Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2009-2010
Beat Avalanche 7-4, Lost to Blackhawks 2-4, Plays at Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Lost to Blues 1-4, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Plays at Canucks 11:59 PM, Beat Capitals 4-3, Lost to Capitals 1-2, Beat Coyotes 6-4, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Lost to Ducks 4-5, Lost to Flames 2-3, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 3-2, Lost to Hurricanes 1-6, Beat Islanders 5-2, Beat Islanders 3-1, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Lost to Lightning 1-3, Beat Maple Leafs 5-1, Beat Maple Leafs 2-0, Beat Oilers 3-2, Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 3-1, Plays at Penguins 11:59 PM, Lost to Penguins 1-2, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Red Wings 11:59 PM, Lost to Sabres 3-4, Beat Sabres 3-1, Beat Avalanche 5-4, Plays Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Lost to Blue Jackets 2-5, Beat Blues 3-2, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Beat Canadiens 3-0, Lost to Canucks 3-4, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Coyotes 11:59 PM, Beat Devils 3-2, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Flames 6-4, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 5-1, Lost to Hurricanes 3-5, Beat Islanders 4-3 (ot), Beat Islanders 3-1, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Lightning 6-3, Lost to Lightning 1-4, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 4-3, Plays Oilers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 5-3, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Beat Predators 5-3, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Red Wings 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Lost to Sharks 1-4, Lost to Stars 1-4, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 1-4, Plays at Sharks 11:59 PM, Beat Stars 2-1, Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Thrashers 2-7, Plays at Wild 11:59 PM, playoff odds up 12.3 to 71.7%
50 points 25 17-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 9/1 | None | |||
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Senators 3 Hurricanes 5 | -6.0 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 1 Stars 4 | -5.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 1 Sharks 4 | -5.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 3 Canucks 4 | -5.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 1 Wild 4 | -5.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Senators 1 Lightning 4 | -5.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Thrashers 7 Senators 2 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Maple Leafs 1 Senators 5 | +4.9 | +0.5 | ||
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 2 Senators 1 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 3 Senators 4 | +4.8 | +0.5 | ||
| Lightning 3 Senators 1 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Blues 4 Senators 1 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Sabres 4 Senators 3 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 6 Senators 1 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Sabres 1 Senators 3 | +4.6 | +0.5 | ||
| Ducks 5 Senators 4 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Flames 3 Senators 2 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Islanders 2 Senators 5 | +4.5 | +0.5 | ||
| Maple Leafs 0 Senators 2 | +4.5 | +0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | +4.4 | +0.5 | ||
| Oilers 2 Senators 3 | +4.4 | +0.5 | ||
| Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 | -4.4 | -0.5 | ||
| Islanders 1 Senators 3 | +4.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Stars 1 Senators 2 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Panthers 1 Senators 3 | +4.0 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 3 Devils 2 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 5 Hurricanes 1 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot) | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 4 Maple Leafs 3 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Coyotes 4 Senators 6 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 5 Panthers 3 | +3.6 | +0.3 | ||
| Senators 3 Islanders 1 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 6 Lightning 3 | +3.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | +3.4 | +0.3 | ||
| Senators 6 Flames 4 | +3.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Senators 3 Blues 2 | +3.2 | +0.3 | ||
| Senators 5 Predators 3 | +3.1 | +0.3 | ||
| Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so) | -2.3 | |||
| Sharks 5 Sabres 2 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Flames 2 Islanders 1 | +0.9 | |||
| Islanders 2 Stars 3 | +0.9 | |||
| Oilers 3 Islanders 1 | *+0.7 | |||
| Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so) | *-0.7 | |||
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | *-0.7 | |||
| Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot) | *-0.5 | |||
| Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 | *-0.5 | |||
| Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | *-0.3 | |||
| Maple Leafs 3 Islanders 2 | *+0.3 | |||
| Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 | *+0.2 | |||
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *+0.1 | |||
| Kings 4 Canadiens 3 | +0.1 | |||
| Kings 7 Rangers 3 | *+0.0 | |||
| Thrashers 6 Kings 4 | *-0.0 | |||
| Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 3 | +0.0 | |||
| Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so) | *-0.0 | |||
| Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | *-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Senators vs Capitals | +4.9+4.2+4.0-2.4-1.4-7.6 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Capitals | +5.0+3.7+4.9-2.5-2.2-7.4 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Flyers | +4.6+3.7+5.5*-1.2-1.7-6.6 | +0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Thrashers vs Senators | -6.0*-0.7*-1.3+4.0+5.0+6.1 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | +4.8+4.1+3.6*-1.9-1.7-6.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Thrashers | +4.8+3.7+3.8-2.2*-1.1-6.8 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Thrashers | +4.7+3.9+4.1*-0.7-1.7-6.8 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Lightning vs Senators | -6.3-1.6*-1.1+4.8+4.5+5.0 | -0.3-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Senators | -5.7*-0.7*-0.4+3.4+4.8+5.5 | -0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | +4.6+3.8+4.4-2.2-2.1-6.6 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Devils vs Senators | -7.6-1.8-2.7+3.2+2.5+3.1 | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Flyers vs Senators | -5.4*-0.8*-0.3+3.2+4.9+5.3 | -0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Flyers | +4.2+4.0+3.7*-0.5*-0.4-6.5 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Flyers vs Senators | -5.4*-0.4*-0.4+4.9+4.3+5.2 | -0.3-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Rangers vs Senators | -4.6*+0.7*+1.0+4.7+5.9+5.7 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Oilers | +4.4+3.6+3.6*-0.6*-0.2-6.0 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Sabres | +4.8+3.8+5.0*-1.4*-0.1-5.3 | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Sabres | +4.7+3.9+4.8*-1.0*+0.3-5.5 | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Bruins vs Senators | -6.0*-1.2*-1.4+4.3+3.7+3.3 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Predators vs Senators | -6.6*-1.3-3.4+3.6+3.6+3.3 | -0.3*-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Blue Jackets vs Senators | -5.5*-0.5*-0.2+4.7+3.8+3.9 | -0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Maple Leafs | +2.8+2.2+3.4*-2.1-2.0-6.8 | +0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Canucks vs Senators | -6.3*-0.6*-0.6+3.5+3.7+3.8 | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Bruins vs Senators | -6.2-1.8*-1.2+3.2+3.3+3.9 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Blackhawks | +3.2+3.5+3.2*-1.9*-1.3-6.6 | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Red Wings vs Senators | -5.4*-0.5*-0.8+4.4+4.8+4.1 | -0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Kings vs Senators | -4.9*+0.0*+0.1+4.4+5.2+5.2 | -0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Sharks vs Senators | -5.0*+0.3*+0.7+5.0+4.8+4.9 | -0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Canadiens | +5.0+5.3+4.5*+1.3*+0.8-4.6 | +0.3+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Panthers | +3.0+3.1+3.0*-2.2-2.4-6.8 | +0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Coyotes | +3.1+3.2+3.2*-2.2*-1.2-6.7 | +0.1+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Bruins | +2.9+3.2+3.0*-1.4-2.2-6.7 | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Canadiens vs Senators | -3.8+1.0*+0.4+5.2+6.0+5.7 | -0.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Kings | +4.3+3.7+4.5*-0.7*-0.1-5.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Devils vs Senators | -6.8-2.9-2.9+2.6+2.7+3.0 | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Senators vs Red Wings | +3.6+3.3+3.5*-1.5*-1.1-6.2 | +0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Rangers | +4.8+4.9+4.5*-0.7*+0.4-4.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Panthers vs Senators | -6.1*-0.9*-1.9+2.6+3.7+3.6 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Rangers | +4.5+4.9+4.2*+0.2*+0.4-4.8 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2 | ||
| Senators vs Bruins | +3.0+2.9+2.7*-1.5-1.9-6.8 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Wild vs Senators | -4.5*+0.1*-0.3+4.9+5.1+5.0 | -0.2*-0.0+0.0+0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Canadiens vs Senators | -3.8*+1.0*+1.1+5.1+5.1+5.7 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Rangers vs Senators | -4.0*+0.4*+0.9+5.4+4.1+5.3 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Devils | +2.2+1.8+2.0*-2.2-2.6-7.1 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 128 | -138 | In | 100 | 9 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 126 | 37 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 36 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 3 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 123 | 35 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 14 | 14 | 71 | 7 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 122 | 34 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 17 | 67 | 17 | 6 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 121 | 33 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 6 | 6 | 69 | 19 | 16 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 120 | 32 | 6 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 91 | 6 | 33 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 119 | 31 | 6 | - | 7 | In | 2 | 73 | 25 | 55 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 118 | 31 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 109 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 117 | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 1 | 2 | 71 | 27 | 191 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 116 | 30 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 64 | 35 | 291 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 115 | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 59 | 39 | 2 | 446 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 114 | 29 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 705 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 113 | 29 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 40 | 54 | 5 | 1,013 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 112 | 28 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 33 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 1,381 | * | |||||||||||||
| 111 | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 25 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 1,881 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 110 | 27 | 11 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 17 | 59 | 22 | 3 | 2,396 | * | |||||||||||||
| 109 | 26 | 11 | - | 7 | In | 0 | 12 | 53 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3,053 | * | ||||||||||||
| 108 | 26 | 12 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 7 | 46 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3,757 | * | |||||||||||
| 107 | 25 | 12 | - | 7 | 100.0 | 4 | 38 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4,397 | * | ||||||||||||
| 106 | 25 | 13 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 2 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 5,017 | * | ||||||||||||
| 105 | 24 | 13 | - | 7 | 99.3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 5,843 | * | |||||||||||
| 104 | 24 | 14 | - | 6 | 98.5 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 6,107 | * | ||||||||||||
| 103 | 23 | 14 | - | 7 | 95.9 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 6,514 | * | |||||||||||
| 102 | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | 92.2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 6,656 | * | |||||||||||
| 101 | 22 | 15 | - | 7 | 85.6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 1 | 6,669 | * | |||||||||||
| 100 | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | 76.9 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 6,441 | * | ||||||||||||
| 99 | 21 | 16 | - | 7 | 65.8 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 31 | 3 | 6,152 | * | ||||||||||||
| 98 | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | 54.5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 5,837 | * | |||||||||||
| 97 | 20 | 17 | - | 7 | 41.3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 4,975 | * | |||||||||||
| 96 | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | 29.9 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 54 | 16 | 0 | 4,317 | * | ||||||||||||
| 95 | 19 | 18 | - | 7 | 19.9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 23 | 0 | 3,686 | * | ||||||||||||
| 94 | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | 14.5 | 1 | 13 | 54 | 31 | 1 | 3,022 | * | |||||||||||||
| 93 | 18 | 19 | - | 7 | 8.3 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 39 | 1 | 2,418 | * | |||||||||||||
| 92 | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | 4.9 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 1,869 | * | |||||||||||||
| 91 | 17 | 20 | - | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 56 | 3 | 1,466 | * | |||||||||||||
| 90 | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | 2.0 | 2 | 33 | 59 | 6 | 994 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 89 | 16 | 21 | - | 7 | 0.8 | 1 | 26 | 64 | 10 | 736 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 88 | 16 | 22 | - | 6 | 0.6 | 1 | 16 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 533 | * | |||||||||||||
| 87 | 16 | 23 | - | 5 | Out | 12 | 65 | 21 | 2 | 349 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 86 | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | 8 | 62 | 26 | 4 | 240 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 85 | 14 | 23 | - | 7 | Out | 10 | 58 | 30 | 1 | 166 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 84 | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | 3 | 41 | 52 | 4 | 97 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 83 | 13 | 24 | - | 7 | Out | 1 | 33 | 53 | 13 | 76 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 82 | 14 | 26 | - | 4 | Out | 31 | 46 | 23 | 26 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 81 | 13 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | 36 | 43 | 21 | 14 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 80 | 12 | 26 | - | 6 | Out | 57 | 43 | 14 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 10 | 25 | - | 9 | Out | 50 | 25 | 25 | 4 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 78 | 9 | 25 | - | 10 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | 44 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 71.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 9/1 | None | |
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Senators 3 Hurricanes 5 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 1 Stars 4 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 1 Wild 4 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 1 Sharks 4 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 3 Canucks 4 | +1.2 | |
| Senators 1 Lightning 4 | +1.1 | |
| Maple Leafs 1 Senators 5 | -1.0 | |
| Thrashers 7 Senators 2 | +1.0 | |
| Flames 3 Senators 2 | +1.0 | |
| Capitals 2 Senators 1 | +1.0 | |
| Sabres 4 Senators 3 | +1.0 | |
| Hurricanes 6 Senators 1 | +1.0 | |
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | +1.0 | |
| Blues 4 Senators 1 | +1.0 | |
| Ducks 5 Senators 4 | +1.0 | |
| Lightning 3 Senators 1 | +1.0 | |
| Capitals 3 Senators 4 | -1.0 | |
| Sabres 1 Senators 3 | -1.0 | |
| Maple Leafs 0 Senators 2 | -1.0 | |
| Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 | +1.0 | |
| Oilers 2 Senators 3 | -1.0 | |
| Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | -0.9 | |
| Islanders 2 Senators 5 | -0.9 | |
| Stars 1 Senators 2 | -0.9 | |
| Islanders 1 Senators 3 | -0.9 | |
| Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | -0.9 | |
| Panthers 1 Senators 3 | -0.9 | |
| Coyotes 4 Senators 6 | -0.8 | |
| Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | -0.8 | |
| Senators 4 Maple Leafs 3 | -0.8 | |
| Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot) | -0.8 | |
| Senators 5 Hurricanes 1 | -0.8 | |
| Senators 3 Devils 2 | -0.8 | |
| Senators 3 Islanders 1 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 5 Predators 3 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 6 Flames 4 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 3 Blues 2 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 6 Lightning 3 | -0.7 | |
| Senators 5 Panthers 3 | -0.7 | |
| Flyers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 4 Oilers 5 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 4 Sabres 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Sharks 5 Sabres 2 | -0.2 | |
| Flyers 4 Wild 5 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 0 Kings 3 | -0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 4 Canucks 3 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 | +0.1 | |
| Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 | +0.1 | |
| Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 3 | -0.1 | |
| Kings 7 Rangers 3 | *-0.0 | |
| Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 | *+0.0 | |
| Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | -0.0 | |
| Devils 1 Blues 2 | *+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Senators vs Flyers | -0.5-0.4-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | -0.5-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Flyers | -0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.1+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Capitals | -0.4-0.4-0.5+0.3+0.2+0.7 | |
| Flyers vs Senators | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Senators | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6 | |
| Flyers vs Senators | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6 | |
| Thrashers vs Senators | +0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | -0.5-0.3-0.4*+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Capitals | -0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Thrashers | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.2+0.6 | |
| Senators vs Sabres | -0.5-0.4-0.5+0.2+0.0+0.6 | |
| Senators vs Thrashers | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Blue Jackets vs Senators | +0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.4 | |
| Senators vs Sabres | -0.5-0.4-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.5 | |
| Senators vs Kings | -0.4-0.4-0.5+0.0*+0.1+0.5 | |
| Devils vs Senators | +0.7+0.2+0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Lightning vs Senators | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Senators vs Oilers | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.0*+0.1+0.6 | |
| Rangers vs Senators | +0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.6-0.5-0.5 | |
| Canucks vs Senators | +0.6*+0.1+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Senators vs Maple Leafs | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.3+0.2+0.7 | |
| Red Wings vs Senators | +0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.4 | |
| Wild vs Senators | +0.5*+0.0-0.0-0.6-0.5-0.5 | |
| Senators vs Blackhawks | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.1+0.7 | |
| Bruins vs Senators | +0.6+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3 | |
| Kings vs Senators | +0.5*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Rangers vs Senators | +0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6 | |
| Canadiens vs Senators | +0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Sharks vs Senators | +0.5*+0.0*-0.0-0.5-0.4-0.5 | |
| Senators vs Red Wings | -0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Canadiens vs Senators | +0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.5-0.6 | |
| Senators vs Rangers | -0.5-0.5-0.4*+0.0*-0.0+0.5 | |
| Senators vs Panthers | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Canadiens | -0.5-0.5-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.5 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 128 | -138 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126 | 37 | 5 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 36 | 6 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 123 | 35 | 6 | - | 3 | 14 | 14 | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 122 | 34 | 6 | - | 4 | 17 | 67 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 33 | 6 | - | 5 | 6 | 6 | 69 | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 120 | 32 | 6 | - | 6 | 3 | 88 | 3 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 31 | 6 | - | 7 | 2 | 65 | 7 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118 | 31 | 7 | - | 6 | 1 | 2 | 65 | 9 | 23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 117 | 31 | 8 | - | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 17 | 26 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116 | 30 | 8 | - | 6 | 1 | 46 | 18 | 35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 115 | 30 | 9 | - | 5 | 0 | 39 | 20 | 38 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 29 | 9 | - | 6 | 0 | 26 | 23 | 44 | 4 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 113 | 29 | 10 | - | 5 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 45 | 9 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 28 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 42 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 111 | 28 | 11 | - | 5 | 5 | 19 | 39 | 21 | 14 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 110 | 27 | 11 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 26 | 11 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 26 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 107 | 25 | 12 | - | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 106 | 25 | 13 | - | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 105 | 24 | 13 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 104 | 24 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 23 | 14 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 23 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 22 | 15 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 22 | 16 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 27 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 21 | 16 | - | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 29 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 21 | 17 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 20 | 17 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 20 | 18 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 19 | 18 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 19 | 19 | - | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 18 | 19 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 18 | 20 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 17 | 20 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 17 | 21 | - | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 16 | 21 | - | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 16 | 22 | - | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 16 | 23 | - | 5 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 15 | 23 | - | 6 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 14 | 23 | - | 7 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 14 | 24 | - | 6 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 25 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 13 | 24 | - | 7 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 21 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 14 | 26 | - | 4 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 31 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 13 | 26 | - | 5 | 21 | 7 | 36 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 12 | 26 | - | 6 | 14 | 36 | 43 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 10 | 25 | - | 9 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 9 | 25 | - | 10 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | 44 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
