Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2009-2010 50/50Beat Avalanche 7-4, Lost to Blackhawks 2-4, Plays at Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Lost to Blues 1-4, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Plays at Canucks 11:59 PM, Beat Capitals 4-3, Lost to Capitals 1-2, Beat Coyotes 6-4, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Lost to Ducks 4-5, Lost to Flames 2-3, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 3-2, Lost to Hurricanes 1-6, Beat Islanders 5-2, Beat Islanders 3-1, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Lost to Lightning 1-3, Beat Maple Leafs 5-1, Beat Maple Leafs 2-0, Beat Oilers 3-2, Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 3-1, Plays at Penguins 11:59 PM, Lost to Penguins 1-2, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Red Wings 11:59 PM, Lost to Sabres 3-4, Beat Sabres 3-1, Beat Avalanche 5-4, Plays Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Lost to Blue Jackets 2-5, Beat Blues 3-2, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Beat Canadiens 3-0, Lost to Canucks 3-4, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Coyotes 11:59 PM, Beat Devils 3-2, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Flames 6-4, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 5-1, Lost to Hurricanes 3-5, Beat Islanders 4-3 (ot), Beat Islanders 3-1, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Lightning 6-3, Lost to Lightning 1-4, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 4-3, Plays Oilers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 5-3, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Beat Predators 5-3, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Red Wings 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Lost to Sharks 1-4, Lost to Stars 1-4, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 1-4, Plays at Sharks 11:59 PM, Beat Stars 2-1, Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Thrashers 2-7, Plays at Wild 11:59 PM, playoff odds up 18 to 76.1% 50 points 25 17-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday, 9/1 | None | | Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Lightning 3 Senators 1 | -5.7 | | -0.6 | | Senators 3 Hurricanes 5 | -5.7 | | -0.6 | | Penguins 2 Senators 1 | -5.7 | | -0.6 | | Hurricanes 6 Senators 1 | -5.6 | | -0.6 | | Capitals 2 Senators 1 | -5.3 | | -0.5 | | Senators 1 Lightning 4 | -5.2 | | -0.5 | | Senators 1 Wild 4 | -5.2 | | -0.5 | | Sabres 4 Senators 3 | -5.1 | | -0.6 | | Ducks 5 Senators 4 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Senators 1 Stars 4 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Thrashers 7 Senators 2 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Flames 3 Senators 2 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Blues 4 Senators 1 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Senators 3 Canucks 4 | -5.0 | | -0.5 | | Senators 1 Sharks 4 | -5.0 | | -0.5 | | Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 | -4.9 | | -0.5 | | Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | +4.4 | | +0.5 | | Islanders 2 Senators 5 | +4.3 | | +0.4 | | Senators 5 Hurricanes 1 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Maple Leafs 0 Senators 2 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Senators 3 Islanders 1 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Senators 3 Devils 2 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Islanders 1 Senators 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Senators 6 Lightning 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Senators 5 Panthers 3 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Senators 3 Blues 2 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Maple Leafs 1 Senators 5 | +4.0 | | +0.5 | | Sabres 1 Senators 3 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Panthers 1 Senators 3 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Stars 1 Senators 2 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Capitals 3 Senators 4 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Senators 4 Maple Leafs 3 | +3.8 | | +0.5 | | Senators 5 Predators 3 | +3.8 | | +0.4 | | Senators 6 Flames 4 | +3.8 | | +0.4 | | Oilers 2 Senators 3 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot) | +3.6 | | +0.3 | | Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | +3.5 | | +0.4 | | Coyotes 4 Senators 6 | +3.4 | | +0.4 | | Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | +3.4 | | +0.4 | | Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *-1.6 | | | | Wild 3 Islanders 2 | +1.0 | | | | Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 | +1.0 | | | | Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot) | *-1.0 | | | | Coyotes 5 Sabres 4 | +0.9 | | | | Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 | -0.9 | | -0.1 | | Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 | +0.9 | | | | Devils 3 Sharks 5 | +0.9 | | | | Panthers 2 Blue Jackets 1 | -0.9 | | | | Bruins 5 Canucks 4 | -0.8 | | -0.1 | | Islanders 2 Stars 3 | +0.8 | | | | Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so) | *+0.6 | | | | Stars 7 Panthers 3 | *+0.5 | | | | Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so) | *-0.5 | | | | Devils 1 Blues 2 | *+0.5 | | | | Predators 4 Devils 1 | *+0.4 | | | | Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so) | *-0.4 | | | | Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so) | *-0.3 | | | | Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so) | *-0.3 | | | | Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot) | *+0.2 | | | | Bruins 2 Devils 3 | *+0.2 | | +0.0 | | Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so) | | | *-0.2 | | Capitals 3 Bruins 2 | | | +0.0 | | Avalanche 0 Blackhawks 2 | | | *+0.0 | | Sharks 0 Capitals 1 | | | *-0.0 | | Stars 2 Sabres 3 | | | *-0.0 | | Sabres 5 Thrashers 1 | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Senators vs Thrashers | +4.7+3.9+4.8*-0.8*-0.5-6.3 | | +0.3+0.2+0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Senators vs Thrashers | +4.5+4.3+5.1*-1.1-1.4-5.9 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Capitals | +4.9+3.2+4.8*-1.5*-0.8-6.1 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Senators | -6.1*-0.8-3.5+3.8+4.7+4.8 | | -0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Flyers vs Senators | -5.7*+0.0-2.1+4.9+3.0+4.4 | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Capitals | +4.7+4.6+3.9-2.0-1.4-5.9 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Penguins | +4.4+4.0+4.6*-0.9*-0.9-5.8 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Canadiens | +4.0+3.4+5.0*-1.0*-0.7-5.3 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Thrashers vs Senators | -5.6-2.1*-0.9+4.5+3.6+4.7 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Blue Jackets vs Senators | -5.5*-0.4*+0.2+4.8+4.0+3.8 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Penguins | +4.4+4.4+3.5*-0.3*-0.9-5.9 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Penguins vs Senators | -5.6-1.4*-0.7+2.3+4.1+4.6 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Rangers vs Senators | -5.7*-0.4*-0.1+4.5+3.7+4.0 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Sabres | +4.3+3.2+4.5*-0.8*-0.3-5.7 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Flyers vs Senators | -5.7-1.4*-1.3+3.9+4.0+4.5 | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Flyers | +4.1+4.6+3.6*-0.6-1.4-5.5 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Bruins | +4.4+3.4+4.2*+0.0*-0.8-5.7 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | | Bruins vs Senators | -5.7*-0.2*-0.8+4.3+3.5+4.3 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Flyers | +4.4+4.0+4.1-2.5*-0.8-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Sabres | +4.3+3.5+3.3*+0.6*-0.7-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Maple Leafs | +3.5+4.6+3.5*-0.1*-0.7-5.2 | | +0.2+0.3+0.2*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | | Bruins vs Senators | -5.4*-1.1*-1.0+4.4+3.5+4.3 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Sharks vs Senators | -5.4*-0.7*-0.1+4.0+4.4+3.7 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Red Wings | +3.8+3.7+4.5*-0.8*-0.9-5.1 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | | Kings vs Senators | -5.4*-0.6*+0.2+3.2+3.4+4.2 | | -0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Kings | +4.1+3.9+3.5*-1.5*-0.5-5.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Senators vs Bruins | +4.0+4.1+4.0*-1.1*-0.8-5.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Senators vs Rangers | +4.1+4.0+2.5*-1.0*-0.6-5.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Canadiens vs Senators | -5.2*-0.6*-1.1+4.2+4.0+3.8 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Red Wings vs Senators | -5.3*-0.2*-0.5+3.5+4.1+3.6 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.2 | | Senators vs Rangers | +3.9+4.1+3.6*-0.5*-0.9-5.3 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | | Devils vs Senators | -5.3*+0.2*-0.8+4.0+3.4+3.9 | | -0.4-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Rangers vs Senators | -5.2*-0.9*-1.3+2.8+4.0+4.1 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Devils | +3.4+4.2+3.9*-0.5*-0.2-5.1 | | +0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | | Devils vs Senators | -5.3*-0.6*-0.5+3.7+3.7+3.9 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Canadiens vs Senators | -5.1*-1.1*-0.8+3.5+4.2+3.8 | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Canucks vs Senators | -5.2*-0.1*-0.7+3.9+3.1+3.9 | | -0.4-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Senators vs Coyotes | +3.9+3.8+3.4*-1.2*-0.4-5.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Senators vs Panthers | +3.9+3.5+3.2*-1.3*-0.5-5.1 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Senators vs Blackhawks | +3.7+3.6+3.6*-0.3*-0.1-5.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Wild vs Senators | -5.0*-0.3*-1.0+3.9+3.3+3.7 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Predators vs Senators | -5.1*-0.1*-0.9+2.7+3.6+3.7 | | -0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Senators vs Oilers | +3.7+3.2+3.7*-1.1*-0.3-5.0 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | | Panthers vs Senators | -4.9*-0.8*-0.5+3.5+3.8+3.6 | | -0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | -138 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 34 | * | 120 | | 33 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 69 | 10 | | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | * | 119 | | 32 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 79 | 4 | | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | * | 118 | | 31 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 77 | 3 | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | * | 117 | | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 62 | 10 | | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | 146 | * | 116 | | 30 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 48 | 13 | 0 | 36 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 229 | * | 115 | | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 45 | 12 | | 40 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 364 | * | 114 | | 29 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 28 | 18 | | 49 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | 548 | * | 113 | | 28 | 9 | - | 7 | In | 23 | 14 | 1 | 52 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | 848 | * | 112 | | 28 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 15 | 16 | 1 | 57 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,137 | * | 111 | | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 8 | 14 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 1,534 | * | 110 | | 27 | 11 | - | 6 | In | 5 | 12 | 2 | 56 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 2,058 | * | 109 | | 26 | 11 | - | 7 | In | 2 | 9 | 2 | 54 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,548 | * | 108 | | 26 | 12 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 37 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 3,190 | * | 107 | | 25 | 12 | - | 7 | In | 1 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,907 | * | 106 | | 25 | 13 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,373 | * | 105 | | 24 | 13 | - | 7 | In | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 26 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | 5,173 | * | 104 | | 24 | 14 | - | 6 | 99.9 | % | | 1 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 5,709 | * | 103 | | 23 | 14 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 6,100 | * | 102 | | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | 99.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 6,591 | * | 101 | | 22 | 15 | - | 7 | 96.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 6,620 | * | 100 | | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | 93.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | 6,645 | * | 99 | | 21 | 16 | - | 7 | 86.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 6,421 | * | 98 | | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | 77.1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 5,941 | * | 97 | | 20 | 17 | - | 7 | 64.1 | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 5,463 | * | 96 | | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | 48.5 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 38 | 12 | 1 | | | | | 4,790 | * | 95 | | 19 | 18 | - | 7 | 35.9 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | 4,238 | * | 94 | | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | 23.5 | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | | 3,435 | * | 93 | | 18 | 19 | - | 7 | 12.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 8 | 1 | | | | 2,977 | * | 92 | | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | 7.2 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | 2,311 | * | 91 | | 17 | 20 | - | 7 | 3.9 | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 46 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | 1,798 | * | 90 | | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | 1.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 31 | 8 | 0 | | | 1,333 | * | 89 | | 16 | 21 | - | 7 | 0.7 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 10 | 1 | | | 1,064 | * | 88 | | 16 | 22 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 3 | | | 731 | * | 87 | | 15 | 22 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 5 | | | 530 | * | 86 | | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 44 | 31 | 8 | | | 380 | * | 85 | | 15 | 24 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 38 | 39 | 12 | 1 | | 237 | * | 84 | | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 1 | | 172 | * | 83 | | 14 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 1 | | 113 | * | 82 | | 13 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 53 | 26 | 6 | | 70 | * | 81 | | 12 | 25 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 11 | 29 | 46 | 11 | | 35 | * | 80 | | 12 | 26 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 55 | 21 | 3 | 29 | * | 79 | | 12 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | 4 | * | 78 | | 10 | 26 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 67 | 17 | | 6 | * | 77 | | 12 | 29 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | 2 | * | 76 | | 11 | 29 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | 2 | * | 75 | | 9 | 28 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 74 | | 9 | 29 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 73 | | 10 | 31 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 50 | | 0 | 44 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 76.1 | % | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWednesday, 9/1 | None | | Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Lightning 3 Senators 1 | +1.2 | | Penguins 2 Senators 1 | +1.2 | | Senators 3 Hurricanes 5 | +1.2 | | Hurricanes 6 Senators 1 | +1.1 | | Sabres 4 Senators 3 | +1.1 | | Ducks 5 Senators 4 | +1.1 | | Capitals 2 Senators 1 | +1.1 | | Senators 3 Canucks 4 | +1.1 | | Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 | +1.1 | | Flames 3 Senators 2 | +1.1 | | Senators 1 Sharks 4 | +1.1 | | Blues 4 Senators 1 | +1.1 | | Senators 1 Lightning 4 | +1.1 | | Senators 1 Wild 4 | +1.1 | | Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 | +1.1 | | Thrashers 7 Senators 2 | +1.1 | | Senators 1 Stars 4 | +1.1 | | Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | -1.0 | | Maple Leafs 1 Senators 5 | -0.9 | | Senators 4 Maple Leafs 3 | -0.9 | | Maple Leafs 0 Senators 2 | -0.9 | | Sabres 1 Senators 3 | -0.9 | | Senators 3 Blues 2 | -0.9 | | Senators 3 Islanders 1 | -0.9 | | Senators 5 Hurricanes 1 | -0.9 | | Senators 5 Predators 3 | -0.9 | | Stars 1 Senators 2 | -0.9 | | Islanders 2 Senators 5 | -0.9 | | Senators 6 Lightning 3 | -0.9 | | Senators 5 Panthers 3 | -0.8 | | Islanders 1 Senators 3 | -0.8 | | Senators 3 Devils 2 | -0.8 | | Senators 6 Flames 4 | -0.8 | | Panthers 1 Senators 3 | -0.8 | | Capitals 3 Senators 4 | -0.8 | | Oilers 2 Senators 3 | -0.8 | | Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | -0.8 | | Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | -0.8 | | Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | -0.8 | | Coyotes 4 Senators 6 | -0.8 | | Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot) | -0.7 | | Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so) | +0.4 | | Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so) | +0.3 | | Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | -0.3 | | Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so) | *+0.3 | | Blues 2 Bruins 3 (so) | *+0.2 | | Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so) | *+0.2 | | Rangers 5 Kings 4 (ot) | *-0.2 | | Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so) | *+0.2 | | Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | +0.2 | | Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so) | *-0.2 | | Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot) | *+0.2 | | Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so) | *-0.2 | | Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 | -0.2 | | Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | +0.2 | | Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 | +0.2 | | Bruins 5 Canucks 4 | +0.2 | | Thrashers 3 Bruins 2 (ot) | *+0.2 | | Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | *+0.1 | | Kings 3 Islanders 1 | -0.1 | | Red Wings 5 Flyers 1 | -0.1 | | Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 | +0.1 | | Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 | +0.0 | | Canucks 0 Bruins 4 | +0.0 | | Rangers 4 Thrashers 2 | *-0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Senators vs Thrashers | -0.7-0.5-0.8*+0.2*+0.1+0.9 | | Flyers vs Senators | +0.9+0.1+0.2-0.7-0.6-0.7 | | Senators vs Flyers | -0.7-0.7-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.9 | | Senators vs Flyers | -0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.1+0.9 | | Senators vs Canadiens | -0.7-0.5-0.7*+0.2+0.2+0.8 | | Senators vs Capitals | -0.7-0.5-0.5*+0.2+0.1+0.9 | | Senators vs Sabres | -0.7-0.5-0.7*+0.1*+0.1+0.9 | | Senators vs Penguins | -0.7-0.5-0.7+0.1+0.2+0.9 | | Senators vs Sabres | -0.7-0.6-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.9 | | Flyers vs Senators | +0.9+0.2+0.3-0.7-0.7-0.7 | | Senators vs Capitals | -0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.2*+0.2+0.8 | | Penguins vs Senators | +0.8*+0.2*+0.2-0.4-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Senators | +0.9*+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.6 | | Senators vs Penguins | -0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.2+0.2+0.8 | | Senators vs Thrashers | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.0+0.1+0.8 | | Sharks vs Senators | +0.8+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6 | | Senators vs Rangers | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.8 | | Rangers vs Senators | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Canadiens vs Senators | +0.8+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Canadiens vs Senators | +0.8+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Thrashers vs Senators | +0.8+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.6 | | Bruins vs Senators | +0.8*+0.0*+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.6 | | Senators vs Bruins | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | | Red Wings vs Senators | +0.8*+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6 | | Kings vs Senators | +0.8+0.1*+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6 | | Senators vs Rangers | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | | Senators vs Maple Leafs | -0.5-0.7-0.5*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | | Blue Jackets vs Senators | +0.8*+0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Senators vs Devils | -0.5-0.6-0.7+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | | Senators vs Panthers | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.2+0.1+0.8 | | Senators vs Bruins | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | | Rangers vs Senators | +0.8+0.1*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6 | | Senators vs Red Wings | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1+0.2+0.8 | | Bruins vs Senators | +0.8+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.6 | | Senators vs Kings | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8 | | Senators vs Blackhawks | -0.6-0.6-0.5+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 123 | -138 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | | 34 | 6 | - | 4 | 88 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | | 33 | 6 | - | 5 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 33 | 7 | - | 4 | 62 | 7 | 10 | | | | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | | 32 | 7 | - | 5 | 72 | 8 | 4 | | | | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 31 | 7 | - | 6 | 65 | 13 | 3 | | | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | 47 | 15 | 10 | | | | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 30 | 8 | - | 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | | 0 | | 35 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 0 | | | 40 | 1 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 29 | 9 | - | 6 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 2 | | | 47 | 2 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 28 | 9 | - | 7 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | | 49 | 3 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 28 | 10 | - | 6 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 1 | | 50 | 7 | 10 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | | 48 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 27 | 11 | - | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 16 | 23 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 26 | 11 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 21 | 28 | 1 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 26 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 25 | 33 | 4 | 6 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 25 | 12 | - | 7 | | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 25 | 13 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 15 | 18 | 1 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 24 | 13 | - | 7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 24 | 14 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 23 | 14 | - | 7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 22 | 15 | - | 7 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 21 | 16 | - | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 20 | 17 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 19 | 18 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 18 | 19 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 92 | | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 91 | | 17 | 20 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 90 | | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | 89 | | 16 | 21 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 88 | | 16 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | | | | | 87 | | 15 | 22 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 1 | | | | 86 | | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 20 | 8 | 1 | | | | 85 | | 15 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 11 | 3 | | | | 84 | | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 6 | | | | 83 | | 14 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 4 | 20 | 29 | 31 | 13 | 2 | | | 82 | | 13 | 25 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 7 | 33 | 37 | 19 | 1 | | | 81 | | 12 | 25 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 14 | 31 | 40 | 11 | | | 80 | | 12 | 26 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 21 | 38 | 28 | | | 79 | | 12 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | 50 | | | | 78 | | 10 | 26 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | 77 | | 12 | 29 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | 76 | | 11 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | 75 | | 9 | 28 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 74 | | 9 | 29 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 73 | | 10 | 31 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 50 | | 0 | 44 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|