Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2009-2010
Beat Avalanche 4-3, Beat Blackhawks 5-2, Beat Blue Jackets 5-4, Beat Blues 3-2 (so), Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays at Canadiens 11:59 PM, Lost to Canadiens 4-5, Plays at Canucks 11:59 PM, Plays Avalanche 11:59 PM, Beat Blackhawks 2-1 (ot), Beat Blue Jackets 2-1 (ot), Plays Blues 11:59 PM, Beat Bruins 3-2, Plays Bruins 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Plays Canadiens 11:59 PM, Beat Canucks 2-1, Lost to Coyotes 4-5 (ot), Beat Devils 6-3, Plays Devils 11:59 PM, Plays Ducks 11:59 PM, Plays Flames 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Flyers 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Plays Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Plays Islanders 11:59 PM, Lost to Islanders 4-5, Plays Kings 11:59 PM, Beat Lightning 5-3, Plays Lightning 11:59 PM, Lost to Maple Leafs 0-4, Plays Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Plays Oilers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 4-1, Beat Panthers 5-4 (so), Lost to Penguins 0-1, Plays Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays Predators 11:59 PM, Lost to Rangers 2-4, Lost to Rangers 3-5, Beat Red Wings 5-1, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays Sabres 11:59 PM, Lost to Senators 3-4, Beat Senators 2-1, Plays Sharks 11:59 PM, Beat Stars 2-1 (so), Lost to Thrashers 2-4, Plays Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Wild 2-3 (so), Plays at Coyotes 11:59 PM, Beat Devils 5-1, Plays at Devils 11:59 PM, Plays at Ducks 11:59 PM, Beat Flames 3-2, Lost to Flyers 4-5 (ot), Lost to Flyers 0-3, Lost to Hurricanes 3-5, Plays at Hurricanes 11:59 PM, Lost to Islanders 3-5, Lost to Islanders 3-4 (ot), Lost to Kings 2-3, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Lightning 11:59 PM, Plays at Maple Leafs 11:59 PM, Beat Maple Leafs 8-5, Plays at Oilers 11:59 PM, Plays at Panthers 11:59 PM, Beat Panthers 2-1, Plays at Penguins 11:59 PM, Plays at Predators 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Rangers 11:59 PM, Plays at Red Wings 11:59 PM, Beat Sabres 3-2, Plays at Sabres 11:59 PM, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Plays at Senators 11:59 PM, Beat Sharks 1-0, Beat Stars 2-1 (so), Plays at Thrashers 11:59 PM, Lost to Thrashers 0-4, Lost to Wild 2-3, playoff odds up 14.6 to 76.6%
50 points 23 14-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | -5.9 | -0.6 | ||
| Capitals 2 Rangers 4 | -5.9 | -0.6 | ||
| Capitals 2 Thrashers 4 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Capitals 0 Maple Leafs 4 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Capitals 4 Islanders 5 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 | -5.3 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 3 Senators 4 | -5.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Capitals 3 Rangers 5 | -5.2 | -0.6 | ||
| Islanders 5 Capitals 3 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Flyers 3 Capitals 0 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Hurricanes 5 Capitals 3 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Sabres 2 Capitals 3 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Thrashers 4 Capitals 0 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Panthers 1 Capitals 2 | +4.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Kings 3 Capitals 2 | -4.5 | -0.5 | ||
| Wild 3 Capitals 2 | -4.5 | -0.5 | ||
| Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot) | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Devils 1 Capitals 5 | +4.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Sharks 0 Capitals 1 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so) | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Maple Leafs 5 Capitals 8 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Capitals 4 | +3.9 | +0.4 | ||
| Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 | +3.9 | +0.4 | ||
| Flames 2 Capitals 3 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 4 Panthers 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 6 Devils 3 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 3 Bruins 2 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | +3.5 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 2 Senators 1 | +3.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so) | +3.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Capitals 5 Red Wings 1 | +3.2 | +0.3 | ||
| Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot) | +3.1 | +0.3 | ||
| Capitals 2 Canucks 1 | +3.0 | +0.3 | ||
| Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so) | +2.9 | +0.3 | ||
| Capitals 5 Panthers 4 (so) | +2.6 | *+0.3 | ||
| Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so) | *-1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Capitals 4 Coyotes 5 (ot) | *-0.8 | *-0.1 | ||
| Blues 4 Senators 1 | +0.7 | |||
| Sharks 4 Bruins 3 | +0.7 | |||
| Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 | +0.7 | |||
| Coyotes 3 Maple Leafs 1 | +0.7 | |||
| Panthers 3 Stars 2 | *-0.6 | |||
| Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 | *+0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Kings 4 Canadiens 3 | *+0.5 | |||
| Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 | *-0.5 | |||
| Flyers 2 Flames 0 | *-0.4 | |||
| Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | *+0.4 | |||
| Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so) | *-0.4 | |||
| Senators 4 Maple Leafs 3 | *+0.4 | |||
| Devils 1 Kings 2 | *+0.4 | |||
| Senators 5 Predators 3 | *-0.4 | |||
| Oilers 2 Kings 3 | *+0.4 | |||
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so) | *-0.3 | |||
| Islanders 1 Bruins 4 | *+0.3 | |||
| Panthers 5 Rangers 2 | *+0.3 | |||
| Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot) | *-0.3 | |||
| Panthers 4 Oilers 2 | *-0.2 | *-0.0 | ||
| Islanders 4 Capitals 3 (ot) | *-0.2 | *-0.0 | ||
| Penguins 4 Sharks 0 | *-0.2 | |||
| Flyers 5 Capitals 4 (ot) | *-0.1 | *-0.0 | ||
| Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot) | +0.1 | |||
| Maple Leafs 3 Panthers 2 | +0.1 | |||
| Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *-0.1 | |||
| Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 | +0.1 | |||
| Senators 5 Panthers 3 | +0.1 | |||
| Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 | *-0.0 | |||
| Stars 7 Panthers 3 | +0.0 | |||
| Coyotes 4 Penguins 5 (ot) | *-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Senators vs Capitals | -5.8*-0.7*-1.2+3.8+4.7+5.7 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Senators vs Capitals | -5.7-1.4*-0.5+3.2+4.8+5.8 | -0.4-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Penguins vs Capitals | -5.5*-0.3*-0.5+4.1+4.0+5.5 | -0.4*-0.0*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Hurricanes vs Capitals | -5.7*-0.5*-0.6+4.0+4.8+5.3 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Lightning vs Capitals | -5.9*-1.0-2.2+4.9+4.1+4.9 | -0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Lightning vs Capitals | -5.8*-0.9*-1.0+4.8+3.8+4.7 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Penguins | +4.7+2.9+2.8-2.3-1.7-5.9 | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Hurricanes | +4.3+3.8+3.8*-1.7-2.2-6.1 | +0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.5 | ||
| Capitals vs Hurricanes | +4.4+3.1+3.8-2.0-2.1-6.0 | +0.4+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.5 | ||
| Capitals vs Lightning | +3.8+3.4+2.8*-1.4-2.5-6.5 | +0.2+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.2-0.4 | ||
| Thrashers vs Capitals | -5.2*+0.1*-0.1+4.3+3.9+5.1 | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Thrashers | +4.1+3.4+4.5*-1.8*-1.1-5.8 | +0.4+0.2+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.5 | ||
| Canucks vs Capitals | -5.7*-0.9*-1.0+4.5+3.6+3.4 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Flyers | +3.9+4.2+2.9*-0.2-1.6-5.7 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Predators vs Capitals | -6.0*-1.1*-1.2+3.9+2.7+3.0 | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Red Wings vs Capitals | -5.0*-0.5*+0.8+4.0+4.7+3.8 | -0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Islanders | +2.4+2.5+2.5-2.7*-0.8-7.1 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Coyotes vs Capitals | -5.6*-0.5*-0.1+4.0+3.8+3.4 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Flyers | +4.0+3.1+4.0*-1.2-1.5-5.4 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Rangers vs Capitals | -3.8*+0.6*+1.1+5.6+4.9+4.7 | -0.3*+0.0*+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Ducks | +3.9+3.3+4.8-2.2*-0.5-4.5 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Oilers vs Capitals | -4.3*-0.3*-0.5+5.0+4.7+4.4 | -0.3*-0.0*+0.0+0.4+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Devils | +2.4+1.7+1.6-2.5-2.6-6.9 | +0.2+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5 | ||
| Capitals vs Flames | +2.9+2.8+3.1*-0.8-1.5-6.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Panthers vs Capitals | -5.7*-0.5*-1.4+3.1+3.6+3.3 | -0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Rangers vs Capitals | -4.0*+0.6*+0.2+5.0+4.8+5.3 | -0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4+0.3+0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Canadiens | +4.9+4.3+5.2*+0.1*+0.4-4.0 | +0.4+0.3+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Sabres | +3.9+4.5+3.1*-0.4*+0.1-4.7 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Devils vs Capitals | -6.5*-1.2*-0.1+2.5+2.6+2.6 | -0.5-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Capitals vs Canadiens | +5.1+4.3+4.4*+0.1*+0.4-4.1 | +0.4+0.3+0.3*+0.0*+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Sharks | +3.4+4.3+3.5*+0.4*-0.2-4.8 | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0*-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Maple Leafs vs Capitals | -5.9*-0.1*-0.9+1.8+2.8+3.2 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Capitals vs Bruins | +2.8+2.9+2.7*-2.0-1.8-6.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.2-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Capitals vs Maple Leafs | +2.7+2.3+1.7*-0.6*-1.3-6.4 | +0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Kings | +4.1+3.9+2.7*-1.2*+0.5-4.9 | +0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Bruins vs Capitals | -5.4*-1.0*-0.6+3.0+3.5+3.2 | -0.4-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Capitals vs Sabres | +4.2+3.6+3.7*+1.7*-0.7-4.7 | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.0*-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Blues | +3.5+3.1+3.7*+0.5*-0.1-5.2 | +0.3+0.2+0.3*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Avalanche | +2.3+2.3+2.6*-1.8-2.1-6.2 | +0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Bruins vs Capitals | -5.4*-0.3*-0.4+3.0+3.2+3.1 | -0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Predators | +2.3+2.7+1.8*-1.8-2.1-5.9 | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.5 | ||
| Ducks vs Capitals | -4.0*+0.6*-0.5+3.3+3.8+4.5 | -0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Sabres vs Capitals | -3.8*-0.2*+1.5+2.5+4.0+4.7 | -0.3*-0.0*+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Oilers | +3.5+3.5+2.7*+0.2*-0.9-4.8 | +0.3+0.3+0.2*-0.0-0.1-0.4 | ||
| Canadiens vs Capitals | -3.1*+0.6*+0.8+4.0+5.0+4.9 | -0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Capitals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 129 | -140 | In | 100 | 9 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 126 | 36 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 125 | 36 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 3 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 34 | 5 | - | 6 | In | 20 | 40 | 40 | 5 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 123 | 34 | 6 | - | 5 | In | 57 | 43 | 7 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 122 | 33 | 6 | - | 6 | In | 55 | 45 | 22 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 33 | 7 | - | 5 | In | 7 | 34 | 59 | 44 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 120 | 32 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 48 | 52 | 75 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 32 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 33 | 67 | 126 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 118 | 31 | 8 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 30 | 69 | 0 | 242 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 117 | 31 | 9 | - | 5 | In | 17 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 325 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 116 | 30 | 9 | - | 6 | In | 19 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 497 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 115 | 30 | 10 | - | 5 | In | 11 | 86 | 2 | 1 | 735 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 114 | 29 | 10 | - | 6 | In | 8 | 86 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1,059 | * | |||||||||||||
| 113 | 29 | 11 | - | 5 | In | 5 | 88 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1,402 | * | |||||||||||||
| 112 | 28 | 11 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 86 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1,931 | * | ||||||||||||
| 111 | 28 | 12 | - | 5 | In | 2 | 82 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,434 | * | |||||||||||
| 110 | 27 | 12 | - | 6 | In | 1 | 77 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3,042 | * | |||||||||||
| 109 | 26 | 12 | - | 7 | In | 0 | 72 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3,650 | * | |||||||||||
| 108 | 26 | 13 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 63 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4,518 | * | |||||||||
| 107 | 25 | 13 | - | 7 | 99.9 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5,074 | * | ||||||||||
| 106 | 25 | 14 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 46 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5,599 | * | |||||||||||
| 105 | 24 | 14 | - | 7 | 99.2 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 6,011 | * | ||||||||||
| 104 | 24 | 15 | - | 6 | 98.2 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6,589 | * | ||||||||||
| 103 | 23 | 15 | - | 7 | 96.2 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 32 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6,630 | * | ||||||||||
| 102 | 23 | 16 | - | 6 | 92.5 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 6,555 | * | ||||||||||
| 101 | 22 | 16 | - | 7 | 86.7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 6,559 | * | ||||||||||
| 100 | 22 | 17 | - | 6 | 77.3 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 21 | 2 | 5,993 | * | |||||||||||
| 99 | 21 | 17 | - | 7 | 66.5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 3 | 5,494 | * | |||||||||||
| 98 | 21 | 18 | - | 6 | 55.1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 4,941 | * | |||||||||||
| 97 | 20 | 18 | - | 7 | 42.4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 48 | 10 | 4,357 | * | ||||||||||||
| 96 | 20 | 19 | - | 6 | 30.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 54 | 15 | 0 | 3,698 | * | |||||||||||
| 95 | 19 | 19 | - | 7 | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 22 | 0 | 3,000 | * | |||||||||||
| 94 | 19 | 20 | - | 6 | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 57 | 30 | 1 | 2,444 | * | ||||||||||||
| 93 | 18 | 20 | - | 7 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 41 | 1 | 1,984 | * | ||||||||||||
| 92 | 18 | 21 | - | 6 | 5.2 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 48 | 1 | 1,427 | * | |||||||||||||
| 91 | 17 | 21 | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 1,096 | * | ||||||||||||
| 90 | 17 | 22 | - | 6 | 2.0 | 2 | 31 | 61 | 6 | 0 | 798 | * | |||||||||||||
| 89 | 16 | 22 | - | 7 | 0.5 | 1 | 25 | 62 | 13 | 574 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 88 | 16 | 23 | - | 6 | Out | 15 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 367 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 87 | 15 | 23 | - | 7 | Out | 13 | 69 | 19 | 254 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 86 | 15 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | 10 | 65 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 192 | * | |||||||||||||
| 85 | 14 | 24 | - | 7 | 1.1 | 1 | 8 | 59 | 28 | 3 | 95 | * | |||||||||||||
| 84 | 14 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | 2 | 60 | 36 | 2 | 53 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 83 | 14 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 37 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 82 | 12 | 25 | - | 8 | Out | 20 | 47 | 33 | 15 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 81 | 12 | 26 | - | 7 | Out | 8 | 58 | 33 | 12 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 80 | 11 | 26 | - | 8 | Out | 17 | 67 | 17 | 6 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 78 | 11 | 28 | - | 6 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | 29 | 29 | 43 | 7 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | 45 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 76.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100,000 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 9/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Penguins 3 Capitals 5 | -0.9 | |
| Monday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Capitals 2 Rangers 4 | +1.2 | |
| Capitals 0 Penguins 1 | +1.2 | |
| Capitals 2 Thrashers 4 | +1.2 | |
| Capitals 3 Senators 4 | +1.2 | |
| Capitals 0 Maple Leafs 4 | +1.2 | |
| Capitals 4 Islanders 5 | +1.1 | |
| Capitals 3 Rangers 5 | +1.1 | |
| Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 | +1.1 | |
| Thrashers 4 Capitals 0 | +1.1 | |
| Islanders 5 Capitals 3 | +1.1 | |
| Hurricanes 5 Capitals 3 | +1.0 | |
| Flyers 3 Capitals 0 | +1.0 | |
| Panthers 1 Capitals 2 | -1.0 | |
| Kings 3 Capitals 2 | +1.0 | |
| Wild 3 Capitals 2 | +1.0 | |
| Sabres 2 Capitals 3 | -1.0 | |
| Sharks 0 Capitals 1 | -0.9 | |
| Devils 1 Capitals 5 | -0.9 | |
| Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 | -0.9 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Capitals 8 | -0.9 | |
| Flames 2 Capitals 3 | -0.9 | |
| Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot) | -0.9 | |
| Avalanche 3 Capitals 4 | -0.8 | |
| Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so) | -0.8 | |
| Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 | -0.8 | |
| Capitals 4 Panthers 1 | -0.8 | |
| Capitals 5 Lightning 3 | -0.8 | |
| Capitals 6 Devils 3 | -0.8 | |
| Capitals 2 Senators 1 | -0.8 | |
| Blues 2 Capitals 3 (so) | *-0.8 | |
| Capitals 3 Bruins 2 | -0.7 | |
| Capitals 5 Red Wings 1 | -0.7 | |
| Capitals 2 Canucks 1 | -0.7 | |
| Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot) | -0.7 | |
| Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so) | -0.7 | |
| Capitals 5 Panthers 4 (so) | -0.6 | |
| Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so) | *+0.3 | |
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so) | +0.3 | |
| Capitals 4 Coyotes 5 (ot) | +0.3 | |
| Islanders 3 Devils 4 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Panthers 3 Sharks 2 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 5 Ducks 4 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Stars 3 Devils 2 (ot) | *-0.2 | |
| Lightning 2 Sabres 3 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Panthers 3 Blackhawks 7 | -0.1 | |
| Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 | -0.1 | |
| Blue Jackets 3 Panthers 1 | -0.1 | |
| Islanders 4 Capitals 3 (ot) | *+0.1 | |
| Devils 1 Kings 2 | -0.1 | |
| Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so) | *-0.1 | |
| Blue Jackets 6 Hurricanes 3 | -0.1 | |
| Flyers 5 Capitals 4 (ot) | *+0.0 | |
| Canadiens 4 Panthers 2 | -0.0 | |
| Thrashers 3 Predators 2 | *+0.0 | |
| Sharks 5 Sabres 2 | *-0.0 | |
| Coyotes 2 Rangers 1 | *-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||
| Hurricanes vs Capitals | +0.9+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.7-0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Hurricanes | -0.7-0.5-0.6+0.3+0.3+1.0 | |
| Capitals vs Thrashers | -0.7-0.5-0.7+0.4+0.3+0.9 | |
| Thrashers vs Capitals | +0.8+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Hurricanes | -0.7-0.5-0.5+0.4+0.4+0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Canadiens | -0.8-0.7-0.9*-0.1*-0.0+0.6 | |
| Penguins vs Capitals | +0.8+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.8 | |
| Capitals vs Penguins | -0.6-0.4-0.5+0.3+0.2+0.9 | |
| Lightning vs Capitals | +0.8+0.1*+0.3-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Flyers | -0.6-0.7-0.4*+0.1+0.2+0.8 | |
| Senators vs Capitals | +0.8+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.7-0.7 | |
| Oilers vs Capitals | +0.7*+0.1*-0.0-0.8-0.7-0.7 | |
| Senators vs Capitals | +0.8*+0.0*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7 | |
| Canucks vs Capitals | +0.8+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.5-0.5 | |
| Predators vs Capitals | +0.9+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.4-0.5 | |
| Rangers vs Capitals | +0.6*-0.0-0.2-0.9-0.8-0.7 | |
| Red Wings vs Capitals | +0.8+0.1*-0.0-0.6-0.7-0.6 | |
| Lightning vs Capitals | +0.8*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Capitals vs Lightning | -0.5-0.5-0.4*+0.1+0.3+0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Sharks | -0.5-0.7-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.7 | |
| Rangers vs Capitals | +0.6-0.1*-0.1-0.8-0.7-0.8 | |
| Capitals vs Islanders | -0.3-0.4-0.4*+0.3+0.2+1.0 | |
| Capitals vs Flames | -0.4-0.4-0.5*-0.1+0.3+0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Flyers | -0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.2+0.8 | |
| Coyotes vs Capitals | +0.8*+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.5 | |
| Capitals vs Blues | -0.6-0.5-0.6+0.1+0.1+0.8 | |
| Capitals vs Oilers | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.0*+0.1+0.8 | |
| Capitals vs Ducks | -0.6-0.6-0.7*+0.3*+0.1+0.7 | |
| Bruins vs Capitals | +0.8+0.1+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5 | |
| Capitals vs Bruins | -0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.3+0.2+0.9 | |
| Capitals vs Avalanche | -0.3-0.3-0.4*+0.2+0.3+0.9 | |
| Bruins vs Capitals | +0.8+0.2*+0.1-0.6-0.5-0.5 | |
| Capitals vs Kings | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.2*+0.0+0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Sabres | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.1*+0.1+0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Devils | -0.3-0.2*-0.2+0.4+0.4+1.0 | |
| Capitals vs Sabres | -0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.0*+0.0+0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Predators | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.3+0.9 | |
| Sabres vs Capitals | +0.6*+0.0-0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7 | |
| Capitals vs Canadiens | -0.7-0.7-0.7*-0.0*-0.0+0.6 | |
| Capitals vs Maple Leafs | -0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.3+0.9 | |
| Devils vs Capitals | +0.9+0.3+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 129 | -140 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126 | 36 | 5 | - | 4 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 125 | 36 | 6 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124 | 34 | 5 | - | 6 | 20 | 40 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 123 | 34 | 6 | - | 5 | 57 | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 122 | 33 | 6 | - | 6 | 55 | 45 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 121 | 33 | 7 | - | 5 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 120 | 32 | 7 | - | 6 | 43 | 5 | 52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 119 | 32 | 8 | - | 5 | 29 | 5 | 66 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 118 | 31 | 8 | - | 6 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 69 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 117 | 31 | 9 | - | 5 | 12 | 5 | 81 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 116 | 30 | 9 | - | 6 | 11 | 7 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 115 | 30 | 10 | - | 5 | 5 | 6 | 82 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 114 | 29 | 10 | - | 6 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 113 | 29 | 11 | - | 5 | 1 | 4 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112 | 28 | 11 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 111 | 28 | 12 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 65 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 110 | 27 | 12 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 109 | 26 | 12 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 108 | 26 | 13 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 107 | 25 | 13 | - | 7 | 0 | 25 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 106 | 25 | 14 | - | 6 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 105 | 24 | 14 | - | 7 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 104 | 24 | 15 | - | 6 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 103 | 23 | 15 | - | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 102 | 23 | 16 | - | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 101 | 22 | 16 | - | 7 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 8 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 100 | 22 | 17 | - | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 28 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 99 | 21 | 17 | - | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 18 | 29 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 98 | 21 | 18 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 35 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97 | 20 | 18 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 96 | 20 | 19 | - | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 95 | 19 | 19 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94 | 19 | 20 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93 | 18 | 20 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92 | 18 | 21 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91 | 17 | 21 | - | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90 | 17 | 22 | - | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89 | 16 | 22 | - | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 20 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88 | 16 | 23 | - | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 15 | 23 | - | 7 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 17 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 15 | 24 | - | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 32 | 11 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 14 | 24 | - | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 27 | 23 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 14 | 25 | - | 6 | 19 | 21 | 34 | 19 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 14 | 26 | - | 5 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 22 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 12 | 25 | - | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 7 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 12 | 26 | - | 7 | 17 | 67 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 11 | 26 | - | 8 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 11 | 28 | - | 6 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | 29 | - | 5 | 14 | 43 | 29 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | 45 | - | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
