How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Devils 2 Thrashers 3 -5.8
-0.6
Devils 3 Bruins 6 -5.7
-0.6
Devils 2 Penguins 3 -5.7
-0.6
Devils 0 Flyers 1 -5.6
-0.6
Devils 1 Oilers 3 -5.6
-0.6
Rangers 5 Devils 2 -5.6
-0.6
Devils 1 Kings 2 -5.5
-0.6
Devils 2 Panthers 4 -5.5
-0.6
Devils 1 Capitals 5 -5.4
-0.6
Devils 2 Flames 4 -5.4
-0.6
Devils 1 Wild 2 -5.4
-0.6
Devils 3 Sharks 5 -5.4
-0.5
Panthers 3 Devils 1 -5.3
-0.5
Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 -5.3
-0.6
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 -5.2
-0.6
Devils 3 Ducks 4 -5.2
-0.5
Devils 2 Rangers 4 -5.1
-0.6
Capitals 6 Devils 3 -5.1
-0.5
Panthers 4 Devils 1 -5.1
-0.5
Rangers 4 Devils 2 -5.1
-0.5
Devils 1 Blues 2 -5.0
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 -5.0
-0.5
Senators 3 Devils 2 -4.9
-0.5
Penguins 7 Devils 2 -4.9
-0.5
Flyers 5 Devils 2 -4.9
-0.5
Blues 3 Devils 1 -4.8
-0.5
Predators 4 Devils 1 -4.8
-0.5
Maple Leafs 0 Devils 1 +4.8
+0.5
Devils 2 Canucks 5 -4.7
-0.5
Wild 3 Devils 1 -4.5
-0.5
Kings 8 Devils 1 -4.4
-0.5
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)+4.4
+0.4
Bruins 2 Devils 3 +4.3
+0.4
Maple Leafs 1 Devils 4 +4.3
+0.4
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)+4.0
+0.4
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)+3.8
+0.4
Devils 4 Bruins 3 +3.6
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)+3.5
+0.4
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 +3.5
+0.4
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)+3.4
+0.4
Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so)*+1.2
Penguins 6 Stars 1 -0.8
Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot)*-0.8
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)*-0.7
*-0.0
Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot)*-0.7
*-0.1
Flames 3 Maple Leafs 1 *+0.7
Stars 5 Blackhawks 6 (so)*-0.6
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*-0.6
*-0.0
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 *+0.5
Rangers 5 Wild 3 *-0.5
Coyotes 3 Maple Leafs 1 *+0.5
Coyotes 0 Thrashers 6 *-0.4
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 *-0.4
Hurricanes 5 Maple Leafs 0 *+0.4
Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 *+0.4
Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 *-0.4
Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 *+0.3
Blackhawks 3 Maple Leafs 4 *-0.3
Flyers 2 Flames 0 *-0.3
Thrashers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot)*-0.3
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.0
Rangers 3 Flames 2 (so)*-0.1
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)+0.1
Penguins 3 Blues 4 +0.1
Kings 3 Flyers 2 +0.0
Rangers 2 Red Wings 1 *-0.0
Capitals 4 Islanders 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Bruins vs Devils-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Devils-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canadiens vs Devils-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Devils-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Devils vs Blue Jackets+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Canadiens+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Flyers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Lightning+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Lightning+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Devils vs Maple Leafs+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Predators+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Devils vs Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Sabres+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Sabres+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Senators+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Senators+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Devils vs Stars+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Devils vs Thrashers+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Ducks vs Devils-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flames vs Devils-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Flyers vs Devils-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Devils-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Devils-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Islanders vs Devils-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Lightning vs Devils-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Oilers vs Devils-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Devils-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Devils-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Senators vs Devils-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sharks vs Devils-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Thrashers vs Devils-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111450-0In88138
81-84Out1003*
802612-7Out33501712*
792512-8Out25651020*
782513-7Out303924633*
772312-10Out229581048*
762313-9Out647331472*
752314-8Out5264821138*
742113-11Out21854251197*
732114-10Out11547352302*
722115-9Out0945433478*
712015-10Out638533714*
702016-9Out2345861,056*
691916-10Out22465101,339*
681917-9Out12066141,835*
671918-8Out01565202,375*
661818-9Out01064262,988*
651718-10Out660343,635*
641719-9Out0456404,423*
631619-10Out348492,737*
1720-8Out348492,179*
621519-11Out0243562,235*
1620-9Out142563,468*
611520-10Out135643,413*
1621-8Out134652,738*
601521-9Out028723,738*
1420-11Out131692,900*
591421-10Out022781,941
1522-8Out023763,093*
1623-6Out022781,966*
581422-9Out018822,054
1321-11Out018822,798*
1523-7Out019811,930*
571322-10Out13873,665*
1423-8Out013872,963*
561323-9Out11893,436*
1424-7Out010902,857*
551223-10Out07932,527*
1324-8Out8923,119*
541224-9Out05952,895*
1325-7Out5952,273*
531124-10Out4961,976*
1225-8Out3972,551*
521125-9Out2983,765*
511126-8Out1993,013*
501026-9Out1992,361*
491027-8Out01001,806*
48927-9Out01001,285*
47928-8Out0100924*
21-46Out1001,718*
Total:0.0%000032671100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Devils 0 Flyers 1 +1.2
Devils 2 Flames 4 +1.2
Devils 1 Kings 2 +1.2
Devils 2 Thrashers 3 +1.2
Rangers 5 Devils 2 +1.2
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 +1.2
Devils 2 Penguins 3 +1.2
Devils 1 Oilers 3 +1.2
Devils 3 Bruins 6 +1.2
Devils 2 Rangers 4 +1.2
Devils 1 Wild 2 +1.2
Devils 2 Panthers 4 +1.2
Devils 3 Sharks 5 +1.2
Devils 2 Hurricanes 4 +1.1
Devils 3 Ducks 4 +1.1
Devils 1 Capitals 5 +1.1
Devils 1 Blues 2 +1.1
Devils 2 Canucks 5 +1.1
Panthers 3 Devils 1 +1.1
Rangers 4 Devils 2 +1.1
Panthers 4 Devils 1 +1.1
Flyers 5 Devils 2 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 +1.1
Penguins 7 Devils 2 +1.1
Capitals 6 Devils 3 +1.0
Blues 3 Devils 1 +1.0
Senators 3 Devils 2 +1.0
Predators 4 Devils 1 +1.0
Maple Leafs 0 Devils 1 -1.0
Wild 3 Devils 1 +1.0
Kings 8 Devils 1 +1.0
Maple Leafs 1 Devils 4 -0.9
Bruins 2 Devils 3 -0.9
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)-0.9
Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so)-0.9
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)-0.9
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)-0.8
Devils 2 Coyotes 0 -0.8
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)-0.8
Devils 4 Bruins 3 -0.7
Oilers 5 Red Wings 4 (so)+0.3
Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so)*+0.3
Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so)*+0.3
Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so)*-0.3
Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so)+0.2
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)-0.2
Blackhawks 1 Sharks 2 (ot)*-0.2
Flyers 2 Ducks 1 (ot)+0.2
Rangers 3 Flames 2 (so)+0.2
Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so)*+0.2
Flyers 4 Wild 5 (ot)*-0.2
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)*+0.2
Flames 2 Islanders 1 -0.1
Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot)*+0.1
Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 *+0.1
Flames 6 Flyers 4 -0.1
Rangers 4 Maple Leafs 0 +0.1
Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 *+0.1
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 *+0.1
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 *-0.0
Coyotes 0 Thrashers 6 *+0.0
Sabres 7 Predators 4 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Islanders vs Devils+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Devils vs Avalanche-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Hurricanes vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Lightning-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Ducks vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Devils vs Canadiens-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Bruins vs Devils+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Flyers vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Sabres vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Lightning vs Devils+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Maple Leafs-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Devils vs Predators-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Devils vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Oilers vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Thrashers vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Thrashers-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Canadiens vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Stars-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Lightning-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Hurricanes vs Devils+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Flames vs Devils+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Canadiens-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Senators-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Sharks vs Devils+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Penguins vs Devils+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Senators vs Devils+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Capitals vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Flyers-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Devils vs Hurricanes-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Thrashers vs Devils+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Devils vs Capitals-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Coyotes vs Devils+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
111450-0137513
81-84100
802612-78423317
792512-85353525
782513-7927272763
772312-1026214427
762313-9113628214
752314-8142028388
742113-111103538152
732114-10192736242
722115-942238306
712015-1001133541100
702016-9083245151
691916-10032251212
681917-921846304
671918-8011144358
661818-908384311
651718-1004314718
641719-902254924
631619-1001184833
1518-121184932
621620-90134542
1519-111124740
611520-1084151
1621-8084150
601521-9053560
1420-11063658
591421-10033067
1623-633067
581422-922573
1321-1122474
571322-1011980
1423-811881
561323-901485
1424-701485
551223-1001090
1324-801089
541224-90694
1325-70892
531124-100595
1225-8595
521125-9397
511126-8298
501026-9199
491027-8199
48927-9199
47928-80100
46929-7100
45829-80100
21-44100
Total:000000013102462