Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2009-2010 50/50Plays at Avalanche 11:59 PM, Plays at Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Beat Blue Jackets 4-3 (ot), Lost to Blues 3-4 (ot), Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Lost to Bruins 2-3, Lost to Canadiens 1-7, Lost to Canadiens 1-6, Beat Canucks 6-3, Lost to Capitals 3-5, Plays at Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays at Coyotes 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Ducks 11:59 PM, Plays at Flames 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 2-1, Beat Hurricanes 3-2, Plays at Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays at Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Avalanche 3-1, Plays Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Plays Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Plays Blues 11:59 PM, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Beat Bruins 6-2, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 2-4, Lost to Canucks 2-3, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 6-3, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Plays Ducks 11:59 PM, Lost to Flames 3-4 (so), Lost to Flyers 3-4, Lost to Flyers 0-4, Beat Hurricanes 4-3, Lost to Hurricanes 3-5, Plays Islanders 11:59 PM, Beat Islanders 7-3, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 5-2, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Lost to Oilers 0-4, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 3-0, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Predators 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Beat Red Wings 1-0, Lost to Sabres 2-3 (so), Beat Sabres 5-3, Plays Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Senators 3-1, Plays Sharks 11:59 PM, Lost to Stars 2-3, Lost to Thrashers 5-7, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Beat Wild 4-3, Plays at Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Lost to Maple Leafs 1-5, Lost to Oilers 3-4 (so), Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 5-1, Lost to Penguins 3-4, Plays at Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Lost to Rangers 1-6, Plays at Red Wings 11:59 PM, Plays at Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays at Sabres 11:59 PM, Lost to Senators 3-6, Beat Senators 4-1, Lost to Sharks 1-2 (so), Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Thrashers 3-4, Plays at Wild 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 25.3 to 28.2% 40 points 17 17-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | | | -0.0 | | | Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | -5.7 | | -0.6 | | Bruins 3 Lightning 2 | -5.7 | | -0.5 | | Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | -5.6 | | -0.6 | | Thrashers 4 Lightning 3 | -5.5 | | -0.6 | | Lightning 3 Flyers 4 | -5.5 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | -5.5 | | -0.6 | | Lightning 0 Oilers 4 | -5.4 | | -0.6 | | Lightning 0 Flyers 4 | -5.4 | | -0.5 | | Senators 6 Lightning 3 | -5.4 | | -0.6 | | Lightning 3 Hurricanes 5 | -5.3 | | -0.6 | | Rangers 6 Lightning 1 | -5.3 | | -0.5 | | Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | -5.3 | | -0.5 | | Maple Leafs 5 Lightning 1 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Lightning 2 Stars 3 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Lightning 5 Thrashers 7 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Lightning 2 Canucks 3 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | -5.0 | | -0.5 | | Panthers 1 Lightning 5 | +4.5 | | +0.5 | | Hurricanes 2 Lightning 3 | +4.3 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 4 Hurricanes 3 | +4.2 | | +0.5 | | Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 2 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 3 Senators 1 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 4 Wild 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 7 Islanders 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 3 Panthers 0 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Senators 1 Lightning 4 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Hurricanes 1 Lightning 2 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 6 Bruins 2 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Canucks 3 Lightning 6 | +3.8 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 | +3.8 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 5 Sabres 3 | +3.7 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 | +3.5 | | +0.4 | | Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *+1.6 | | *+0.1 | | Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so) | *-1.4 | | *-0.1 | | Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *-1.2 | | *-0.1 | | Blues 4 Lightning 3 (ot) | *-1.1 | | *-0.1 | | Islanders 4 Red Wings 5 | +0.9 | | | | Predators 3 Islanders 2 | +0.8 | | | | Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *-0.8 | | | | Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 | +0.8 | | | | Stars 4 Penguins 2 | +0.8 | | | | Oilers 4 Maple Leafs 5 | -0.8 | | | | Penguins 4 Rangers 5 (ot) | *-0.6 | | | | Bruins 5 Canucks 4 | *-0.6 | | | | Islanders 4 Maple Leafs 2 | *+0.5 | | | | Senators 5 Predators 3 | *-0.5 | | | | Avalanche 6 Sabres 2 | *+0.4 | | | | Maple Leafs 3 Islanders 2 | *+0.4 | | | | Blue Jackets 3 Thrashers 5 | *-0.4 | | | | Oilers 5 Panthers 3 | *+0.3 | | | | Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | *+0.3 | | | | Canadiens 1 Maple Leafs 2 | *+0.3 | | | | Kings 4 Canadiens 3 | *+0.3 | | | | Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 | *+0.2 | | | | Ducks 6 Canucks 2 | *+0.2 | | | | Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *+0.2 | | *-0.1 | | Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | *+0.2 | | | | Oilers 2 Coyotes 4 | *+0.2 | | | | Panthers 4 Oilers 2 | | | -0.1 | | Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 | | | -0.1 | | Hurricanes 1 Avalanche 3 | | | +0.1 | | Wild 3 Capitals 2 | | | +0.1 | | Panthers 6 Coyotes 0 | | | -0.0 | | Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 | | | +0.0 | | Blackhawks 5 Coyotes 4 | | | *-0.0 | | Panthers 4 Islanders 3 | | | *+0.0 | | Panthers 4 Devils 1 | | | -0.0 | | Blackhawks 4 Bruins 3 (ot) | | | *+0.0 | | Panthers 5 Rangers 2 | | | *+0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Lightning vs Thrashers | +5.6+3.4+3.7*-1.0-2.4-6.3 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Capitals | +5.4+4.0+3.3*-1.5-1.7-6.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Penguins | +5.1+4.0+4.4*-0.6-1.4-6.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Penguins vs Lightning | -6.3-2.3*-1.2+5.1+4.5+5.1 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Senators | +5.2+4.2+4.6*-2.0-1.8-6.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Sabres vs Lightning | -6.2*-0.3*-1.1+5.0+4.9+4.3 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Avalanche vs Lightning | -5.6-1.3*-0.8+5.6+2.9+4.4 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.2+0.3 | | Capitals vs Lightning | -6.2-1.3*-0.4+4.4+3.7+5.0 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Thrashers vs Lightning | -5.9-1.3*-0.7+2.8+3.3+5.1 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1*+0.2+0.2+0.3 | | Sabres vs Lightning | -5.9*-0.5*-1.0+5.1+3.3+4.5 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Lightning vs Capitals | +4.6+4.3+4.8*-1.4-1.3-6.1 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Maple Leafs vs Lightning | -6.2*-0.5*+0.0+3.8+3.8+4.6 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Kings vs Lightning | -5.6*-1.1*-0.4+5.1+3.9+4.2 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Panthers | +4.2+4.0+4.9*-1.1*-0.6-5.7 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Lightning vs Rangers | +4.3+3.7+5.0*-0.4*-1.1-5.7 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3*-0.0-0.0-0.4 | | Bruins vs Lightning | -5.6*-1.2*-0.6+5.0+3.6+4.4 | | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Flyers vs Lightning | -6.0-1.5*-0.9+3.9+4.6+4.6 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Ducks vs Lightning | -5.9*-0.4*-0.5+4.6+3.8+4.4 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Blackhawks | +4.0+4.3+5.0*-0.7*-1.0-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | | Panthers vs Lightning | -5.7-1.9*-1.0+3.8+4.9+4.4 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Blues | +4.1+4.9+4.2*-1.2-1.3-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Bruins | +4.6+4.4+3.0*-0.7-1.5-5.9 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Islanders vs Lightning | -5.4*-0.9*-1.0+5.0+3.8+4.1 | | -0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Lightning vs Penguins | +4.7+4.3+3.2-2.5-1.4-5.8 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Flyers vs Lightning | -5.8*-1.1*-0.6+2.8+4.0+4.6 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Predators vs Lightning | -5.7*-0.3-2.2+4.6+4.1+4.3 | | -0.4-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Devils | +3.9+4.8+3.6*-0.8*-0.9-5.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Wild vs Lightning | -5.5*-0.2*-1.6+4.7+4.4+3.8 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.2 | | Lightning vs Rangers | +4.5+3.9+3.0*-1.1*-1.2-5.7 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Devils | +4.4+3.8+3.8*-0.8*-1.0-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | | Lightning vs Predators | +4.1+2.8+4.9*-1.7*-0.7-5.2 | | +0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | | Lightning vs Sharks | +4.1+4.6+4.2*-1.1-1.5-5.4 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Maple Leafs | +4.4+3.9+3.6*-1.4*-1.1-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Red Wings vs Lightning | -5.7*-0.5*-0.7+4.3+4.2+4.0 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Ducks | +3.9+4.3+4.4*-1.5*-0.5-5.5 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3 | | Flames vs Lightning | -5.5*-0.7*+0.3+4.3+4.3+3.8 | | -0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Kings | +3.9+4.3+3.4*+0.9*-0.4-5.6 | | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | | Coyotes vs Lightning | -5.5*-0.8*-0.4+4.3+3.8+4.2 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Islanders vs Lightning | -5.4-1.6*-0.3+3.5+4.3+4.2 | | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Devils vs Lightning | -5.3*-0.8-2.6+4.3+4.5+3.9 | | -0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | | Rangers vs Lightning | -5.3*-0.8-2.1+3.4+4.3+4.1 | | -0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3 | | Lightning vs Islanders | +4.1+4.1+3.8-2.1*-0.4-5.5 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | | Lightning vs Canadiens | +4.2+3.4+4.0*-0.2*-1.1-5.4 | | +0.3+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.1-0.4 | | Lightning vs Blue Jackets | +3.8+4.0+4.3*-1.2*-0.6-5.2 | | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | | Blackhawks vs Lightning | -5.2*-0.7*-0.8+3.9+4.1+3.9 | | -0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | | Devils vs Lightning | -5.2*-0.5*-1.3+3.7+4.0+3.9 | | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | -132 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | * | 116 | | 36 | 6 | - | 4 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 115 | | 35 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | * | 114 | | 34 | 6 | - | 6 | In | 24 | 53 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | * | 113 | | 34 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 11 | 74 | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | * | 112 | | 33 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 10 | 40 | 43 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | 42 | * | 111 | | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 6 | 39 | 45 | 7 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | * | 110 | | 32 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 4 | 38 | 43 | 10 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | * | 109 | | 32 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 2 | 29 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 190 | * | 108 | | 31 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 17 | 58 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 311 | * | 107 | | 31 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 11 | 53 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 451 | * | 106 | | 30 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 6 | 52 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 675 | * | 105 | | 29 | 10 | - | 7 | In | | 3 | 42 | 9 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 974 | * | 104 | | 29 | 11 | - | 6 | 99.8 | % | | 2 | 35 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,324 | * | 103 | | 28 | 11 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | | 0 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | 1,711 | * | 102 | | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | 98.2 | | | 0 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | 2,241 | * | 101 | | 27 | 12 | - | 7 | 93.6 | | | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | 2,826 | * | 100 | | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | 88.1 | | | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | 3,459 | * | 99 | | 26 | 13 | - | 7 | 78.9 | | | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 4,081 | * | 98 | | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | 65.6 | | | | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | | | | | 4,740 | * | 97 | | 25 | 14 | - | 7 | 51.4 | | | | 2 | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 1 | | | | | 5,270 | * | 96 | | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | 36.5 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 23 | 2 | | | | | 5,856 | * | 95 | | 24 | 15 | - | 7 | 23.8 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | 6,155 | * | 94 | | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | 13.7 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 43 | 7 | 0 | | | | 6,408 | * | 93 | | 23 | 16 | - | 7 | 7.0 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | 6,618 | * | 92 | | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | 3.7 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 53 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | 6,270 | * | 91 | | 22 | 17 | - | 7 | 1.6 | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 50 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | 5,921 | * | 90 | | 22 | 18 | - | 6 | 0.6 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 1 | | | 5,653 | * | 89 | | 21 | 18 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 39 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 5,246 | * | 88 | | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 47 | 20 | 2 | | | 4,599 | * | 87 | | 20 | 19 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | 4,013 | * | 86 | | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 8 | 0 | | 3,344 | * | 85 | | 19 | 20 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 14 | 0 | | 2,809 | * | 84 | | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2,163 | * | 83 | | 18 | 21 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 21 | 46 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1,793 | * | 82 | | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 42 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 1,316 | * | 81 | | 17 | 22 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 34 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1,043 | * | 80 | | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 743 | * | 79 | | 16 | 23 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 23 | 48 | 25 | 2 | 507 | * | 78 | | 15 | 23 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 48 | 30 | 3 | 354 | * | 77 | | 15 | 24 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 268 | * | 76 | | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 38 | 42 | 12 | 155 | * | 75 | | 14 | 25 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | 38 | 17 | 89 | * | 74 | | 13 | 25 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 23 | 43 | 32 | 69 | * | 73 | | 13 | 26 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 58 | 39 | 31 | * | 72 | | 12 | 26 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 64 | 29 | 14 | * | 71 | | 12 | 27 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 55 | 27 | 11 | * | 70 | | 11 | 27 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | 25 | 4 | * | 69 | | 11 | 28 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | 3 | * | 68 | | 11 | 29 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 67 | | 10 | 29 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 40 | | 0 | 46 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 28.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100,000 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWednesday, 9/1 | None | | Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Thrashers 4 Lightning 3 | +1.2 | | Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | +1.1 | | Lightning 0 Oilers 4 | +1.1 | | Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | +1.1 | | Lightning 3 Flyers 4 | +1.1 | | Lightning 3 Hurricanes 5 | +1.1 | | Senators 6 Lightning 3 | +1.1 | | Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | +1.1 | | Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | +1.1 | | Lightning 5 Thrashers 7 | +1.1 | | Lightning 0 Flyers 4 | +1.1 | | Bruins 3 Lightning 2 | +1.1 | | Lightning 2 Canucks 3 | +1.1 | | Rangers 6 Lightning 1 | +1.1 | | Lightning 2 Stars 3 | +1.1 | | Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | +1.1 | | Maple Leafs 5 Lightning 1 | +1.1 | | Panthers 1 Lightning 5 | -0.9 | | Lightning 4 Hurricanes 3 | -0.9 | | Hurricanes 2 Lightning 3 | -0.9 | | Lightning 4 Wild 3 | -0.9 | | Lightning 3 Senators 1 | -0.9 | | Lightning 3 Panthers 0 | -0.8 | | Hurricanes 1 Lightning 2 | -0.8 | | Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 2 | -0.8 | | Lightning 7 Islanders 3 | -0.8 | | Senators 1 Lightning 4 | -0.8 | | Canucks 3 Lightning 6 | -0.8 | | Lightning 6 Bruins 2 | -0.8 | | Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 | -0.8 | | Lightning 5 Sabres 3 | -0.8 | | Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | -0.8 | | Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 | -0.8 | | Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | -0.8 | | Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so) | *+0.3 | | Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so) | -0.3 | | Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so) | -0.3 | | Blues 4 Lightning 3 (ot) | *+0.3 | | Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *+0.2 | | Kings 3 Ducks 2 (so) | *+0.2 | | Hurricanes 4 Oilers 5 (so) | *+0.2 | | Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so) | *-0.2 | | Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *-0.2 | | Flyers 4 Wild 5 (ot) | *-0.2 | | Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so) | +0.2 | | Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *+0.2 | | Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so) | *+0.2 | | Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so) | +0.2 | | Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | +0.2 | | Flyers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot) | *+0.2 | | Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 | -0.1 | | Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 | +0.1 | | Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot) | *+0.1 | | Hurricanes 1 Avalanche 3 | -0.1 | | Kings 5 Thrashers 4 (ot) | -0.1 | | Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 | *+0.1 | | Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 | -0.1 | | Coyotes 3 Maple Leafs 1 | *+0.1 | | Islanders 2 Penguins 4 | *+0.0 | | Red Wings 3 Avalanche 2 | *-0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Lightning vs Thrashers | -0.8-0.6-0.6*+0.2+0.3+0.9 | | Avalanche vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1+0.2-0.8-0.5-0.6 | | Lightning vs Capitals | -0.8-0.6*-0.4*+0.2+0.2+0.9 | | Maple Leafs vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Blackhawks | -0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.0+0.2+0.9 | | Capitals vs Lightning | +0.9+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.7 | | Predators vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.3-0.7-0.6-0.6 | | Lightning vs Capitals | -0.7-0.6-0.7+0.1+0.2+0.9 | | Penguins vs Lightning | +0.9+0.2*+0.0-0.7-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Penguins | -0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.1*+0.2+0.9 | | Lightning vs Bruins | -0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9 | | Thrashers vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.2*+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Senators | -0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.2+0.1+0.9 | | Red Wings vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6 | | Sabres vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6 | | Lightning vs Blue Jackets | -0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | | Kings vs Lightning | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.6 | | Panthers vs Lightning | +0.9+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7 | | Lightning vs Maple Leafs | -0.7-0.6-0.6+0.2*+0.1+0.9 | | Flames vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1+0.0-0.6-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Panthers | -0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.9 | | Coyotes vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7 | | Lightning vs Blues | -0.6-0.7-0.5*+0.2+0.2+0.9 | | Lightning vs Predators | -0.7-0.5-0.7*+0.3*+0.1+0.8 | | Islanders vs Lightning | +0.8+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.6 | | Lightning vs Sharks | -0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.2*+0.2+0.9 | | Flyers vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7 | | Bruins vs Lightning | +0.8+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.7 | | Flyers vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6 | | Lightning vs Rangers | -0.7-0.6-0.5*+0.2*+0.1+0.8 | | Ducks vs Lightning | +0.9*+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Lightning vs Devils | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.1*+0.1+0.9 | | Blackhawks vs Lightning | +0.8*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.6 | | Lightning vs Penguins | -0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.3*+0.1+0.8 | | Lightning vs Kings | -0.6-0.7-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | | Wild vs Lightning | +0.8*+0.1*+0.2-0.7-0.6-0.6 | | Sabres vs Lightning | +0.8*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.5-0.6 | | Lightning vs Rangers | -0.6-0.5-0.6*+0.0*+0.1+0.8 | | Lightning vs Canadiens | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.0*+0.1+0.8 | | Devils vs Lightning | +0.8*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.6 | | Lightning vs Devils | -0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | -132 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 36 | 6 | - | 4 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 35 | 6 | - | 5 | 17 | 17 | 50 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 34 | 6 | - | 6 | 12 | 12 | 53 | | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 34 | 7 | - | 5 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 11 | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 33 | 7 | - | 6 | | 10 | 31 | 10 | 43 | | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 32 | 8 | - | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 40 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 32 | 9 | - | 5 | | 2 | 17 | 13 | 48 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 31 | 9 | - | 6 | | 1 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 31 | 10 | - | 5 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 30 | 10 | - | 6 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 29 | 10 | - | 7 | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 29 | 11 | - | 6 | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 28 | 11 | - | 7 | | | | 0 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | 5 | 16 | | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 27 | 12 | - | 7 | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 26 | 13 | - | 7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | | | | | 0 | 3 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 15 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 25 | 14 | - | 7 | | | | | 0 | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 24 | 15 | - | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 23 | 16 | - | 7 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 92 | | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 91 | | 22 | 17 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 90 | | 22 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 89 | | 21 | 18 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 88 | | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 87 | | 20 | 19 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | 86 | | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 85 | | 19 | 20 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | 84 | | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | | | 83 | | 18 | 21 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | 82 | | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 36 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | 81 | | 17 | 22 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 2 | | 80 | | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 79 | | 16 | 23 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 21 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 78 | | 15 | 23 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 77 | | 15 | 24 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 28 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 76 | | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 75 | | 14 | 25 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 74 | | 13 | 25 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 16 | 73 | | 13 | 26 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 61 | 23 | 72 | | 12 | 26 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 7 | 64 | 21 | 71 | | 12 | 27 | - | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 45 | 27 | 70 | | 11 | 27 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | 25 | 69 | | 12 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 67 | -68 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 40 | | 0 | 46 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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