Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2009-2010
Plays at Avalanche 11:59 PM, Lost to Blackhawks 0-1, Plays at Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Plays at Blues 11:59 PM, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Beat Bruins 3-2, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 5-6 (so), Beat Canucks 3-2, Beat Capitals 1-0, Plays at Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 5-4 (ot), Beat Devils 3-2, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Ducks 7-5, Lost to Flames 1-2 (ot), Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Lost to Flyers 3-5, Lost to Hurricanes 4-7, Lost to Hurricanes 2-3, Beat Islanders 4-3, Beat Islanders 4-2, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 3-2, Plays at Oilers 11:59 PM, Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Lost to Panthers 1-2, Beat Avalanche 3-2, Beat Blackhawks 3-1, Plays Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Lost to Blues 3-4, Lost to Bruins 0-3, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 1-7, Lost to Canucks 1-3, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 3-1, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Beat Devils 7-2, Plays Ducks 11:59 PM, Beat Flames 5-2, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Beat Islanders 5-1, Plays Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Lightning 4-3, Plays Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Plays Oilers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 2-0, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Lost to Predators 3-4, Lost to Rangers 4-5 (ot), Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Beat Red Wings 3-1, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Senators 2-1, Beat Sharks 4-0, Beat Stars 6-1, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 2-4, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Beat Rangers 3-1, Lost to Rangers 2-4, Lost to Red Wings 5-6 (so), Beat Sabres 3-2, Lost to Sabres 1-5, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Sharks 5-4 (so), Lost to Stars 2-4, Beat Thrashers 5-4, Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 1-2, playoff odds up 38.5 to 83.6%
54 points 25 16-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | -5.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Penguins 0 Bruins 3 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Penguins 2 Wild 4 | -5.4 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 3 Predators 4 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 7 Penguins 4 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Panthers 2 Penguins 1 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Flyers 5 Penguins 3 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 1 Canucks 3 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Rangers 4 Penguins 2 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | +4.9 | +0.5 | ||
| Sabres 2 Penguins 3 | +4.9 | +0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 3 Blues 4 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Wild 2 Penguins 1 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Islanders 3 Penguins 4 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Maple Leafs 2 Penguins 3 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Thrashers 4 Penguins 5 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Sabres 5 Penguins 1 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Islanders 2 Penguins 4 | +4.6 | +0.5 | ||
| Bruins 2 Penguins 3 | +4.6 | +0.5 | ||
| Rangers 1 Penguins 3 | +4.4 | +0.5 | ||
| Canucks 2 Penguins 3 | +4.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Devils 2 Penguins 3 | +4.3 | +0.5 | ||
| Penguins 2 Panthers 0 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot) | +4.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Stars 4 Penguins 2 | -4.2 | -0.4 | ||
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Ducks 5 Penguins 7 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 5 Islanders 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 7 Devils 2 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Red Wings 1 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 5 Flames 2 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Coyotes 1 | +3.5 | +0.3 | ||
| Penguins 6 Stars 1 | +3.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 | +3.4 | +0.3 | ||
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | +3.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | +3.1 | +0.3 | ||
| Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | -2.1 | *-0.2 | ||
| Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *-1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot) | -1.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Predators 2 Kings 3 (ot) | +1.4 | |||
| Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot) | *-1.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so) | *-1.1 | |||
| Red Wings 5 Flyers 1 | +0.9 | |||
| Oilers 4 Thrashers 3 | +0.8 | |||
| Devils 1 Kings 2 | +0.8 | |||
| Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so) | *-0.8 | |||
| Oilers 3 Islanders 1 | +0.7 | |||
| Predators 3 Flyers 5 | *-0.6 | |||
| Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 | *+0.6 | |||
| Hurricanes 3 Thrashers 2 | *+0.6 | |||
| Kings 8 Devils 1 | *+0.6 | |||
| Thrashers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot) | *+0.5 | |||
| Rangers 3 Sharks 2 | *-0.4 | |||
| Ducks 3 Flyers 1 | *+0.4 | |||
| Flyers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot) | *-0.4 | |||
| Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | *-0.4 | |||
| Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so) | *+0.4 | |||
| Devils 2 Flames 4 | *+0.3 | |||
| Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so) | *-0.3 | |||
| Thrashers 3 Bruins 2 (ot) | *-0.2 | |||
| Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot) | *+0.1 | *+0.0 | ||
| Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *-0.1 | *-0.0 | ||
| Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot) | *+0.1 | |||
| Kings 3 Panthers 1 | *+0.0 | |||
| Flames 1 Blackhawks 2 | *-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Penguins vs Capitals | +3.9+2.7+2.7*-1.1-1.9-5.8 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Penguins | -5.0*-0.6*-1.5+4.0+3.5+4.5 | -0.3-0.0*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | -4.9*-0.6*-1.0+3.6+4.0+4.5 | -0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Senators | +3.8+2.5+3.2-1.8-1.4-5.5 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Senators vs Penguins | -4.7*-0.9*-0.9+4.1+3.6+4.4 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Thrashers | +3.4+3.4+3.7*-0.6-1.7-5.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | +3.6+2.9+3.0-2.6-1.3-5.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | +3.4+3.1+2.0*-0.4-1.2-5.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Thrashers vs Penguins | -4.5*-0.6*-0.5+3.7+3.8+4.2 | -0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | -4.9*-1.0*-1.3+3.4+3.2+3.6 | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Thrashers | +3.4+2.7+3.5*-1.3-1.3-4.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Lightning | +3.0+2.6+2.3-2.2-1.2-5.4 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Sabres | +3.3+3.2+4.1*-0.8*-0.1-4.1 | +0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | -4.7-1.4*-0.4+3.0+3.3+3.5 | -0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Flyers | +3.2+2.6+3.1-2.1*-0.8-4.7 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Bruins vs Penguins | -4.8-1.3*+0.1+2.6+3.2+2.6 | -0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Oilers | +3.4+2.4+3.0*-0.9*-0.6-4.5 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Sabres | +3.7+3.4+2.4*-1.5*-0.2-4.2 | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Flyers | +3.1+2.8+2.3*-0.6*-0.9-4.7 | +0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Blues vs Penguins | -3.8*+0.0*+0.1+4.0+3.7+3.3 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Devils vs Penguins | -5.5-2.0*-1.7+2.0+2.2+2.1 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Penguins vs Islanders | +1.9+2.0+2.0-2.6-1.7-5.7 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Devils | +1.9+1.6+1.3*-1.9-3.1-5.8 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.4 | ||
| Oilers vs Penguins | -3.7*+0.4*-0.3+4.0+3.4+3.3 | -0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Canadiens vs Penguins | -2.8*+0.7*-0.1+4.8+4.5+4.0 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Kings | +3.3+2.8+3.3*-0.7*+0.0-4.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | +1.8+2.4+2.4*-1.3-1.9-5.1 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Predators vs Penguins | -5.0*-0.7*-1.6+2.4+2.5+2.4 | -0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Blue Jackets vs Penguins | -4.3*-1.0*+0.5+3.2+2.2+3.2 | -0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Ducks | +2.9+3.5+2.8*-0.2*-0.0-4.0 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Maple Leafs vs Penguins | -5.0*+0.1*-1.2+1.8+2.5+2.4 | -0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Flyers vs Penguins | -3.8*-0.3*-1.0+2.9+3.5+3.6 | -0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Panthers vs Penguins | -4.7*-0.9*-1.0+2.1+2.2+2.8 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | +2.1+1.9+1.7*-1.1-1.8-5.3 | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Rangers | +3.3+3.6+3.7*+0.4*+0.1-3.6 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Panthers | +2.2+1.9+1.5-2.2*-0.9-5.0 | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Bruins | +2.2+1.6+1.8*-1.8*-0.7-5.0 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Penguins vs Blue Jackets | +2.5+2.2+2.5*-1.4*-0.6-4.7 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Avalanche vs Penguins | -4.8-2.1*-1.7+2.2+2.3+2.5 | -0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Kings vs Penguins | -3.3*+0.2*+0.2+2.1+3.5+3.4 | -0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Canadiens | +3.4+3.6+2.7*+0.6*+0.4-3.1 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 136 | 41 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 125 | 34 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 67 | 33 | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 34 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 6 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 123 | 32 | 4 | - | 5 | In | 10 | 40 | 30 | 20 | 10 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 122 | 32 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 5 | 55 | 36 | 5 | 22 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 121 | 31 | 5 | - | 5 | In | 3 | 43 | 49 | 5 | 61 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 120 | 31 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 36 | 56 | 7 | 75 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 119 | 31 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 32 | 56 | 12 | 170 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 118 | 30 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 26 | 0 | 56 | 17 | 263 | * | |||||||||||||
| 117 | 29 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 21 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 405 | * | |||||||||||||
| 116 | 29 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 14 | 1 | 61 | 23 | 1 | 602 | * | |||||||||||||
| 115 | 28 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 13 | 1 | 52 | 33 | 2 | 936 | * | |||||||||||||
| 114 | 28 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 8 | 1 | 43 | 45 | 3 | 1,315 | * | |||||||||||||
| 113 | 27 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 6 | 1 | 38 | 50 | 5 | 1,791 | * | |||||||||||||
| 112 | 26 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 1 | 31 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 2,394 | * | ||||||||||||
| 111 | 26 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 2 | 1 | 24 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 3,099 | * | ||||||||||||
| 110 | 25 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 1 | 17 | 57 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3,824 | * | |||||||||||
| 109 | 25 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 1 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 30 | 3 | 4,648 | * | ||||||||||||
| 108 | 24 | 11 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5,312 | * | |||||||||
| 107 | 24 | 12 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6,024 | * | ||||||||||
| 106 | 23 | 12 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 48 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6,443 | * | ||||||||||
| 105 | 23 | 13 | - | 5 | 99.7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 48 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3,570 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 12 | - | 7 | 99.5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 3,108 | * | ||||||||||||
| 104 | 22 | 13 | - | 6 | 98.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6,909 | * | |||||||||
| 103 | 22 | 14 | - | 5 | 97.1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 7,029 | * | ||||||||||
| 102 | 21 | 14 | - | 6 | 94.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 6,801 | * | ||||||||||
| 101 | 21 | 15 | - | 5 | 88.8 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 6,212 | * | |||||||||||
| 100 | 20 | 15 | - | 6 | 80.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 18 | 2 | 5,573 | * | |||||||||||
| 99 | 20 | 16 | - | 5 | 70.3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 27 | 3 | 4,969 | * | ||||||||||||
| 98 | 19 | 16 | - | 6 | 58.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 36 | 5 | 4,223 | * | |||||||||||
| 97 | 19 | 17 | - | 5 | 45.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 3,565 | * | |||||||||||
| 96 | 18 | 17 | - | 6 | 34.1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 2,826 | * | ||||||||||||
| 95 | 18 | 18 | - | 5 | 23.2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 55 | 21 | 0 | 2,221 | * | ||||||||||||
| 94 | 17 | 18 | - | 6 | 16.4 | 1 | 15 | 54 | 30 | 0 | 1,716 | * | |||||||||||||
| 93 | 17 | 19 | - | 5 | 10.3 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 37 | 1 | 1,176 | * | |||||||||||||
| 92 | 16 | 19 | - | 6 | 4.4 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 47 | 2 | 883 | * | |||||||||||||
| 91 | 16 | 20 | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 55 | 5 | 614 | * | |||||||||||||
| 90 | 15 | 20 | - | 6 | 1.1 | 1 | 35 | 57 | 7 | 450 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 89 | 15 | 21 | - | 5 | 1.5 | 2 | 23 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 265 | * | |||||||||||||
| 88 | 14 | 21 | - | 6 | Out | 17 | 73 | 10 | 197 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 87 | 14 | 22 | - | 5 | Out | 16 | 62 | 21 | 1 | 103 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 86 | 14 | 23 | - | 4 | Out | 12 | 61 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 76 | * | |||||||||||||
| 85 | 12 | 22 | - | 7 | Out | 8 | 62 | 28 | 3 | 39 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 84 | 12 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | 3 | 55 | 33 | 9 | 33 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 83 | 12 | 24 | - | 5 | Out | 8 | 23 | 69 | 13 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 82 | 11 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | 40 | 60 | 5 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 12 | 26 | - | 3 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 11 | 26 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 10 | 28 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | 41 | - | 0 | Out | 13 | 88 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 83.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | +1.2 | |
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Penguins 0 Bruins 3 | +1.2 | |
| Penguins 2 Wild 4 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 3 Predators 4 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 1 Canucks 3 | +1.1 | |
| Rangers 4 Penguins 2 | +1.1 | |
| Penguins 3 Blues 4 | +1.1 | |
| Flyers 5 Penguins 3 | +1.1 | |
| Hurricanes 7 Penguins 4 | +1.1 | |
| Panthers 2 Penguins 1 | +1.0 | |
| Islanders 3 Penguins 4 | -1.0 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 | +1.0 | |
| Wild 2 Penguins 1 | +1.0 | |
| Sabres 5 Penguins 1 | +1.0 | |
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | -1.0 | |
| Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 | +1.0 | |
| Sabres 2 Penguins 3 | -1.0 | |
| Islanders 2 Penguins 4 | -1.0 | |
| Thrashers 4 Penguins 5 | -0.9 | |
| Maple Leafs 2 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Bruins 2 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Rangers 1 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Stars 4 Penguins 2 | +0.9 | |
| Devils 2 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Canucks 2 Penguins 3 | -0.9 | |
| Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot) | -0.9 | |
| Penguins 2 Panthers 0 | -0.8 | |
| Ducks 5 Penguins 7 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 5 Islanders 1 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 7 Devils 2 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 6 Stars 1 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Red Wings 1 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 5 Flames 2 | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 2 Senators 1 | -0.8 | |
| Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | -0.8 | |
| Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 | -0.7 | |
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | -0.7 | |
| Penguins 3 Coyotes 1 | -0.7 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | +0.4 | |
| Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot) | +0.3 | |
| Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Rangers 3 Flames 2 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so) | -0.2 | |
| Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Red Wings 5 Flyers 1 | -0.2 | |
| Flyers 2 Stars 5 | -0.1 | |
| Predators 2 Ducks 3 | *-0.1 | |
| Hurricanes 2 Rangers 1 | -0.1 | |
| Flyers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot) | *+0.1 | |
| Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.1 | |
| Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so) | -0.0 | |
| Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot) | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Penguins vs Senators | -0.5-0.3-0.4+0.3+0.2+0.7 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | +0.6*+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Penguins vs Flyers | -0.5-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Flyers vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.6 | |
| Senators vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Capitals | -0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.1+0.2+0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Flyers | -0.5-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Penguins | +0.6*+0.1+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Penguins vs Thrashers | -0.4-0.4-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.6 | |
| Thrashers vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Penguins vs Sabres | -0.5-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Sabres | -0.5-0.4-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.5 | |
| Penguins vs Thrashers | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.2+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | -0.4-0.4-0.2*+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Hurricanes | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.6 | |
| Canadiens vs Penguins | +0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.6-0.7-0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Penguins vs Oilers | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.1+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Kings | -0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.1+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Blue Jackets | -0.3-0.3-0.4*+0.2+0.1+0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Rangers | -0.5-0.5-0.5*-0.0+0.0+0.5 | |
| Predators vs Penguins | +0.7*+0.1*+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.3 | |
| Penguins vs Ducks | -0.4-0.5*-0.3+0.1*+0.1+0.6 | |
| Devils vs Penguins | +0.7+0.2*+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Blues vs Penguins | +0.5*+0.0*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | +0.6*+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Oilers vs Penguins | +0.5-0.0*+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Penguins vs Islanders | -0.2-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3+0.7 | |
| Blue Jackets vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Penguins vs Lightning | -0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Devils | -0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.3+0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Maple Leafs vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Kings vs Penguins | +0.5*-0.0+0.0-0.3-0.5-0.5 | |
| Panthers vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1+0.2*-0.3-0.3-0.4 | |
| Bruins vs Penguins | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3 | |
| Penguins vs Maple Leafs | -0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7 | |
| Avalanche vs Penguins | +0.6+0.2*+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Penguins vs Bruins | -0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.2*+0.1+0.7 | |
| Penguins vs Canadiens | -0.5-0.4-0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.4 | |
| Penguins vs Panthers | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.3+0.2+0.7 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 136 | 41 | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 125 | 34 | 4 | - | 3 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 34 | 5 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 123 | 32 | 4 | - | 5 | 10 | 40 | 30 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 122 | 32 | 5 | - | 4 | 5 | 50 | 5 | 36 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 31 | 5 | - | 5 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 3 | 49 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 120 | 31 | 6 | - | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 53 | 3 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 31 | 7 | - | 3 | 30 | 2 | 54 | 2 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118 | 30 | 7 | - | 4 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 5 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 117 | 29 | 7 | - | 5 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 52 | 9 | 16 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116 | 29 | 8 | - | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 115 | 28 | 8 | - | 5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 37 | 15 | 31 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 28 | 9 | - | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | 42 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 113 | 27 | 9 | - | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 26 | 9 | - | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 111 | 26 | 10 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 110 | 25 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 25 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 24 | 11 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 107 | 24 | 12 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 106 | 23 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 28 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 105 | 23 | 13 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 12 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 104 | 22 | 13 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 22 | 14 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 21 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 16 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 21 | 15 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 20 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 20 | 16 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 25 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 19 | 16 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 33 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 19 | 17 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 18 | 17 | - | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 18 | 18 | - | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 17 | 18 | - | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 17 | 19 | - | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 16 | 19 | - | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 16 | 20 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 15 | 20 | - | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 15 | 21 | - | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 14 | 21 | - | 6 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 14 | 22 | - | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 14 | 23 | - | 4 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 24 | 14 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 12 | 22 | - | 7 | 8 | 26 | 49 | 10 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 12 | 23 | - | 6 | 24 | 36 | 15 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 12 | 24 | - | 5 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 11 | 24 | - | 6 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 12 | 26 | - | 3 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 11 | 26 | - | 4 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 10 | 28 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | 41 | - | 0 | 13 | 88 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
