How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Islanders 2 Senators 5 -5.9
-0.6
Islanders 2 Penguins 4 -5.8
-0.6
Islanders 1 Bruins 4 -5.8
-0.6
Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 -5.8
-0.6
Islanders 2 Hurricanes 4 -5.7
-0.6
Islanders 1 Senators 3 -5.7
-0.6
Islanders 3 Penguins 4 -5.7
-0.6
Islanders 1 Sabres 4 -5.7
-0.6
Islanders 2 Stars 3 -5.5
-0.6
Islanders 4 Red Wings 5 -5.5
-0.6
Islanders 2 Kings 3 -5.4
-0.6
Panthers 4 Islanders 3 -5.2
-0.5
Penguins 5 Islanders 1 -5.2
-0.5
Kings 3 Islanders 1 -5.1
-0.5
Flames 2 Islanders 1 -5.1
-0.5
Sabres 3 Islanders 1 -5.0
-0.5
Maple Leafs 3 Islanders 2 -5.0
-0.5
Senators 3 Islanders 1 -5.0
-0.5
Oilers 3 Islanders 1 -4.9
-0.5
Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 -4.9
-0.5
Panthers 2 Islanders 1 -4.9
-0.5
Lightning 7 Islanders 3 -4.8
-0.5
Coyotes 7 Islanders 5 -4.8
-0.5
Red Wings 6 Islanders 1 -4.8
-0.5
Wild 3 Islanders 2 -4.7
-0.5
Avalanche 4 Islanders 0 -4.7
-0.5
Predators 3 Islanders 2 -4.7
-0.5
Capitals 4 Islanders 5 +4.4
+0.4
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)+4.1
+0.4
Islanders 2 Thrashers 1 +3.8
+0.4
Islanders 4 Maple Leafs 2 +3.5
+0.4
Islanders 3 Wild 2 +3.5
+0.4
Islanders 5 Capitals 3 +3.4
+0.4
Islanders 4 Capitals 3 (ot)+3.4
+0.4
Islanders 4 Ducks 3 (ot)+2.8
+0.3
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)-2.5
-0.2
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)+2.3
Islanders 4 Sabres 5 (ot)-1.6
*-0.2
Senators 1 Sharks 4 +1.0
Bruins 1 Wild 7 +1.0
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)*-0.9
*-0.1
Sharks 5 Flyers 1 +0.8
+0.1
Oilers 2 Senators 3 -0.8
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)*-0.8
*-0.1
Bruins 3 Red Wings 4 +0.8
Kings 5 Bruins 2 +0.7
Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 *+0.7
Panthers 2 Flames 1 *-0.7
Sharks 5 Sabres 2 *+0.6
Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 *+0.6
Wild 2 Penguins 1 *+0.5
+0.1
Thrashers 6 Kings 4 *-0.5
Stars 4 Penguins 2 *+0.4
Devils 1 Oilers 3 *+0.4
Wild 4 Canucks 3 *-0.4
Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 *-0.3
*-0.0
Lightning 0 Oilers 4 *+0.3
Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.0
Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot)*-0.2
Thrashers 2 Flyers 1 *+0.2
Flames 3 Sabres 5 *+0.2
Kings 1 Ducks 5 *+0.2
Wild 3 Devils 1 +0.1
Penguins 3 Predators 4 +0.1
Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 +0.1
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 +0.0
Bruins 2 Penguins 3 -0.0
Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blues vs Islanders-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bruins vs Islanders-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bruins vs Islanders-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Islanders-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Ducks vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Islanders-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Islanders-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Islanders vs Blue Jackets+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Blues+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Bruins+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Flames+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Flyers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Flyers+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Maple Leafs+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Oilers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Panthers+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Panthers+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Predators+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Islanders vs Sharks+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Lightning vs Islanders-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Islanders-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sharks vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Islanders-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Thrashers vs Islanders-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Islanders vs Devils+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
112450-0In135025138
88298-8Out1001
87299-7Out25754*
86278-10Out3350176*
852810-7Out4343147*
84269-10Out604020*
832711-7Out45730923*
822712-6Out540421465*
812612-7Out134559186*
802512-8Out12453202150*
792412-9Out01951272222*
782413-8Out1144387395*
772414-7Out9394012528*
762314-8Out53148160765*
752214-9Out42647231,091*
742215-8Out220502701,411*
732115-9Out113503701,931*
722116-8Out09444602,526*
712016-9Out06395513,119*
702017-8Out03336213,805*
691917-9Out02267024,344*
681918-8Out01217445,118*
671818-9Out0157965,718*
661819-8Out0108283,413*
1920-6Out0118182,779*
651719-9Out0880123,542*
1820-7Out0979122,911*
641720-8Out578173,858*
1619-10Out577183,056*
631620-9Out0374226,746*
621621-8Out271273,582*
1520-10Out270282,856*
611521-9Out165336,109*
601522-8Out159415,618*
591422-9Out050494,906*
581423-8Out043574,370*
571424-7Out037633,655*
561324-8Out029712,864*
551224-9Out23772,362*
541225-8Out20801,774*
531226-7Out13871,351*
521126-8Out1090938*
511127-7Out892689*
501027-8Out595486*
491028-7Out496331*
48928-8Out199205*
47929-7Out199104*
46930-6Out10059*
45830-7Out39739*
22-44Out10054*
Total:0.0%0000002125827100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 +1.2
Islanders 2 Penguins 4 +1.2
Islanders 2 Stars 3 +1.2
Islanders 3 Penguins 4 +1.2
Islanders 1 Bruins 4 +1.2
Islanders 1 Senators 3 +1.2
Islanders 4 Red Wings 5 +1.2
Islanders 2 Kings 3 +1.2
Islanders 1 Sabres 4 +1.2
Islanders 2 Senators 5 +1.2
Islanders 2 Hurricanes 4 +1.2
Kings 3 Islanders 1 +1.1
Flames 2 Islanders 1 +1.1
Penguins 5 Islanders 1 +1.1
Panthers 4 Islanders 3 +1.0
Red Wings 6 Islanders 1 +1.0
Maple Leafs 3 Islanders 2 +1.0
Oilers 3 Islanders 1 +1.0
Sabres 3 Islanders 1 +1.0
Senators 3 Islanders 1 +1.0
Wild 3 Islanders 2 +1.0
Panthers 2 Islanders 1 +1.0
Lightning 7 Islanders 3 +1.0
Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 +1.0
Avalanche 4 Islanders 0 +1.0
Coyotes 7 Islanders 5 +1.0
Predators 3 Islanders 2 +1.0
Capitals 4 Islanders 5 -0.9
Islanders 3 Wild 2 -0.8
Islanders 2 Thrashers 1 -0.8
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)-0.8
Islanders 4 Capitals 3 (ot)-0.8
Islanders 5 Capitals 3 -0.7
Islanders 4 Maple Leafs 2 -0.7
Islanders 4 Ducks 3 (ot)-0.6
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)+0.4
Islanders 4 Sabres 5 (ot)+0.4
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*-0.3
Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)*+0.2
Red Wings 3 Coyotes 2 (so)*-0.2
Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so)*+0.2
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*-0.2
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (so)*-0.2
Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)*+0.2
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)*+0.2
Wild 3 Devils 1 -0.1
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)*+0.1
Blues 3 Devils 1 -0.1
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 -0.1
Bruins 3 Flyers 8 +0.1
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 *+0.1
Blues 4 Predators 1 *+0.0
Oilers 1 Sharks 5 *+0.0
Wild 3 Stars 4 *-0.0
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)*-0.0
Senators 4 Islanders 3 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Islanders vs Avalanche-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Islanders+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Devils-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Islanders+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Capitals vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Predators-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Islanders vs Maple Leafs-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Islanders vs Canadiens-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Panthers-0.1-0.1-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Sharks vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Flyers vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Blues vs Islanders+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Sharks-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Flyers-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Hurricanes vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Bruins-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Flyers vs Islanders+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Canadiens vs Islanders+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Flyers-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Ducks vs Islanders+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Thrashers-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lightning vs Islanders+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Islanders vs Panthers-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Bruins vs Islanders+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
Islanders vs Blues-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Islanders+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Thrashers vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Bruins vs Islanders+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
Islanders vs Lightning-0.1-0.1-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Islanders vs Flames-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Hurricanes vs Islanders+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Oilers-0.2-0.2-0.2*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Canucks vs Islanders+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Coyotes-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Rangers vs Islanders+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Thrashers vs Islanders+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Lightning-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Stars vs Islanders+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Islanders vs Hurricanes-0.1-0.2-0.2*+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112450-013502513
88298-8100
87299-7502525
86278-1050171717
852810-7141471
84269-1010253515105
832812-549431726
822712-622172229282
812612-7831312431
802512-82133430165
792412-9172540252
782413-804163335111
772414-72102836204
762314-80524402460
752214-904163633110
742215-801123138161
732115-9162642243
722116-80318413350
712016-90112384080
702017-8183247130
691917-9032551201
681918-8021952271
671818-9011249362
661819-80646444
1920-60845434
651719-90539506
641720-83335411
1619-1002315611
631620-901255915
1519-111246015
621621-81186120
1520-101186121
611521-90145927
601522-8095734
591422-9065143
581423-8044452
571424-7023959
561324-813168
551224-912575
541225-802179
531226-701386
521126-81189
511127-7892
501027-8595
491028-7496
48928-8199
47929-7199
46930-6100
45830-7397
22-44100
Total:000000000149253823