5
Ducks 3 Sharks 4 +4.7
+0.5
Stars 3 Sharks 5 +4.7
+0.5
Flyers 5 Sharks 3 -4.7
-0.5
Red Wings 3 Sharks 6 +4.6
+0.5
Blues 0 Sharks 2 +4.6
+0.5
Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 +4.6
+0.5
Rangers 3 Sharks 2 -4.5
-0.5
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)+4.4
+0.4
Devils 3 Sharks 5 +4.3
+0.4
Blackhawks 3 Sharks 7 +4.3
+0.5
Senators 1 Sharks 4 +4.2
+0.4
Sharks 5 Avalanche 0 +4.2
+0.4
Maple Leafs 1 Sharks 2 +4.1
+0.4
Sharks 6 Flames 3 +3.9
+0.4
Sharks 4 Kings 1 +3.9
+0.4
Sharks 4 Flames 3 +3.8
+0.4
Blackhawks 1 Sharks 2 (ot)+3.8
+0.4
Sharks 3 Blackhawks 1 +3.7
+0.4
Sharks 5 Flyers 1 +3.3
+0.3
Sharks 5 Sabres 2 +3.3
+0.3
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 +3.1
+0.3
Sharks 6 Oilers 5 (so)+2.9
+0.3
Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so)+2.5
+0.3
Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 +1.0
Flames 0 Rangers 5 +0.9
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 +0.8
Red Wings 6 Islanders 1 -0.7
Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 +0.7
Lightning 4 Wild 3 +0.7
Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 +0.7
Senators 1 Stars 4 *-0.7
-0.1
Flames 0 Predators 4 *+0.6
Stars 4 Penguins 2 *-0.6
Kings 3 Islanders 1 *-0.6
Blues 2 Bruins 3 (so)*-0.6
Capitals 5 Panthers 4 (so)*-0.6
Coyotes 7 Islanders 5 *-0.4
Bruins 4 Hurricanes 5 *+0.4
Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so)*-0.4
+0.0
Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 *-0.2
Capitals 5 Red Wings 1 *+0.2
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 *+0.2
Stars 1 Senators 2 *+0.2
Kings 5 Bruins 2 *-0.0
Panthers 3 Sharks 2 (ot)*+0.1
*+0.0
Penguins 6 Stars 1 +0.1
Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot)*-0.0
Coyotes 5 Sabres 4 -0.0
Devils 2 Flames 4 *-0.0
Avalanche 5 Ducks 4 (ot)*-0.0
Stars 1 Flames 2 +0.0
Red Wings 3 Coyotes 2 (so)*-0.0
Blackhawks 4 Stars 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sharks vs Blue Jackets+1.8+0.8+1.7*-0.6-0.9-3.5
+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Sharks vs Red Wings+1.7+1.2+2.0*-0.5-0.9-3.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Sharks vs Blue Jackets+1.7+1.1+1.4*-1.0-1.3-3.4
+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.3
Red Wings vs Sharks-2.9*-0.3*-0.4+1.1+1.5+2.1
-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Sharks vs Red Wings+1.7+1.3*+0.8*-0.6*-0.5-3.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Blue Jackets vs Sharks-2.9-0.8*-0.9+1.5+1.6+1.9
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Blue Jackets vs Sharks-2.8*-0.5*-0.6+1.3+1.5+1.9
-0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Sharks vs Devils+0.8+1.3*+0.4-3.3*-0.7-3.4
+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.4
Flames vs Sharks-2.7*-0.6*-1.0+1.8+1.1+1.5
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.2
Ducks vs Sharks-2.1*+0.3*+0.2+2.4+2.2+1.7
-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3
Sharks vs Blackhawks+1.4+1.0+1.0*-0.7-1.0-3.0
+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Sharks vs Coyotes+1.1+1.4*+0.9*-0.2*-0.8-3.0
+0.1+0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Sharks vs Coyotes+1.1+1.2+1.5*-0.9*-0.4-2.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.4
Sharks vs Predators+1.0+0.8+1.2*-0.5-1.1-3.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Sharks vs Islanders+0.9+1.1+1.0*-0.7-1.4-3.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.4
Thrashers vs Sharks-2.2*-0.1*-0.1+1.8+2.0+1.5
-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Flames vs Sharks-2.7*-0.5*-0.9+1.2+1.2+1.5
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Lightning vs Sharks-2.2*-0.6*-0.2+1.9+1.5+1.3
-0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Sharks-2.6-1.0*-0.9+1.3+1.1+1.5
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Sharks vs Predators+0.9+1.1+1.1*-0.5-1.0-3.0
+0.1+0.1+0.2*-0.1-0.2-0.4
Predators vs Sharks-2.7*-0.5*-0.8+1.4+1.1+1.1
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Sharks-2.5-0.9*-0.4+1.4+1.0+1.5
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Predators vs Sharks-2.6*-0.4*-0.4+1.4+1.0+1.1
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Sharks-2.6*-0.5*-0.1+1.2+1.5+1.3
-0.3*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.2+0.2
Sharks vs Kings+1.3+1.5+1.8*-0.3*-0.1-2.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Sharks vs Stars+1.4+1.3+1.6*-0.6*-0.5-2.3
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.3
Sabres vs Sharks-1.8*+0.3*-0.1+2.2+1.4+1.7
-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Wild vs Sharks-1.9*+0.3*-0.3+1.5+2.0+1.7
-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Oilers vs Sharks-2.1*+0.1*+0.0+1.9+1.7+1.6
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
Islanders vs Sharks-2.8*-0.7*-0.1*+0.7+1.1+1.1
-0.3*-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Avalanche vs Sharks-2.5-1.3*-0.3+1.4+1.2+1.0
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.1
Sharks vs Senators+1.1+1.3+1.5*+0.1*-0.4-2.4
+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.3
Sharks vs Canucks+1.1+1.0+1.1*-0.6-1.2-2.7
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
126-138In10023*
125385-3In94616*
124375-4In94632*
123376-3In8314358*
122366-4In72151399*
121356-5In6916115144*
120357-4In601612020279*
119347-5In49190293428*
118348-4In342213760596*
117338-5In272413891928*
116339-4In192014416101,257*
115329-5In101824423301,762*
1143210-4In51624231502,350*
1133110-5In311238351102,893*
1123010-6In18231411623,549*
1113011-5In04223422444,281*
1102911-6In031164231704,838*
1092912-5In111038391205,607*
1082812-6In001630441906,114*
1072813-5In00321472816,615*
1062713-6100.0%001164535206,607*
1052714-599.901104045404,212*
2815-3In010414442,504*
1042614-699.70053353806,445*
1032615-599.500324591306,201*
1022515-698.80118602015,733*
1012516-597.51125629202,598*
2415-797.10112543032,572*
1002416-694.3075136604,482*
992417-590.6044245913,759*
982317-684.62335014103,130*
972318-572.71234824302,525*
962218-663.30164731511,975*
952219-551.9104238911,604*
942119-638.36324317201,112*
932120-526.6225412650841*
922020-613.92124430112646*
911920-79.0183637144413*
901921-62.7324392591259*
891922-53.64173531121197*
881822-6Out152342163118*
871722-7Out10223923679*
861723-6Out4214225953*
851623-7Out3914462935*
841725-4Out132525388*
831726-3Out1144449*
821626-4Out67333*
811526-5Out1001
801325-8Out50502*
46046-0Out1008
Total:93.5%2208152329134100000100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Sharks 1 Stars 3 +1.2
Sharks 3 Wild 4 +1.2
Sharks 3 Hurricanes 4 +1.2
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 +1.2
Sharks 2 Rangers 5 +1.2
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 +1.2
Sharks 1 Oilers 4 +1.2
Sharks 1 Panthers 2 +1.1
Sharks 0 Capitals 1 +1.1
Stars 4 Sharks 3 +1.1
Penguins 4 Sharks 0 +1.0
Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 +1.0
Wild 4 Sharks 3 +1.0
Blues 2 Sharks 0 +1.0
Flyers 5 Sharks 3 +1.0
Ducks 3 Sharks 4 -1.0
Oilers 1 Sharks 5 -1.0
Rangers 3 Sharks 2 +1.0
Stars 3 Sharks 5 -1.0
Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 -1.0
Blues 0 Sharks 2 -0.9
Red Wings 3 Sharks 6 -0.9
Blackhawks 3 Sharks 7 -0.9
Senators 1 Sharks 4 -0.9
Maple Leafs 1 Sharks 2 -0.9
Devils 3 Sharks 5 -0.9
Sharks 4 Kings 1 -0.8
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)-0.8
Sharks 5 Avalanche 0 -0.8
Blackhawks 1 Sharks 2 (ot)-0.8
Sharks 4 Flames 3 -0.8
Sharks 3 Blackhawks 1 -0.8
Sharks 6 Flames 3 -0.8
Sharks 5 Flyers 1 -0.7
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 -0.7
Sharks 5 Sabres 2 -0.7
Sharks 6 Oilers 5 (so)-0.6
Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so)-0.5
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)*+0.3
Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so)-0.2
Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so)+0.2
Stars 2 Flames 3 (so)*+0.2
Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so)*+0.2
Stars 2 Rangers 1 (so)*+0.2
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)+0.2
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*-0.2
Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot)*+0.2
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 -0.2
Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so)*+0.2
Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so)+0.2
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*-0.1
Ducks 3 Blues 5 -0.1
Stars 4 Penguins 2 +0.1
Kings 3 Islanders 1 +0.1
Red Wings 3 Blues 4 *-0.1
Panthers 3 Sharks 2 (ot)*-0.0
Coyotes 3 Flames 1 *+0.0
Devils 1 Blues 2 -0.0
Stars 1 Flames 2 -0.0
Oilers 4 Rangers 1 +0.0
Red Wings 3 Coyotes 2 (so)*+0.0
Oilers 1 Ducks 6 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sharks vs Stars-0.5-0.3-0.3+0.4+0.2+0.7
Ducks vs Sharks+0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.6
Sharks vs Ducks-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.7
Oilers vs Sharks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Kings vs Sharks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6
Kings vs Sharks+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.6
Sharks vs Red Wings-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Red Wings-0.4-0.3-0.4*+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Kings-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.2+0.6
Flames vs Sharks+0.6+0.2*+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3
Sharks vs Predators-0.2-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.3+0.7
Red Wings vs Sharks+0.6+0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Sharks vs Ducks-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Blue Jackets vs Sharks+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Sharks vs Blue Jackets-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Blackhawks-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.7
Flames vs Sharks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3
Sharks vs Wild-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.1+0.6
Sharks vs Coyotes-0.3-0.3*-0.2*+0.2*+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Senators-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Blue Jackets-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Coyotes-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.7
Canucks vs Sharks+0.7*+0.2*+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3
Avalanche vs Sharks+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Sabres vs Sharks+0.5+0.0+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Hurricanes vs Sharks+0.6+0.1*+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.5
Wild vs Sharks+0.5*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5
Islanders vs Sharks+0.7*+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Thrashers vs Sharks+0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5
Coyotes vs Sharks+0.6+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4
Sharks vs Devils-0.2-0.2*-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.8
Sharks vs Predators-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.2+0.3+0.8
Sharks vs Blues-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.2+0.6
Lightning vs Sharks+0.6*+0.1*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Predators vs Sharks+0.7+0.1+0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3
Canucks vs Sharks+0.6*+0.1+0.2-0.4-0.3-0.3
Blue Jackets vs Sharks+0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Predators vs Sharks+0.7*+0.2*+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Sharks vs Islanders-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.3+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
138460-0100
129403-3100
128393-4100
127394-34060
126373-62575
125385-325696
124375-43916
123376-383953
122366-42709613
121356-5696101132
120357-4159610119220
119347-504951402453
118348-434517130760
117338-502742012712901
116339-41931710281616010
115329-5102162251923030
1143210-4511520182329150
1133110-53011201524323110
1123010-6107208223561602
1113011-5004105183392404
1102911-603102142814301700
1092912-51001920173631200
1082812-600000513173871900
1072813-50000361535122811
1062713-60001312281732320
1052714-500192021387400
1042614-60000511224013800
1032615-5000351935241210
1022515-601216263416310
1012516-501111163920930
1002416-600710411917510
992417-50044381827720
982317-62232133710510
972318-51023841141030
962218-600154431416710
952219-501024011221320
942119-661318262251
932120-52024623301310
922020-62012224351951
911920-7182153823102
901921-630731361572
891922-5461931291011
881822-63162332214
871722-792333288
861723-6219403082
851623-731114263493
841725-425253813
831726-3443322
821626-46733
811526-5100
801325-85050
46046-0100
Total:020200359615817126722110000000