How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals 6 Devils 3 -5.8
-0.6
Devils 0 Flyers 1 -5.6
-0.6
Panthers 3 Devils 1 -5.6
-0.6
Devils 2 Penguins 3 -5.6
-0.6
Devils 2 Rangers 4 -5.6
-0.6
Rangers 5 Devils 2 -5.6
-0.6
Devils 2 Thrashers 3 -5.6
-0.6
Penguins 7 Devils 2 -5.5
-0.6
Devils 2 Flames 4 -5.4
-0.5
Devils 1 Wild 2 -5.4
-0.5
Panthers 4 Devils 1 -5.4
-0.5
Devils 1 Oilers 3 -5.3
-0.6
Devils 3 Bruins 6 -5.3
-0.5
Rangers 4 Devils 2 -5.3
-0.6
Devils 1 Capitals 5 -5.3
-0.5
Devils 2 Panthers 4 -5.3
-0.6
Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 -5.2
-0.5
Blues 3 Devils 1 -5.2
-0.5
Flyers 5 Devils 2 -5.2
-0.6
Devils 3 Sharks 5 -5.1
-0.5
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 -5.1
-0.5
Devils 1 Kings 2 -5.0
-0.5
Predators 4 Devils 1 -5.0
-0.5
Wild 3 Devils 1 -5.0
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 -4.9
-0.5
Senators 3 Devils 2 -4.9
-0.5
Devils 1 Blues 2 -4.9
-0.5
Kings 8 Devils 1 -4.8
-0.5
Devils 2 Canucks 5 -4.8
-0.5
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)+4.8
+0.5
Devils 3 Ducks 4 -4.7
-0.5
Maple Leafs 1 Devils 4 +4.7
+0.5
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)+4.4
+0.4
Bruins 2 Devils 3 +4.3
+0.4
Devils 4 Bruins 3 +4.2
+0.4
Maple Leafs 0 Devils 1 +4.1
+0.4
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 +3.9
+0.4
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)+3.6
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)+3.6
+0.3
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)+2.9
*+0.3
Thrashers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot)-1.3
Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot)*-1.3
Wild 3 Capitals 2 +0.8
Lightning 0 Oilers 4 +0.8
Canucks 5 Maple Leafs 3 +0.8
Hurricanes 5 Maple Leafs 0 +0.8
Oilers 5 Red Wings 4 (so)*+0.6
Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 *+0.5
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 *-0.5
Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 *-0.5
Rangers 1 Penguins 3 *+0.5
Hurricanes 3 Thrashers 2 *+0.4
Senators 3 Islanders 1 *+0.3
+0.0
Ducks 5 Senators 4 *+0.3
Penguins 2 Wild 4 *+0.3
Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 *-0.2
*-0.0
Panthers 6 Coyotes 0 *-0.2
Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 *-0.2
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.1
Stars 2 Rangers 1 (so)*+0.2
Maple Leafs 1 Sharks 2 +0.1
Oilers 4 Rangers 1 +0.1
Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 -0.1
Blue Jackets 5 Flyers 6 -0.1
Sharks 0 Capitals 1 *-0.0
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 -0.0
Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 +0.0
Coyotes 4 Senators 6 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Devils vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Hurricanes+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Lightning+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Panthers+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Penguins+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Red Wings+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Senators+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Thrashers+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Ducks vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Islanders vs Devils-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Lightning vs Devils-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Penguins vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Devils-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Senators vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Thrashers vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Islanders+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Maple Leafs+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Bruins vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Coyotes vs Devils-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Devils-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Lightning vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Lightning+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Thrashers vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Red Wings vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sharks vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Senators+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111450-0In3813508
100373-5In1001
95356-4Out1005*
94346-512.5%1325638*
93347-47.17145714714*
92337-52.83283631336*
91327-63.331025481360*
90328-51.927274123103*
89329-4Out323392491180*
88308-7Out0114134122301*
87309-6Out063143183416*
863010-5Out32442283594*
852910-6Out0217393390881*
842810-7Out011035421101,207*
832811-6Out0729442011,667*
822812-5Out0323452722,165*
812712-6Out0215443542,796*
802612-7Out110404453,431*
792613-6Out06345193,951*
782513-7Out032855144,589*
772514-6Out022157205,272*
762414-7Out11558263,401*
2313-9Out11558262,308*
752415-6Out11058323,705*
2516-4Out01157322,485*
742315-7Out0652423,772*
2214-9Out0751412,682*
732316-6Out0445513,907*
2417-4Out448492,556*
722216-7Out0240573,730*
2115-9Out0341562,575*
712217-6Out234653,649*
2318-4Out133662,439*
702117-7Out129703,462*
2016-9Out128722,461*
692118-6Out022785,359*
682018-7Out017834,768*
672019-6Out013874,184*
661919-7Out09913,419*
651920-6Out7932,837*
641820-7Out06942,205*
631821-6Out3971,823*
621721-7Out3971,348*
611621-8Out298918*
601622-7Out298768*
591623-6Out199545*
581523-7Out199348*
571524-6Out100247*
561525-5Out199161*
21-55Out100253*
Total:0.0%0000000014123449100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Devils 2 Penguins 3 +1.2
Rangers 5 Devils 2 +1.2
Penguins 7 Devils 2 +1.2
Devils 2 Rangers 4 +1.2
Devils 2 Thrashers 3 +1.2
Capitals 6 Devils 3 +1.2
Devils 0 Flyers 1 +1.2
Devils 1 Oilers 3 +1.2
Devils 2 Flames 4 +1.1
Rangers 4 Devils 2 +1.1
Panthers 3 Devils 1 +1.1
Flyers 5 Devils 2 +1.1
Devils 1 Wild 2 +1.1
Devils 2 Panthers 4 +1.1
Blues 3 Devils 1 +1.1
Devils 3 Bruins 6 +1.1
Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 +1.1
Devils 3 Sharks 5 +1.1
Panthers 4 Devils 1 +1.1
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 +1.1
Wild 3 Devils 1 +1.1
Devils 1 Capitals 5 +1.1
Senators 3 Devils 2 +1.1
Kings 8 Devils 1 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 +1.1
Predators 4 Devils 1 +1.1
Devils 1 Blues 2 +1.1
Devils 1 Kings 2 +1.1
Devils 2 Canucks 5 +1.0
Devils 3 Ducks 4 +1.0
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)-1.0
Maple Leafs 1 Devils 4 -1.0
Bruins 2 Devils 3 -0.9
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)-0.8
Devils 4 Bruins 3 -0.8
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 -0.8
Maple Leafs 0 Devils 1 -0.8
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)-0.8
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)-0.7
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)*-0.6
Sharks 6 Oilers 5 (so)-0.3
Stars 2 Rangers 1 (so)*-0.3
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)-0.3
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)*-0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot)*+0.2
Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so)-0.2
Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot)+0.2
Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so)*+0.2
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)-0.2
Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so)*+0.2
Kings 3 Blues 4 (so)*-0.2
Coyotes 2 Rangers 1 -0.2
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)*+0.2
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*+0.1
Red Wings 6 Islanders 1 -0.1
Penguins 4 Sharks 0 *+0.1
Thrashers 5 Flyers 3 -0.1
Avalanche 5 Panthers 4 *-0.1
Capitals 4 Islanders 5 *+0.1
Blue Jackets 3 Ducks 2 (ot)*+0.0
Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 +0.0
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 *+0.0
Senators 3 Islanders 1 -0.0
Bruins 2 Sabres 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Devils vs Avalanche-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Islanders vs Devils+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Islanders-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Devils vs Islanders-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Devils vs Maple Leafs-0.2-0.1-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Predators-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Bruins vs Devils+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Canadiens vs Devils+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Capitals vs Devils+0.2+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2
Lightning vs Devils+0.2*+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Lightning-0.2-0.1-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Coyotes vs Devils+0.2+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Panthers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Thrashers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Red Wings-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Lightning vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Sharks vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Hurricanes vs Devils+0.2+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Red Wings vs Devils+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Sabres vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Stars-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Penguins vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Ducks vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Thrashers vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Thrashers vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Hurricanes-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Flames vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.2
Senators vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
Devils vs Penguins-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Capitals-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Oilers vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1
Flyers vs Devils+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Senators-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Lightning-0.2-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Canadiens-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Canadiens vs Devils+0.2*+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111450-038133813
100373-5100
95356-4402040
94346-51313133825
93347-4729292177
92337-538252211228
91327-6328252815153
90328-5221327282341
89329-41172124231391
88308-7261730241560
87309-6003925342082
863010-5151827301450
852910-6028223126910
842810-7151429291740
832811-6028233225910
822812-50141629331520
812712-602824382351
802612-701418363191
792613-601113239152
782513-70172442224
772514-6031741327
762414-70111383811
2515-50112393810
752415-617344316
2516-417334315
742315-704254724
2416-503264823
732316-602194731
2215-802184734
722216-701134540
2115-91134541
712217-6094150
2318-4094249
702117-7063757
2016-9043759
692118-6033066
682018-722474
672019-611880
661919-701486
651920-601189
641820-70892
631821-60595
621721-7496
611621-8397
601622-7298
591623-6199
581523-7199
571524-6100
561525-5199
21-55100
Total:000000000000011249172739