"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks 3 Sharks 4 -6.1
-0.6
Ducks 2 Blue Jackets 3 -6.0
-0.6
Ducks 3 Blues 5 -5.9
-0.6
Ducks 0 Blackhawks 3 -5.6
-0.6
Ducks 5 Penguins 7 -5.1
-0.5
Blackhawks 3 Ducks 1 -5.0
-0.5
Kings 1 Ducks 5 +4.9
+0.5
Thrashers 3 Ducks 2 -4.9
-0.5
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 +4.8
+0.5
Predators 2 Ducks 3 +4.7
+0.5
Sabres 7 Ducks 0 -4.7
-0.5
Panthers 4 Ducks 1 -4.7
-0.5
Wild 4 Ducks 5 +4.6
+0.5
Coyotes 5 Ducks 6 (so)+4.5
+0.4
Devils 3 Ducks 4 +4.4
+0.4
Blackhawks 2 Ducks 5 +4.4
+0.5
Flames 2 Ducks 5 +4.3
+0.4
Oilers 1 Ducks 6 +4.3
+0.4
Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 -4.2
-0.4
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 +4.1
+0.4
Ducks 3 Avalanche 1 +4.0
+0.4
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (so)+4.0
+0.4
Ducks 2 Kings 0 +3.9
+0.4
Ducks 4 Coyotes 3 +3.8
+0.4
Ducks 2 Predators 0 +3.8
+0.4
Ducks 7 Blue Jackets 4 +3.7
+0.4
Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 +3.7
+0.4
Ducks 4 Avalanche 1 +3.7
+0.4
Ducks 5 Coyotes 2 +3.7
+0.4
Ducks 5 Wild 3 +3.7
+0.4
Ducks 3 Flyers 1 +3.6
+0.4
Ducks 3 Flames 0 +3.5
+0.4
Ducks 5 Senators 4 +3.3
+0.3
Ducks 4 Rangers 3 (ot)+3.3
+0.3
Ducks 4 Panthers 1 +3.1
+0.3
Avalanche 5 Ducks 4 (ot)*-1.0
*-0.1
Oilers 2 Senators 3 +0.8
Blackhawks 2 Hurricanes 4 +0.8
Flames 3 Senators 2 -0.8
Blackhawks 3 Maple Leafs 4 +0.8
Red Wings 3 Rangers 2 -0.8
Lightning 1 Red Wings 0 +0.8
Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 +0.7
Blues 3 Canucks 2 +0.7
Maple Leafs 1 Sharks 2 *-0.7
Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 *+0.5
Islanders 4 Ducks 3 (ot)*-0.5
*-0.1
Predators 4 Devils 1 *-0.5
Blues 6 Predators 3 *+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Ducks 2 (ot)*-0.4
*-0.0
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 *+0.4
Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 *+0.4
Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot)*+0.3
Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so)*-0.3
*-0.0
Flyers 2 Ducks 1 (ot)*-0.3
*-0.1
Lightning 6 Bruins 2 *-0.3
Kings 3 Ducks 2 (so)*-0.3
*-0.0
Thrashers 5 Oilers 3 *+0.2
*+0.0
Canucks 0 Predators 1 *+0.2
Avalanche 1 Stars 4 *+0.2
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*-0.0
Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 +0.1
Sabres 6 Kings 2 +0.1
Oilers 2 Coyotes 4 -0.1
Oilers 3 Stars 1 +0.0
Kings 3 Flyers 2 *-0.0
Stars 2 Flames 3 (so)*-0.0
Stars 2 Thrashers 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Lightning vs Ducks-0.3*-0.1*+0.1*+0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Ducks-0.3*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Blue Jackets vs Ducks-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Canucks+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.4
Red Wings vs Ducks-0.2*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.3-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Wild+0.1*+0.0+0.2*+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Ducks vs Hurricanes+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Ducks vs Red Wings+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Ducks vs Blues+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Ducks vs Stars+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.4
Bruins vs Ducks-0.2*+0.0*-0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Devils+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.4
Red Wings vs Ducks-0.2*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Flames+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Ducks vs Sharks+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Blues vs Ducks-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Oilers vs Ducks-0.2*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
Ducks vs Lightning+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Maple Leafs vs Ducks-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Thrashers+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Stars vs Ducks-0.2*+0.1*+0.0*+0.2*+0.0+0.1
-0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
Ducks vs Oilers+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Ducks vs Stars+0.1*+0.1*+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.4
Sharks vs Ducks-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Blues vs Ducks-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Stars vs Ducks-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Sharks vs Ducks-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Ducks vs Oilers+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.4
Wild vs Ducks-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Ducks vs Sabres+0.1*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.1-0.3
Ducks vs Kings+0.1*+0.1*+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Coyotes vs Ducks-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Ducks vs Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.2*-0.0-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
131-145In100155*
130356-3In991122*
129346-4In991196*
128336-5In1000367*
127337-4In9721528*
126327-5In9622758*
125328-4In95221,092*
124318-5In91541,587*
123319-4In87862,102*
122309-5In8210802,760*
1213010-4In761301103,514*
1202910-5In661801604,222*
1192810-6In562202215,028*
1182811-5In4724127205,424*
1172711-6In3528132403,913*
2812-4In3427234402,328*
1162712-5In2530238502,449
2611-7In2429239604,144*
1152612-6In16283421102,408
2713-4In17283421014,449*
1142613-5In92444417204,330*
2714-3In10254441622,491*
1132513-6In51944523304,287*
2412-8In51944325402,434*
1122514-5In31444031713,916*
2615-3In21554031612,306*
1112414-6In110435381215,766*
1102415-5In063274318205,243*
1092315-6In033204326504,597*
1082316-5In121338361003,907*
1072216-6In011833411513,262*
1062217-5100.0%005254524202,653*
1052117-6100.0002174333402,031*
1042118-599.901114040801,569*
1032018-699.500631481411,127*
1022019-598.800325521910832*
1011919-698.2021850282565*
1001920-594.60846405404*
991820-690.67335190266*
981821-580.133147182176*
971721-669.62149264112*
961722-550.715353711171*
951723-443.283549837*
941623-527.67215214729*
931624-427.81117284418*
921524-514.31471147*
911424-612.5133838138*
901526-3Out1001
881225-7Out1001
57044-0Out13888
Total:99.7%2615225161051000000100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Ducks 2 Blue Jackets 3 +1.3
Ducks 3 Sharks 4 +1.2
Ducks 3 Blues 5 +1.2
Ducks 0 Blackhawks 3 +1.1
Ducks 5 Penguins 7 +1.1
Blackhawks 3 Ducks 1 +1.0
Sabres 7 Ducks 0 +1.0
Kings 1 Ducks 5 -1.0
Thrashers 3 Ducks 2 +1.0
Panthers 4 Ducks 1 +1.0
Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 +0.9
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 -0.9
Predators 2 Ducks 3 -0.9
Devils 3 Ducks 4 -0.9
Blackhawks 2 Ducks 5 -0.9
Wild 4 Ducks 5 -0.9
Oilers 1 Ducks 6 -0.9
Coyotes 5 Ducks 6 (so)-0.9
Flames 2 Ducks 5 -0.9
Ducks 2 Kings 0 -0.8
Ducks 4 Coyotes 3 -0.8
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 -0.8
Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 -0.8
Ducks 3 Avalanche 1 -0.8
Ducks 2 Predators 0 -0.8
Ducks 5 Coyotes 2 -0.8
Ducks 7 Blue Jackets 4 -0.8
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (so)-0.8
Ducks 3 Flyers 1 -0.8
Ducks 5 Wild 3 -0.8
Ducks 4 Avalanche 1 -0.8
Ducks 5 Senators 4 -0.7
Ducks 3 Flames 0 -0.7
Ducks 4 Rangers 3 (ot)-0.7
Ducks 4 Panthers 1 -0.7
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)+0.3
Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so)-0.3
Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so)*+0.2
Stars 5 Blackhawks 6 (so)*+0.2
Predators 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*+0.2
Sharks 2 Rangers 5 -0.2
Rangers 5 Kings 4 (ot)*+0.2
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)+0.2
Avalanche 5 Ducks 4 (ot)+0.2
Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so)*+0.2
Islanders 4 Ducks 3 (ot)*+0.1
Flyers 2 Ducks 1 (ot)*+0.1
Oilers 2 Coyotes 4 *+0.1
Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so)*+0.1
Stars 4 Blues 6 -0.1
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 -0.1
Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot)-0.1
Kings 7 Rangers 3 *+0.1
Kings 3 Ducks 2 (so)*+0.0
Penguins 4 Sharks 0 -0.0
Wild 3 Stars 4 +0.0
Lightning 6 Bruins 2 *+0.0
Blue Jackets 3 Ducks 2 (ot)*+0.0
Sharks 5 Avalanche 0 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ducks vs Kings-0.6-0.4-0.4*+0.2+0.3+0.8
Ducks vs Stars-0.5-0.3-0.5+0.3+0.3+0.8
Stars vs Ducks+0.7*+0.1+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.6
Ducks vs Stars-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.2+0.8
Stars vs Ducks+0.6+0.2+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.6
Ducks vs Oilers-0.5-0.3-0.2*+0.2+0.2+0.7
Ducks vs Sharks-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Ducks+0.6*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5
Ducks vs Islanders-0.2-0.2-0.3*+0.1+0.4+0.8
Wild vs Ducks+0.6+0.0+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Oilers vs Ducks+0.6+0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Blues vs Ducks+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.4-0.5
Ducks vs Wild-0.4-0.4-0.5+0.1+0.2+0.6
Ducks vs Oilers-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.2*+0.1+0.7
Ducks vs Red Wings-0.3-0.3-0.4*+0.2+0.2+0.7
Sharks vs Ducks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Ducks+0.7*+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Ducks vs Thrashers-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2*+0.2+0.7
Ducks vs Devils-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.3+0.3+0.9
Ducks vs Blues-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.2+0.7
Ducks vs Hurricanes-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7
Bruins vs Ducks+0.7+0.2*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3
Ducks vs Sabres-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Ducks vs Canucks-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.3+0.8
Red Wings vs Ducks+0.6+0.2*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Blues vs Ducks+0.6*+0.1-0.0-0.5-0.4-0.5
Red Wings vs Ducks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Ducks vs Flames-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.8
Lightning vs Ducks+0.7*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Ducks vs Lightning-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.2+0.7
Maple Leafs vs Ducks+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Coyotes vs Ducks+0.6+0.2*+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Ducks+0.5-0.0*-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Ducks vs Predators-0.2-0.2*-0.2+0.4+0.3+0.8
Canucks vs Ducks+0.7+0.2*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Ducks vs Red Wings-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.2+0.3+0.7
Capitals vs Ducks+0.6+0.1*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Ducks vs Bruins-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.3+0.8
Ducks vs Maple Leafs-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.3+0.2+0.8
Predators vs Ducks+0.7+0.3+0.1*-0.2-0.3-0.3
Ducks vs Capitals-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.7
Penguins vs Ducks+0.6+0.1*+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
137-145100
135373-4100
134363-58614
133364-47624
132354-56040
131344-65644
130356-347521
129346-434651
128336-535650
127337-41780101
126327-51878202
125328-412832020
124318-58833140
123319-44835350
122309-537964700
1213010-41746701010
1202910-516571001420
1192810-605571401741
1182811-5047717120720
1172711-6034622102211400
1162712-524425202316600
1152612-6163243021211001
1142613-5922240182616120
2714-3102234018261512
1132513-6511841152921230
1122514-52014411030265701
1112414-6109316283081101
1102415-500621423281517120
1092315-603211192419242500
1082316-511101215233151000
1072216-601010892531101511
1062217-500004520271722220
1052117-600022152122295400
1042118-50111014272911800
1032018-6000662528201221
1022019-5003322223016310
1011919-60201813372082
1001920-5017640241651
991820-67329183363
981821-5313013341362
971721-62164311191
961722-51535152481
951723-48530535143
941623-572114213133
931624-411176222817
921524-514571414
911424-613136313
901526-3100
881225-7100
57044-05050
Total:124312201114115734110000000000