Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2009-2010 50/50
Plays at Avalanche 11:59 PM, Lost to Blackhawks 0-1, Plays at Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Plays at Blues 11:59 PM, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Beat Bruins 3-2, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 5-6 (so), Beat Canucks 3-2, Beat Capitals 1-0, Plays at Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 5-4 (ot), Beat Devils 3-2, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Ducks 7-5, Lost to Flames 1-2 (ot), Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Lost to Flyers 3-5, Lost to Hurricanes 4-7, Lost to Hurricanes 2-3, Beat Islanders 4-3, Beat Islanders 4-2, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 3-2, Plays at Oilers 11:59 PM, Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Lost to Panthers 1-2, Beat Avalanche 3-2, Beat Blackhawks 3-1, Plays Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Lost to Blues 3-4, Lost to Bruins 0-3, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 1-7, Lost to Canucks 1-3, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 3-1, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Devils 7-2, Plays Ducks 11:59 PM, Beat Flames 5-2, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Beat Islanders 5-1, Plays Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Lightning 4-3, Plays Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Plays Oilers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 2-0, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Lost to Predators 3-4, Lost to Rangers 4-5 (ot), Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Beat Red Wings 3-1, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Senators 2-1, Beat Sharks 4-0, Beat Stars 6-1, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 2-4, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Beat Rangers 3-1, Lost to Rangers 2-4, Lost to Red Wings 5-6 (so), Beat Sabres 3-2, Lost to Sabres 1-5, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Sharks 5-4 (so), Lost to Stars 2-4, Beat Thrashers 5-4, Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 1-2, playoff odds up 31.2 to 79.8%
54 points 25 16-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Flyers 5 Penguins 3 | -5.8 | -0.6 | ||
| Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | -5.8 | -0.6 | ||
| Penguins 0 Bruins 3 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Sabres 5 Penguins 1 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Panthers 2 Penguins 1 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Wild 2 Penguins 1 | -5.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Penguins 2 Wild 4 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 3 Predators 4 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Stars 4 Penguins 2 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 7 Penguins 4 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 3 Blues 4 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Rangers 4 Penguins 2 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 1 Canucks 3 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 5 Islanders 1 | +4.4 | +0.5 | ||
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | +4.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Islanders 2 Penguins 4 | +4.3 | +0.5 | ||
| Rangers 1 Penguins 3 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Devils 2 Penguins 3 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Islanders 3 Penguins 4 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Thrashers 4 Penguins 5 | +4.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 7 Devils 2 | +4.1 | +0.5 | ||
| Penguins 2 Panthers 0 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Sabres 2 Penguins 3 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Bruins 2 Penguins 3 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | +3.9 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 6 Stars 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Coyotes 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Maple Leafs 2 Penguins 3 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 5 Flames 2 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Canucks 2 Penguins 3 | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot) | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Red Wings 1 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Ducks 5 Penguins 7 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so) | *-2.0 | -0.2 | ||
| Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *-1.9 | *-0.1 | ||
| Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so) | *+1.4 | |||
| Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *-1.0 | *-0.1 | ||
| Devils 1 Wild 2 | +1.0 | |||
| Thrashers 1 Blue Jackets 2 | +0.8 | |||
| Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 | -0.8 | |||
| Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot) | *-0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Sabres 6 Kings 2 | *-0.4 | |||
| Blues 3 Devils 1 | *+0.4 | |||
| Oilers 4 Rangers 1 | *+0.4 | |||
| Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot) | *-0.4 | *-0.1 | ||
| Stars 7 Panthers 3 | *+0.3 | |||
| Bruins 2 Devils 3 | *+0.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Predators 3 Flyers 5 | *-0.3 | |||
| Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | *-0.2 | |||
| Thrashers 3 Predators 2 | *-0.2 | |||
| Blues 6 Predators 3 | *-0.2 | |||
| Blues 3 Stars 6 | *+0.2 | |||
| Rangers 5 Flyers 3 | *-0.2 | |||
| Panthers 3 Stars 2 | *-0.0 | |||
| Rangers 2 Red Wings 1 | *-0.0 | |||
| Rangers 6 Lightning 1 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Penguins vs Capitals | +4.6+3.4+4.5*-1.6-1.4-5.6 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | -5.6*-0.9*-1.6+2.8+3.3+4.6 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | +4.4+3.2+4.2*-0.3*-0.5-5.7 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Thrashers | +4.3+4.0+3.6*-1.0*-0.7-5.6 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Thrashers | +4.5+3.6+2.4*-0.7-1.3-5.4 | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | -5.7*+0.3*-1.0+2.9+3.6+4.2 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | -5.5*-1.0*-1.4+3.7+3.5+4.4 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | -5.5*-0.8*-1.3+3.2+3.8+4.4 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Penguins | -5.5*-0.2*-1.0+2.9+3.1+4.3 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Lightning | +4.3+3.8+3.9*-0.8-1.2-5.5 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Senators | +4.3+3.2+3.6*+0.4*-0.7-5.5 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Thrashers vs Penguins | -5.4*-1.1*-0.7+3.4+3.1+4.4 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Devils | +3.5+3.6+4.6*+0.5*-0.6-5.1 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*+0.0*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | +4.2+3.8+3.1*-0.8-1.1-5.4 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Sabres | +3.8+3.7+4.4*-0.0-1.2-5.1 | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Kings vs Penguins | -4.9*-0.6*-0.3+4.5+3.1+3.6 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Ducks | +3.5+3.8+4.1*+0.3*-0.3-5.2 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Flyers | +4.0+3.6+4.1*-1.3*-1.1-5.2 | +0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Flyers vs Penguins | -5.2*-0.8*-0.2+3.3+3.4+4.1 | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Panthers vs Penguins | -5.1*-0.3-2.1+3.7+4.0+3.7 | -0.4*-0.0-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Bruins vs Penguins | -5.2*-0.3*-0.1+3.9+3.4+3.7 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Avalanche vs Penguins | -5.0*-0.7*-0.3+3.1+4.0+3.6 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Oilers vs Penguins | -5.0*+0.1*-1.3+3.7+4.1+3.3 | -0.4*-0.0-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Devils vs Penguins | -5.2*-0.4*-0.3+3.8+3.5+3.7 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Blue Jackets vs Penguins | -5.0*-0.6*+0.2+3.5+3.9+3.5 | -0.4*-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Blues vs Penguins | -5.1*-0.5*-1.1+3.3+3.6+3.9 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Predators vs Penguins | -4.8*-0.9*-0.3+4.0+3.3+3.6 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Islanders | +3.5+3.6+3.9*-0.7*-0.2-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Maple Leafs vs Penguins | -5.0*-0.4*+0.1+3.0+3.3+3.8 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | +3.8+3.3+3.0*-0.1*-0.6-5.0 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Flyers | +3.7+3.7+3.6*-1.1*-0.2-5.1 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Canadiens vs Penguins | -4.9*-1.0*-0.1+3.4+3.8+3.6 | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Bruins | +3.5+3.8+3.7*-1.0*-0.4-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Rangers | +3.0+3.6+4.0*-0.3*+0.1-4.6 | +0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | +3.8+3.4+3.5*-0.9*-0.9-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Panthers | +3.8+3.6+2.2*-0.6*-0.8-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Sabres | +3.7+3.3+3.0*-1.0*-0.3-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Canadiens | +3.6+3.0+2.9*-0.4*-0.3-4.7 | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Kings | +3.6+2.7+2.7*-0.3*-0.1-4.7 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Blue Jackets | +3.5+3.2+3.3*-1.2*-0.7-4.6 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Oilers | +3.2+3.3+3.3*-0.0*-0.6-4.5 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 122 | -136 | In | 100 | 16 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 32 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 88 | 6 | 6 | 16 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 120 | 31 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 80 | 20 | 25 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 30 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 70 | 23 | 6 | 64 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 118 | 30 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 59 | 32 | 9 | 88 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 117 | 29 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 53 | 28 | 18 | 152 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 116 | 28 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 46 | 36 | 0 | 18 | 245 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 115 | 28 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 36 | 36 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 405 | * | |||||||||||||
| 114 | 27 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 27 | 40 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 612 | * | |||||||||||||
| 113 | 27 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 16 | 36 | 3 | 42 | 3 | 851 | * | |||||||||||||
| 112 | 26 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 11 | 36 | 3 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 1,212 | * | ||||||||||||
| 111 | 26 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 7 | 33 | 4 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 1,744 | * | ||||||||||||
| 110 | 25 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 24 | 5 | 47 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2,282 | * | |||||||||||
| 109 | 25 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 2 | 20 | 7 | 43 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2,928 | * | |||||||||||
| 108 | 24 | 11 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 14 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3,487 | * | ||||||||||
| 107 | 24 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 4,241 | * | |||||||||||
| 106 | 23 | 12 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 5,034 | * | ||||||||||
| 105 | 23 | 13 | - | 5 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5,573 | * | ||||||||
| 104 | 22 | 13 | - | 6 | In | 2 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 3,244 | * | |||||||||||
| 23 | 14 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2,970 | * | |||||||||||
| 103 | 22 | 14 | - | 5 | 99.8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6,510 | * | ||||||||||
| 102 | 21 | 14 | - | 6 | 99.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6,776 | * | ||||||||||
| 101 | 21 | 15 | - | 5 | 97.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 6,735 | * | |||||||||
| 100 | 20 | 15 | - | 6 | 93.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 6,720 | * | |||||||||
| 99 | 20 | 16 | - | 5 | 87.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 3,058 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 15 | - | 7 | 87.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3,265 | * | ||||||||||
| 98 | 19 | 16 | - | 6 | 78.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 5,991 | * | |||||||||
| 97 | 18 | 16 | - | 7 | 65.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5,047 | * | ||||||||
| 96 | 18 | 17 | - | 6 | 51.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4,566 | * | |||||||||
| 95 | 17 | 17 | - | 7 | 35.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3,818 | * | |||||||||
| 94 | 17 | 18 | - | 6 | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3,036 | * | ||||||||||
| 93 | 16 | 18 | - | 7 | 15.3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 2,574 | * | |||||||||||
| 92 | 16 | 19 | - | 6 | 7.3 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1,917 | * | |||||||||||
| 91 | 15 | 19 | - | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1,413 | * | |||||||||||
| 90 | 15 | 20 | - | 6 | 1.1 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1,078 | * | ||||||||||||
| 89 | 15 | 21 | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 756 | * | ||||||||||||
| 88 | 14 | 21 | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 20 | 2 | 564 | * | ||||||||||||
| 87 | 13 | 21 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 33 | 6 | 367 | * | ||||||||||||
| 86 | 13 | 22 | - | 6 | Out | 1 | 12 | 44 | 36 | 7 | 263 | * | |||||||||||||
| 85 | 12 | 22 | - | 7 | Out | 1 | 5 | 39 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 146 | * | ||||||||||||
| 84 | 12 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | 7 | 29 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 83 | * | |||||||||||||
| 83 | 11 | 23 | - | 7 | Out | 2 | 14 | 49 | 35 | 51 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 82 | 10 | 23 | - | 8 | Out | 3 | 13 | 29 | 45 | 10 | 31 | * | |||||||||||||
| 81 | 10 | 24 | - | 7 | Out | 11 | 32 | 53 | 5 | 19 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 80 | 10 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | 9 | 36 | 45 | 9 | 11 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 79 | 11 | 27 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 10 | 27 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 4 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 9 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 9 | 29 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | 41 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 79.8 | % | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | +1.1 | |
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Flyers 5 Penguins 3 | +1.2 | |
| Wild 2 Penguins 1 | +1.2 | |
| Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 0 Bruins 3 | +1.1 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 3 Predators 4 | +1.1 | |
| Panthers 2 Penguins 1 | +1.1 | |
| Sabres 5 Penguins 1 | +1.1 | |
| Rangers 4 Penguins 2 | +1.1 | |
| Stars 4 Penguins 2 | +1.1 | |
| Hurricanes 7 Penguins 4 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 3 Blues 4 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 2 Wild 4 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 1 Canucks 3 | +1.1 | |
| Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 5 Islanders 1 | -0.9 | |
| Penguins 7 Devils 2 | -0.9 | |
| Islanders 2 Penguins 4 | -0.9 | |
| Rangers 1 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Islanders 3 Penguins 4 | -0.9 | |
| Devils 2 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | -0.9 | |
| Penguins 2 Panthers 0 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | -0.8 | |
| Thrashers 4 Penguins 5 | -0.8 | |
| Sabres 2 Penguins 3 | -0.8 | |
| Bruins 2 Penguins 3 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 5 Flames 2 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Coyotes 1 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 | -0.8 | |
| Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 6 Stars 1 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Red Wings 1 | -0.8 | |
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | -0.8 | |
| Canucks 2 Penguins 3 | -0.8 | |
| Maple Leafs 2 Penguins 3 | -0.8 | |
| Ducks 5 Penguins 7 | -0.8 | |
| Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot) | -0.7 | |
| Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so) | *+0.4 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *-0.3 | |
| Kings 4 Avalanche 3 (ot) | -0.3 | |
| Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so) | *+0.3 | |
| Red Wings 3 Oilers 4 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Devils 1 Wild 2 | -0.2 | |
| Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Thrashers 3 Flames 4 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Panthers 2 Islanders 1 | -0.2 | |
| Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | |
| Blues 1 Flyers 3 | +0.1 | |
| Wild 5 Red Wings 1 | -0.0 | |
| Capitals 4 Islanders 5 | *+0.0 | |
| Islanders 2 Stars 3 | -0.0 | |
| Bruins 2 Devils 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Penguins vs Flyers | -0.7-0.6-0.7+0.3*+0.2+0.9 | |
| Flyers vs Penguins | +0.9+0.2*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.7 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | +0.9+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Senators | -0.7-0.6-0.5*+0.1+0.1+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Rangers | -0.7-0.5-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Flyers | -0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.3*+0.2+0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Penguins | +0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.5-0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Capitals | -0.7-0.6-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | +0.9*+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Sabres | -0.7-0.6-0.5*+0.2+0.1+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Sabres | -0.7-0.6-0.7+0.1+0.2+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | -0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Thrashers | -0.7-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.9 | |
| Penguins vs Devils | -0.6-0.6-0.7*-0.0*+0.1+0.8 | |
| Penguins vs Ducks | -0.6-0.7-0.7*+0.0+0.1+0.8 | |
| Penguins vs Thrashers | -0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.2+0.8 | |
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.7 | |
| Panthers vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1+0.2-0.7-0.6-0.6 | |
| Oilers vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.3-0.6-0.7-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Lightning | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.2+0.2+0.8 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | +0.8+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Islanders | -0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.1+0.1+0.8 | |
| Predators vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Canadiens | -0.7-0.5-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.8 | |
| Canadiens vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6 | |
| Thrashers vs Penguins | +0.8+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Avalanche vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Blues vs Penguins | +0.8+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Bruins vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Maple Leafs vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Blue Jackets vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.2*+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Bruins | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | |
| Devils vs Penguins | +0.8*+0.1*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.8 | |
| Penguins vs Panthers | -0.6-0.6-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | |
| Kings vs Penguins | +0.8+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.2*+0.2+0.8 | |
| Penguins vs Oilers | -0.6-0.5-0.6*+0.1+0.1+0.8 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 122 | -136 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 32 | 6 | - | 3 | 88 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 120 | 30 | 5 | - | 6 | 76 | 4 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 30 | 6 | - | 5 | 59 | 11 | 23 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118 | 30 | 7 | - | 4 | 52 | 7 | 32 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 117 | 29 | 7 | - | 5 | 45 | 8 | 28 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116 | 28 | 7 | - | 6 | 36 | 11 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 115 | 28 | 8 | - | 5 | 20 | 15 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 27 | 8 | - | 6 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 113 | 27 | 9 | - | 5 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 26 | 9 | - | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 111 | 26 | 10 | - | 5 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 110 | 25 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 25 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 24 | 11 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 107 | 24 | 12 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 106 | 23 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 105 | 23 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 18 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 104 | 22 | 13 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 22 | 14 | - | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 13 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 21 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 21 | 15 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 23 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 20 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 20 | 16 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 15 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 19 | 16 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 18 | 16 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 18 | 17 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 17 | 17 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 17 | 18 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 16 | 18 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 16 | 19 | - | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 15 | 19 | - | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 15 | 20 | - | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 15 | 21 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 14 | 21 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 13 | 21 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 13 | 22 | - | 6 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 12 | 22 | - | 7 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 12 | 23 | - | 6 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 11 | 23 | - | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 8 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 11 | 24 | - | 6 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 39 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 10 | 24 | - | 7 | 21 | 47 | 21 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 10 | 25 | - | 6 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 11 | 27 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 10 | 27 | - | 4 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 9 | 27 | - | 5 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 9 | 29 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | 41 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
