How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 2 Flyers 3 -5.8
-0.6
Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 -5.6
-0.6
Rangers 1 Penguins 3 -5.5
-0.6
Panthers 5 Rangers 2 -5.2
-0.5
Hurricanes 2 Rangers 1 -5.2
-0.5
Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 3 +4.8
+0.5
Oilers 4 Rangers 1 -4.8
-0.5
Flyers 4 Rangers 2 -4.8
-0.5
Devils 2 Rangers 4 +4.7
+0.5
Capitals 2 Rangers 4 +4.7
+0.5
Red Wings 3 Rangers 2 -4.6
-0.5
Capitals 3 Rangers 5 +4.6
+0.5
Coyotes 2 Rangers 1 -4.5
-0.5
Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot)+4.4
+0.5
Kings 7 Rangers 3 -4.3
-0.5
Sharks 2 Rangers 5 +4.2
+0.5
Rangers 4 Devils 2 +4.1
+0.4
Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 2 +4.1
+0.4
Flames 0 Rangers 5 +4.0
+0.4
Rangers 5 Devils 2 +4.0
+0.4
Blackhawks 2 Rangers 3 +3.9
+0.4
Rangers 5 Flyers 3 +3.8
+0.4
Rangers 4 Thrashers 2 +3.8
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Rangers 5 +3.8
+0.4
Rangers 3 Flames 2 (so)+3.7
+0.4
Rangers 4 Maple Leafs 0 +3.7
+0.4
Rangers 3 Sharks 2 +3.7
+0.4
Rangers 7 Maple Leafs 0 +3.7
+0.4
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 +3.7
+0.4
Rangers 5 Kings 4 (ot)+3.5
+0.4
Rangers 4 Penguins 2 +3.5
+0.4
Rangers 6 Blue Jackets 0 +3.4
+0.4
Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 +3.4
+0.3
Rangers 5 Predators 2 +3.4
+0.3
Rangers 5 Wild 3 +3.3
+0.3
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)+3.3
+0.4
Rangers 2 Red Wings 1 +3.2
+0.3
Rangers 6 Lightning 1 +3.2
+0.3
Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so)+3.2
+0.4
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)-2.5
-0.2
Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so)*-1.5
Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so)*+1.1
Penguins 1 Canucks 3 +0.9
Sabres 0 Oilers 2 +0.8
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 *-0.7
Oilers 5 Panthers 3 *+0.6
Kings 5 Bruins 2 *+0.6
Stars 2 Rangers 1 (so)*+0.6
*+0.0
Panthers 6 Kings 4 *-0.6
Ducks 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*-0.5
*-0.0
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)*-0.5
Stars 3 Bruins 2 *+0.5
Sabres 2 Penguins 3 *-0.4
*-0.0
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 *+0.4
Stars 2 Canadiens 3 *-0.4
Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so)*+0.4
Thrashers 5 Oilers 3 *-0.3
Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 *+0.2
Oilers 1 Sharks 5 *+0.2
Predators 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*+0.2
*+0.0
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)*-0.2
Devils 3 Ducks 4 +0.1
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 +0.1
Senators 3 Devils 2 +0.1
Flyers 6 Hurricanes 3 +0.0
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*-0.0
Panthers 2 Flames 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thrashers vs Rangers-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*In*InIn
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Blues vs Rangers-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Rangers-0.1-0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Hurricanes vs Rangers-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Islanders vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Islanders vs Rangers-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Lightning vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Penguins vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Avalanche+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Blues+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Bruins+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Bruins+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Capitals+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Ducks+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Hurricanes+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Hurricanes+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Islanders+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Oilers+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Panthers+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Panthers+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Sabres+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Senators+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Stars+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Thrashers+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Senators vs Rangers-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Thrashers vs Rangers-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Rangers vs Senators+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sabres vs Rangers-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
140-149In10034*
139384-2In95522*
138374-3In96468*
137375-2In964118*
136365-3In919217*
135355-4In8515410*
134356-3In8218600*
133346-4In7624921*
132347-3In70301,328*
131337-4In64361,812*
130327-5In554502,561*
129328-4In47533,091*
128318-5In40603,925*
127319-4In326804,680*
126309-5In267405,423*
1253010-4In1981005,936*
1242910-5In1486003,387*
3011-3In1485003,246*
1232911-4In1189002,570
2810-6In11890004,325*
1222811-5In792012,672
2912-3In7920104,348*
1212812-4In5940107,018*
1202712-5In4941102,525
2813-3In3950104,114*
1192713-4In2951206,225*
1182613-5In1951215,576*
1172614-4In09224104,847*
1162514-5In0903524,083*
1152414-6In08267503,354*
1142415-5In07787802,720*
1132416-4In7011711102,222*
1122316-5In581491721,691*
1112216-6In4719823301,242*
1102217-5In3920102650875*
1092218-4In2624533111621*
1082118-5In17234381520411*
1072018-6In10242342361302*
1062019-599.4%714134281321173*
1052020-499.03627391771103*
1041920-5In13144026878*
1031921-497.897332822246*
1021821-597.036363912333*
1011721-677.82217392218*
1001722-590.994536911*
991622-680.04040205*
981623-550.050502
971725-2Out1002*
951525-4Out1001
61044-0Out88138
Total:100.0%15782220000000100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 2 Flyers 3 +1.2
Rangers 1 Penguins 3 +1.2
Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 +1.2
Hurricanes 2 Rangers 1 +1.1
Oilers 4 Rangers 1 +1.0
Panthers 5 Rangers 2 +1.0
Flyers 4 Rangers 2 +1.0
Devils 2 Rangers 4 -1.0
Capitals 2 Rangers 4 -1.0
Coyotes 2 Rangers 1 +1.0
Red Wings 3 Rangers 2 +1.0
Sharks 2 Rangers 5 -1.0
Kings 7 Rangers 3 +1.0
Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot)-0.9
Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 3 -0.9
Capitals 3 Rangers 5 -0.9
Maple Leafs 1 Rangers 2 -0.9
Flames 0 Rangers 5 -0.9
Rangers 5 Devils 2 -0.9
Blue Jackets 3 Rangers 5 -0.9
Blackhawks 2 Rangers 3 -0.9
Rangers 4 Devils 2 -0.9
Rangers 5 Flyers 3 -0.8
Rangers 3 Sharks 2 -0.8
Rangers 4 Maple Leafs 0 -0.8
Rangers 3 Flames 2 (so)-0.8
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 -0.8
Rangers 7 Maple Leafs 0 -0.8
Rangers 4 Thrashers 2 -0.8
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)-0.8
Rangers 5 Kings 4 (ot)-0.8
Rangers 6 Blue Jackets 0 -0.7
Rangers 4 Penguins 2 -0.7
Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 -0.7
Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so)-0.7
Rangers 5 Wild 3 -0.7
Rangers 5 Predators 2 -0.7
Rangers 2 Red Wings 1 -0.7
Rangers 6 Lightning 1 -0.7
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)+0.4
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)*-0.2
Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot)+0.2
Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)*-0.2
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)*+0.2
Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so)*+0.2
Thrashers 2 Flyers 1 -0.2
Devils 3 Ducks 4 -0.1
Ducks 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*+0.1
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 -0.1
Devils 1 Blues 2 -0.1
Islanders 2 Hurricanes 4 -0.1
Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 -0.1
Coyotes 3 Flames 4 *+0.1
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*+0.0
Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 *-0.0
Lightning 2 Stars 3 +0.0
Kings 2 Blues 3 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Flyers vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Canadiens vs Rangers+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.3
Canadiens vs Rangers+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3
Rangers vs Canadiens-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Avalanche-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Panthers vs Rangers+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Penguins vs Rangers+0.3+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Senators-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Thrashers vs Rangers+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Rangers+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Rangers vs Bruins-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Ducks-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.3
Rangers vs Thrashers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Hurricanes vs Rangers+0.2*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1
Rangers vs Hurricanes-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.3
Rangers vs Blues-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Panthers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Islanders vs Rangers+0.3+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Stars-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Hurricanes-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Thrashers vs Rangers+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Rangers vs Capitals-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Senators-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Capitals-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Panthers-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Oilers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Lightning vs Rangers+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Blues vs Rangers+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Senators vs Rangers+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Bruins-0.1-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.3
Wild vs Rangers+0.2-0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Lightning vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Bruins vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Islanders vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Rangers+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
Rangers vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.2
Bruins vs Rangers+0.3+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Rangers vs Lightning-0.1-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
140-149100
139384-2955
138374-3964
137375-2964
136365-3919
135355-48515
134356-38218
133346-475024
132347-370030
131337-464036
130327-5551450
129328-447153
128318-539160
127319-4301680
126309-52427400
1253010-417281000
1242910-512286000
3011-312285000
1232911-48388100
2810-683881000
1222811-56290201
2912-352902010
1212812-4329130100
1202712-522877110
2813-3128870100
1192713-41183121200
1182613-501781710201
1172614-4006626231100
1162514-5005535303120
1152414-6041415043500
1142415-5028498143710
1132416-41852101359210
1122316-5950122271342
1112216-6542154171211300
1102217-5336146181214410
1092218-41251590511227410
1082118-511611124102911520
1072018-61091525301310601
1062019-57691331121611221
1052020-432427112814471
1041920-5491463314128
1031921-4977261315222
1021821-53636633123
1011721-62211639176
1001722-59936369
991622-6404020
981623-55050
971725-2100
951525-4100
61044-0385013
Total:1416711201111000000000000