Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2009-2010
Plays at Avalanche 11:59 PM, Plays at Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Beat Blue Jackets 4-3 (ot), Lost to Blues 3-4 (ot), Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Lost to Bruins 2-3, Lost to Canadiens 1-7, Lost to Canadiens 1-6, Beat Canucks 6-3, Lost to Capitals 3-5, Plays at Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays at Coyotes 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Ducks 11:59 PM, Plays at Flames 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays at Flyers 11:59 PM, Beat Hurricanes 2-1, Beat Hurricanes 3-2, Plays at Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays at Islanders 11:59 PM, Plays at Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Avalanche 3-1, Plays Blackhawks 11:59 PM, Plays Blue Jackets 11:59 PM, Plays Blues 11:59 PM, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Beat Bruins 6-2, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 2-4, Lost to Canucks 2-3, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Plays Capitals 11:59 PM, Beat Coyotes 6-3, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Plays Ducks 11:59 PM, Lost to Flames 3-4 (so), Lost to Flyers 3-4, Lost to Flyers 0-4, Beat Hurricanes 4-3, Lost to Hurricanes 3-5, Plays Islanders 11:59 PM, Beat Islanders 7-3, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 5-2, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Lost to Oilers 0-4, Plays Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 3-0, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Predators 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays Rangers 11:59 PM, Beat Red Wings 1-0, Lost to Sabres 2-3 (so), Beat Sabres 5-3, Plays Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Senators 3-1, Plays Sharks 11:59 PM, Lost to Stars 2-3, Lost to Thrashers 5-7, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Beat Wild 4-3, Plays at Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Lost to Maple Leafs 1-5, Lost to Oilers 3-4 (so), Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 5-1, Lost to Penguins 3-4, Plays at Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Lost to Rangers 1-6, Plays at Red Wings 11:59 PM, Plays at Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays at Sabres 11:59 PM, Lost to Senators 3-6, Beat Senators 4-1, Lost to Sharks 1-2 (so), Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Thrashers 3-4, Plays at Wild 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 37.3 to 14.8%
40 points 17 17-6
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 9/1 | None | |||
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lightning 0 Flyers 4 | -6.2 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 3 Flyers 4 | -6.0 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | -5.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 0 Oilers 4 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 5 Thrashers 7 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 2 Stars 3 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Lightning 3 Hurricanes 5 | -5.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Bruins 3 Lightning 2 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Lightning 2 Canucks 3 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Rangers 6 Lightning 1 | -5.2 | -0.5 | ||
| Senators 6 Lightning 3 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | +5.1 | +0.5 | ||
| Thrashers 4 Lightning 3 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Senators 1 Lightning 4 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Maple Leafs 5 Lightning 1 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Panthers 1 Lightning 5 | +4.5 | +0.5 | ||
| Canucks 3 Lightning 6 | +4.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Hurricanes 2 Lightning 3 | +4.4 | +0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 1 Lightning 2 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 6 Bruins 2 | +4.0 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 2 | +3.9 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 7 Islanders 3 | +3.9 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 3 Panthers 0 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 5 Sabres 3 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 4 Hurricanes 3 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 3 Senators 1 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Lightning 4 Wild 3 | +3.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | +3.2 | +0.3 | ||
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | +2.4 | |||
| Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so) | *-1.1 | |||
| Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so) | *+0.9 | |||
| Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | +0.9 | |||
| Blue Jackets 3 Thrashers 5 | -0.9 | |||
| Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 | +0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Avalanche 6 Sabres 2 | +0.8 | |||
| Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 | +0.8 | |||
| Blue Jackets 3 Panthers 1 | +0.7 | |||
| Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so) | *-0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | *-0.7 | |||
| Sabres 7 Predators 4 | *-0.6 | |||
| Blue Jackets 3 Rangers 5 | *-0.6 | |||
| Stars 5 Blackhawks 6 (so) | *-0.6 | |||
| Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 | *-0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *-0.5 | *-0.1 | ||
| Blues 4 Lightning 3 (ot) | *+0.4 | *+0.0 | ||
| Penguins 6 Stars 1 | *-0.3 | |||
| Sabres 5 Thrashers 4 | *+0.3 | |||
| Sharks 1 Oilers 4 | *+0.3 | |||
| Oilers 4 Thrashers 3 | *+0.2 | |||
| Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *+0.2 | *-0.0 | ||
| Panthers 2 Islanders 1 | *+0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Blues 3 Canucks 2 | *-0.2 | |||
| Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *-0.2 | *-0.0 | ||
| Capitals 2 Canucks 1 | *-0.2 | |||
| Panthers 4 Oilers 2 | -0.1 | |||
| Kings 3 Capitals 2 | +0.1 | |||
| Stars 7 Panthers 3 | +0.1 | |||
| Blue Jackets 6 Hurricanes 3 | +0.1 | |||
| Sabres 5 Thrashers 1 | +0.1 | |||
| Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 | +0.0 | |||
| Hurricanes 5 Canadiens 2 | -0.0 | |||
| Flyers 2 Ducks 1 (ot) | *+0.0 | |||
| Canucks 0 Bruins 4 | *+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Lightning vs Capitals | +4.0+3.0+2.5-1.9-1.9-4.6 | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Senators | +3.9+2.6+3.2-2.3-1.0-4.5 | +0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Wild vs Lightning | -3.1*+0.2*+0.2+5.3+4.3+3.8 | -0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Capitals vs Lightning | -3.9*-0.7*-0.8+3.2+3.6+4.5 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Capitals | +3.5+2.9+3.8*-1.4-1.2-4.5 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Flyers vs Lightning | -3.6*-0.4*-0.7+3.4+4.7+3.8 | -0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Penguins vs Lightning | -3.8*-0.8*-0.7+3.4+3.8+4.4 | -0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Thrashers vs Lightning | -3.6*-0.4*-0.2+3.4+3.5+4.2 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Bruins | +2.3+2.0+3.2-2.0*-0.7-4.5 | +0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Thrashers | +3.7+2.8+3.1*-1.5-1.2-4.0 | +0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | +3.6+2.8+3.0*-0.9-1.2-4.1 | +0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Ducks | +3.0+4.2+2.7*-0.3*-0.3-3.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Bruins vs Lightning | -3.6-1.0*-1.1+3.8+2.8+2.5 | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Penguins | +3.6+3.3+1.9-2.1-1.3-3.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Flyers vs Lightning | -3.4*-0.7*-0.3+4.0+3.4+4.0 | -0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Sabres vs Lightning | -3.0*-0.1*+0.3+3.7+4.3+4.1 | -0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Rangers | +3.4+4.1+4.1*+0.9*+0.0-3.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2 | ||
| Devils vs Lightning | -4.2-1.6*-1.5+3.2+2.1+1.9 | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Ducks vs Lightning | -3.1*+0.1*+0.1+3.6+4.0+3.8 | -0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Flames vs Lightning | -3.8*-0.1*-1.4+2.7+3.2+2.9 | -0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1 | ||
| Lightning vs Blackhawks | +2.6+1.9+3.0*-1.1-1.5-4.1 | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Canadiens | +3.9+4.0+3.8*+0.9*+0.6-2.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Lightning vs Rangers | +3.4+3.9+3.7*-0.4*+0.5-3.1 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2 | ||
| Blackhawks vs Lightning | -3.7*-0.3*-0.3+3.1+2.5+3.2 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Devils | +1.7+1.4+2.1*-1.4-1.5-4.7 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Blue Jackets | +2.4+3.0*+1.4*-1.2*-0.8-3.8 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Sabres vs Lightning | -2.8*+0.3*+0.6+2.8+4.0+3.5 | -0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Sharks | +3.1+3.3+3.3*-0.7*-0.2-3.5 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Devils vs Lightning | -4.1*-0.9-2.1+2.6+2.0+1.9 | -0.2-0.0*-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Rangers vs Lightning | -2.6*+0.2*+0.8+4.1+3.7+4.0 | -0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Predators vs Lightning | -4.0-1.0*-1.6+2.7+2.4+2.5 | -0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Islanders vs Lightning | -4.2*-0.8*+0.1+2.0+2.5+2.2 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Islanders vs Lightning | -4.3*-0.6*-0.7+2.2+2.4+2.3 | -0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Lightning vs Kings | +3.4+3.1+2.6*+0.0*-0.8-3.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Coyotes vs Lightning | -3.6-1.2*+0.1+2.8+2.8+3.0 | -0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Lightning vs Islanders | +1.8+2.1+1.8-2.3-1.2-4.4 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Kings vs Lightning | -2.9*+0.2*+1.1+3.3+3.7+3.4 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Avalanche vs Lightning | -3.9-1.2-2.3+2.3+1.8+2.6 | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Maple Leafs vs Lightning | -3.8-1.3*-0.5+1.6+2.4+2.6 | -0.2-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Lightning vs Maple Leafs | +2.1+2.1+1.6*-0.9-1.7-4.3 | +0.1+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Red Wings vs Lightning | -3.2*-0.2*+0.0+2.4+3.0+3.1 | -0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Panthers vs Lightning | -3.7*-0.6*-0.7+2.2+2.7+2.6 | -0.2*-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Blues | +3.0+3.0+2.5-1.6*-0.6-3.3 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Predators | +2.1+1.8+1.9*-1.1-2.0-4.3 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Panthers | +2.3+1.9+2.2*-0.6-1.9-4.0 | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Lightning vs Devils | +1.5+1.8+1.7*-1.5-1.3-4.4 | +0.1+0.1*+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 132 | 46 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 13 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||
| 115 | -116 | In | 100 | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 34 | 6 | - | 6 | In | 33 | 50 | 17 | 6 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 113 | 33 | 6 | - | 7 | In | 11 | 89 | 9 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 33 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 4 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 25 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 111 | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 2 | 79 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 42 | * | |||||||||||||
| 110 | 32 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 66 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 65 | * | ||||||||||||
| 109 | 31 | 8 | - | 7 | In | 55 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 109 | * | |||||||||||||
| 108 | 31 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 57 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 176 | * | |||||||||||
| 107 | 30 | 9 | - | 7 | In | 47 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 307 | * | ||||||||||||
| 106 | 30 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 41 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 452 | * | ||||||||||||
| 105 | 30 | 11 | - | 5 | 98.3 | % | 28 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 690 | * | ||||||||||
| 104 | 29 | 11 | - | 6 | 96.1 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 909 | * | ||||||||||
| 103 | 28 | 11 | - | 7 | 91.7 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1,269 | * | ||||||||||
| 102 | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | 84.9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 1,760 | * | ||||||||||
| 101 | 27 | 12 | - | 7 | 73.7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 2,205 | * | |||||||||||
| 100 | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | 62.1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 2,807 | * | |||||||||||
| 99 | 26 | 13 | - | 7 | 48.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 3,393 | * | |||||||||||
| 98 | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | 34.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 4,150 | * | |||||||||||
| 97 | 25 | 14 | - | 7 | 22.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 33 | 0 | 4,793 | * | |||||||||||
| 96 | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 45 | 0 | 5,423 | * | ||||||||||||
| 95 | 24 | 15 | - | 7 | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 54 | 0 | 5,815 | * | |||||||||||
| 94 | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 66 | 1 | 6,105 | * | ||||||||||||
| 93 | 23 | 16 | - | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 74 | 1 | 6,649 | * | ||||||||||||
| 92 | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 79 | 3 | 6,496 | * | |||||||||||||
| 91 | 22 | 17 | - | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 84 | 4 | 0 | 6,494 | * | ||||||||||||
| 90 | 21 | 17 | - | 8 | 0.2 | 0 | 8 | 86 | 6 | 0 | 6,039 | * | |||||||||||||
| 89 | 21 | 18 | - | 7 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 85 | 10 | 0 | 5,910 | * | |||||||||||||
| 88 | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5,370 | * | ||||||||||||
| 87 | 20 | 19 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 4,590 | * | |||||||||||||
| 86 | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 26 | 2 | 3,903 | * | |||||||||||||
| 85 | 19 | 20 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 63 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 3,338 | * | |||||||||||||
| 84 | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 56 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 2,721 | * | |||||||||||||
| 83 | 18 | 21 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 45 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 2,052 | * | |||||||||||||
| 82 | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 1,686 | * | |||||||||||||
| 81 | 17 | 22 | - | 7 | Out | 29 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 1,304 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 80 | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | 22 | 49 | 27 | 2 | 926 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 79 | 16 | 23 | - | 7 | Out | 14 | 45 | 37 | 4 | 671 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 78 | 15 | 23 | - | 8 | Out | 10 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 463 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 77 | 15 | 24 | - | 7 | Out | 7 | 39 | 43 | 11 | 306 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 76 | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | 5 | 27 | 42 | 25 | 0 | 203 | * | |||||||||||||
| 75 | 14 | 25 | - | 7 | Out | 3 | 22 | 47 | 27 | 1 | 144 | * | |||||||||||||
| 74 | 13 | 25 | - | 8 | Out | 1 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 5 | 91 | * | |||||||||||||
| 73 | 12 | 25 | - | 9 | Out | 7 | 47 | 42 | 4 | 55 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | 27 | - | 6 | Out | 8 | 38 | 50 | 4 | 26 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 71 | 12 | 27 | - | 7 | Out | 36 | 50 | 14 | 14 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 11 | 27 | - | 8 | Out | 20 | 20 | 60 | 5 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 69 | 12 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | 50 | 38 | 13 | 8 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 11 | 29 | - | 6 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 12 | 31 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 10 | 30 | - | 6 | Out | 100 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | -65 | Out | 100 | 9 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 14.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 9/1 | None | |
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Lightning 0 Flyers 4 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 0 Oilers 4 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 3 Flyers 4 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Stars 3 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 5 Thrashers 7 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | +1.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Canucks 3 | +1.1 | |
| Lightning 3 Hurricanes 5 | +1.1 | |
| Bruins 3 Lightning 2 | +1.1 | |
| Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | +1.1 | |
| Rangers 6 Lightning 1 | +1.1 | |
| Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | -1.1 | |
| Senators 6 Lightning 3 | +1.1 | |
| Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | +1.0 | |
| Thrashers 4 Lightning 3 | +1.0 | |
| Penguins 4 Lightning 3 | +1.0 | |
| Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | +1.0 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Lightning 1 | +1.0 | |
| Panthers 1 Lightning 5 | -0.9 | |
| Canucks 3 Lightning 6 | -0.9 | |
| Hurricanes 2 Lightning 3 | -0.9 | |
| Senators 1 Lightning 4 | -0.9 | |
| Hurricanes 1 Lightning 2 | -0.9 | |
| Lightning 3 Panthers 0 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 6 Bruins 2 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 2 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 4 Hurricanes 3 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 5 Sabres 3 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 7 Islanders 3 | -0.8 | |
| Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 | -0.7 | |
| Lightning 4 Wild 3 | -0.7 | |
| Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | -0.7 | |
| Lightning 3 Senators 1 | -0.7 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *-0.3 | |
| Flyers 5 Capitals 4 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot) | *-0.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 2 Senators 3 | *-0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 | -0.1 | |
| Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so) | +0.1 | |
| Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 | -0.1 | |
| Panthers 0 Canadiens 3 | -0.1 | |
| Panthers 3 Sharks 2 (ot) | *+0.1 | |
| Blue Jackets 6 Hurricanes 3 | -0.1 | |
| Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *+0.1 | |
| Blues 4 Lightning 3 (ot) | *-0.1 | |
| Wild 3 Stars 4 | *-0.1 | |
| Bruins 2 Penguins 3 | *-0.1 | |
| Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 | +0.1 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 | *+0.1 | |
| Ducks 4 Coyotes 3 | *-0.1 | |
| Flames 2 Islanders 1 | -0.0 | |
| Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *+0.0 | |
| Capitals 3 Senators 4 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Capitals vs Lightning | +0.5*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Capitals | -0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Capitals | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.6 | |
| Flames vs Lightning | +0.6*+0.0+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4 | |
| Blackhawks vs Lightning | +0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5 | |
| Wild vs Lightning | +0.4*+0.0*-0.0-0.6-0.6-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Blackhawks | -0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Thrashers | -0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.1+0.1+0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Senators | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5 | |
| Bruins vs Lightning | +0.5+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Penguins vs Lightning | +0.5-0.0+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Blue Jackets | -0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Bruins | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2*+0.1+0.6 | |
| Flyers vs Lightning | +0.4*+0.0+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Thrashers vs Lightning | +0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Sharks | -0.5-0.4-0.5*+0.1+0.0+0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5 | |
| Coyotes vs Lightning | +0.5+0.1*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Devils vs Lightning | +0.6+0.1+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Flyers vs Lightning | +0.4*+0.1*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Rangers | -0.5-0.5-0.5-0.1*-0.0+0.4 | |
| Red Wings vs Lightning | +0.5*+0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
| Lightning vs Canadiens | -0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2*-0.1+0.4 | |
| Lightning vs Rangers | -0.5-0.5-0.5*-0.0-0.0+0.4 | |
| Sabres vs Lightning | +0.4-0.0*-0.0-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Predators | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.3+0.6 | |
| Ducks vs Lightning | +0.4*-0.0+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Rangers vs Lightning | +0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.6-0.5-0.5 | |
| Kings vs Lightning | +0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Sabres vs Lightning | +0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5 | |
| Islanders vs Lightning | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Lightning vs Devils | -0.2-0.2-0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Blues | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Panthers | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.2+0.6 | |
| Predators vs Lightning | +0.5*+0.1*+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.4 | |
| Islanders vs Lightning | +0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Maple Leafs vs Lightning | +0.5*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4 | |
| Lightning vs Ducks | -0.4-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.0+0.4 | |
| Lightning vs Penguins | -0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.1+0.5 | |
| Lightning vs Islanders | -0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.2+0.1+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Kings | -0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0*+0.1+0.4 | |
| Lightning vs Maple Leafs | -0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.2*+0.2+0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Devils | -0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.2+0.2+0.6 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 132 | 46 | 0 | - | 0 | 88 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 115 | -116 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 34 | 6 | - | 6 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 113 | 33 | 6 | - | 7 | 11 | 78 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 33 | 7 | - | 6 | 4 | 76 | 8 | 4 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 111 | 33 | 8 | - | 5 | 2 | 69 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 110 | 32 | 8 | - | 6 | 3 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 31 | 8 | - | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 31 | 9 | - | 6 | 1 | 30 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 107 | 30 | 9 | - | 7 | 21 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 106 | 30 | 10 | - | 6 | 14 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 105 | 30 | 11 | - | 5 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 104 | 29 | 11 | - | 6 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 28 | 11 | - | 7 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 28 | 12 | - | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 28 | 4 | 13 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 27 | 12 | - | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 27 | 13 | - | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 12 | 28 | 10 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 26 | 13 | - | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 34 | 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 26 | 14 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 25 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 25 | 14 | - | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 25 | 15 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 24 | 15 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 20 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 24 | 16 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 23 | 16 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 23 | 17 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 22 | 17 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 21 | 17 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 21 | 18 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 21 | 19 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 20 | 19 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 20 | 20 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 19 | 20 | - | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 19 | 21 | - | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 18 | 21 | - | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 18 | 22 | - | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 17 | 22 | - | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 17 | 23 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 16 | 23 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 15 | 23 | - | 8 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 15 | 24 | - | 7 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 15 | 25 | - | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 30 | 15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 14 | 25 | - | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 40 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 13 | 25 | - | 8 | 10 | 40 | 29 | 15 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 12 | 25 | - | 9 | 22 | 38 | 36 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | 27 | - | 6 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 12 | 27 | - | 7 | 7 | 36 | 50 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 11 | 27 | - | 8 | 20 | 40 | 20 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 12 | 29 | - | 5 | 38 | 50 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 11 | 29 | - | 6 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 12 | 31 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 10 | 30 | - | 6 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 10 | 31 | - | 5 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | 46 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
