How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canucks 2 Stars 5 -6.0
-0.6
Canucks 0 Kings 5 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 0 Predators 1 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 1 Flyers 5 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 -5.6
-0.6
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 -5.5
-0.6
Flames 4 Canucks 3 -5.5
-0.6
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 -5.5
-0.5
Canucks 2 Penguins 3 -5.4
-0.6
Canucks 3 Lightning 6 -5.4
-0.6
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 -5.3
-0.5
Flames 3 Canucks 4 +5.2
+0.5
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 -5.1
-0.5
Wild 4 Canucks 3 -5.1
-0.5
Blues 3 Canucks 2 -4.9
-0.5
Predators 7 Canucks 3 -4.8
-0.5
Wild 3 Canucks 0 -4.8
-0.5
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 -4.6
-0.5
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 -4.6
-0.5
Predators 0 Canucks 4 +4.6
+0.5
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 +4.5
+0.4
Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 -4.5
-0.5
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 -4.3
-0.4
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 +4.3
+0.4
Sabres 5 Canucks 2 -4.3
-0.5
Devils 2 Canucks 5 +4.2
+0.4
Senators 3 Canucks 4 +4.2
+0.4
Penguins 1 Canucks 3 +4.2
+0.4
Lightning 2 Canucks 3 +4.1
+0.4
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 +4.0
+0.4
Canucks 4 Kings 1 +3.7
+0.4
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 +3.5
+0.4
Canucks 4 Sabres 1 +3.5
+0.4
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 +3.5
+0.4
Canucks 5 Predators 2 +3.4
+0.4
Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so)+3.2
+0.4
Canucks 5 Maple Leafs 3 +3.2
+0.3
Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 +3.0
+0.3
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)+2.7
+0.3
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)-1.7
*-0.1
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)*-1.3
*-0.1
Blue Jackets 3 Thrashers 5 +1.0
Islanders 2 Stars 3 -1.0
Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 +1.0
Thrashers 3 Predators 2 +0.8
Oilers 2 Coyotes 4 +0.8
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*-0.8
*-0.1
Sharks 0 Capitals 1 +0.8
Blackhawks 2 Ducks 5 *+0.6
Panthers 3 Stars 2 *+0.6
Devils 2 Thrashers 3 *+0.5
Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 *+0.5
Lightning 3 Flames 4 (so)*+0.5
*-0.0
Panthers 3 Sharks 2 (ot)*+0.5
Ducks 2 Blue Jackets 3 *+0.4
Coyotes 5 Hurricanes 4 *-0.4
Wild 4 Sharks 3 *+0.3
Capitals 2 Stars 1 (so)*+0.3
Kings 1 Red Wings 3 *+0.3
Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 *+0.2
Hurricanes 2 Lightning 3 *-0.2
Thrashers 3 Flames 4 (ot)*+0.2
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*-0.1
*-0.0
Red Wings 3 Canucks 2 (ot)*-0.1
*-0.0
Maple Leafs 4 Canucks 3 (ot)*+0.0
Stars 2 Flames 3 (so)*-0.2
Flyers 4 Wild 5 (ot)-0.1
Wild 1 Blackhawks 3 +0.1
Oilers 4 Rangers 1 *-0.0
Coyotes 7 Islanders 5 *-0.0
Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blue Jackets vs Canucks-0.8*-0.2*-0.3+1.4+0.7+1.0
-0.2-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Canucks vs Thrashers+0.7+0.7+1.4*-0.1*-0.2-0.7
+0.2+0.2+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Red Wings+1.1+0.5*+0.4-0.6-0.5-1.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.2
Canucks vs Flames+0.6+0.6+1.2*-0.1*-0.4-0.9
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Red Wings vs Canucks-0.8-0.4*-0.5*+0.5+0.8+1.3
-0.2+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Oilers vs Canucks-0.7*-0.1*+0.2*+0.7+1.3+1.0
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Canadiens vs Canucks-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.9+1.2+1.4
-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
Stars vs Canucks-0.8*+0.2*+0.3+1.2+0.7+0.9
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Red Wings+1.0+0.8+0.7*-0.4-0.4-1.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Blackhawks+0.7+0.7+0.9*-0.4-0.5-1.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Flyers vs Canucks-0.7*-0.1*+0.1+1.2+0.9+0.8
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Ducks+0.7+0.8+1.2*+0.4*-0.0-0.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Senators+0.7+0.7+1.0*+0.0*-0.2-0.8
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Blue Jackets+0.9+0.6*+0.5*-0.5-0.5-1.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Canucks vs Blues+0.8+1.0+0.7*-0.2*-0.0-0.8
+0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Sharks+0.8+0.9+1.0*+0.1*-0.2-0.7
+0.2+0.2+0.3*+0.0*-0.0-0.2
Sharks vs Canucks-0.7*+0.1*-0.1+1.0+1.0+1.0
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.2
Canucks vs Oilers+0.9+0.9*+0.7*-0.3*-0.1-0.8
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Wild+0.8+0.9+1.0*+0.2*-0.2-0.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2*+0.0*-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Stars+0.9+0.5+0.8*-0.3*+0.1-0.8
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2
Blues vs Canucks-0.7*+0.2*+0.1*+0.4+1.0+0.8
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Coyotes vs Canucks-0.8*-0.2*-0.5+0.9+0.7+0.8
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
Canucks vs Flames+0.5+0.5+0.9*-0.4-0.5-0.8
+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Kings vs Canucks-0.6*+0.1*+0.0+1.0+1.0+0.8
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.3+0.2
Canucks vs Coyotes+0.6+0.7*+0.6*+0.0*-0.3-0.9
+0.2+0.1+0.2*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Coyotes vs Canucks-0.7*-0.2*+0.0*+0.3+0.6+0.8
-0.3-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Canucks vs Oilers+0.8+0.9*+0.2*-0.3*-0.1-0.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Avalanche vs Canucks-0.8*-0.2*-0.1*+0.5+0.4+0.6
-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2
Canucks vs Avalanche+0.5*+0.3*+0.1*+0.1*-0.3-0.9
+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.3
Canucks vs Avalanche+0.5+0.5*-0.2-0.7*-0.4-0.8
+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canucks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
124410-0In1008
107295-7In1003*
106274-10In40605*
105297-5In111156229*
104287-6In524432921*
103277-793.1%175224729*
102278-696.3294343454*
101268-785.7382550131105*
100269-680.422256191189*
99259-762.0116453440276*
982510-655.484734101415*
972511-542.00537431410685*
962411-628.832646223975*
952311-720.001194926501,283*
942312-611.401142361001,752*
932212-75.80636411622,424*
922213-63.43254523402,870*
912113-71.301194132703,700*
902114-60.611137371314,391*
892014-70.30630431825,122*
882015-60.103234326405,774*
871915-70.102144035906,233*
861916-6Out11035411303,717*
1815-80.101933411502,953*
851816-7Out0628452013,823*
1715-9Out0526462212,901*
841817-6Out0320463013,597*
1716-8Out0319463213,314*
831717-7Out0114443936,519*
821718-6Out0183749506,283*
811618-7Out053256805,742*
801619-6Out0325601205,250*
791519-7Out117631804,508*
781520-6Out112632413,702*
771420-7Out08603113,021*
761421-6Out05514122,352*
751321-7Out2484631,746*
741322-6Out2405171,379*
731222-7Out03356101,015*
721122-8Out0285913671*
711224-5Out235621465*
701124-6Out175726300*
691024-7Out106029164*
681025-6Out8524095*
671026-5Out9375465*
66825-8Out4603645*
65826-7Out247617*
64726-8Out208010*
63828-5Out109010*
42-62Out10013*
Total:2.1%0000261219252881100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Canucks 2 Stars 5 +1.2
Canucks 1 Flyers 5 +1.2
Canucks 0 Kings 5 +1.2
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 +1.2
Canucks 0 Predators 1 +1.2
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 +1.2
Canucks 3 Lightning 6 +1.2
Canucks 2 Penguins 3 +1.2
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 +1.1
Flames 4 Canucks 3 +1.1
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 +1.1
Wild 4 Canucks 3 +1.1
Flames 3 Canucks 4 -1.1
Blues 3 Canucks 2 +1.0
Wild 3 Canucks 0 +1.0
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 +1.0
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 +1.0
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 +1.0
Predators 7 Canucks 3 +1.0
Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 +1.0
Predators 0 Canucks 4 -0.9
Sabres 5 Canucks 2 +0.9
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 +0.9
Senators 3 Canucks 4 -0.9
Penguins 1 Canucks 3 -0.9
Devils 2 Canucks 5 -0.9
Lightning 2 Canucks 3 -0.9
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 -0.9
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 -0.9
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 -0.8
Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so)-0.8
Canucks 4 Kings 1 -0.8
Canucks 4 Sabres 1 -0.8
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 -0.7
Canucks 5 Predators 2 -0.7
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 -0.7
Canucks 5 Maple Leafs 3 -0.7
Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 -0.7
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)-0.7
Stars 2 Flames 3 (so)*+0.3
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)+0.3
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)+0.3
Flames 2 Ducks 3 (so)*-0.2
Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so)*+0.2
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*+0.2
Kings 3 Ducks 2 (so)*-0.2
Thrashers 3 Bruins 2 (ot)*+0.2
Maple Leafs 4 Hurricanes 3 (so)*-0.2
Flyers 4 Wild 5 (ot)*+0.2
Hurricanes 4 Oilers 5 (so)-0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)*-0.2
Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so)*+0.2
Sharks 6 Oilers 5 (so)*+0.2
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)*+0.2
Oilers 2 Coyotes 4 -0.2
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)*+0.2
Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 -0.1
Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 -0.1
Red Wings 4 Oilers 6 +0.1
Flyers 2 Flames 0 -0.1
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*+0.1
Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 -0.1
Blackhawks 3 Ducks 1 *-0.1
Predators 1 Flames 3 *+0.0
Red Wings 3 Canucks 2 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Canucks vs Flames-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.2+0.5
Canucks vs Blackhawks-0.4-0.3-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Coyotes vs Canucks+0.4*+0.1+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Panthers-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.2+0.5
Coyotes vs Canucks+0.4+0.1*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Flames-0.3-0.2-0.4*+0.2+0.1+0.5
Canucks vs Coyotes-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.1+0.5
Blue Jackets vs Canucks+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Thrashers-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.0*+0.1+0.4
Canucks vs Blue Jackets-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.1+0.1+0.5
Panthers vs Canucks+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Canucks vs Senators-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.0*+0.0+0.4
Canucks vs Sharks-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.4
Stars vs Canucks+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.5-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Ducks-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.4
Canucks vs Blues-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.4
Red Wings vs Canucks+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Red Wings-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
Oilers vs Canucks+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Canucks vs Avalanche-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
Sharks vs Canucks+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.5-0.4-0.4
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.4*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Flyers vs Canucks+0.3*-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Blues vs Canucks+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Canadiens vs Canucks+0.3-0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Canucks vs Red Wings-0.4-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
Canucks vs Wild-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.3
Canucks vs Capitals-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.1*-0.0+0.4
Kings vs Canucks+0.3-0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.4
Avalanche vs Canucks+0.4*+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Canucks vs Avalanche-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.1+0.5
Canucks vs Oilers-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.0+0.4
Canucks vs Oilers-0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
Canucks vs Islanders-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.1+0.1+0.5
Canucks vs Sharks-0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
Canucks vs Stars-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.0*-0.0+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124410-02575
107295-7100
106274-10202060
105297-51111441122
104287-655194329
103277-77102824247
102278-6246222024194
101268-73810153812122
100269-6232037201541
99259-7131316282981
982510-608123524174
972511-500582923241010
962411-6033231932173
952311-70111716332471
942312-60011832311530
932212-7065243623610
922213-6321634311220
912113-70111027361950
902114-6105203628910
892014-70021333331630
882015-601725372361
871915-70031635321220
861916-6021130361840
1815-80011028362140
851816-705223727810
841817-6021434341420
1716-8031432341420
831717-71828382040
821718-6004183929910
811618-7021135351430
801619-601727382240
791519-7031838301010
781520-601123435162
771420-700726402330
761421-60318393280
751321-702123538121
741322-61828382220
731222-70419422950
721122-80214423191
711224-51103638151
701124-6172545193
691024-731844322
681025-621139435
671026-511343817
66825-893631222
65826-72424476
64726-87030
63828-510206010
62829-43367
42-59100
Total:0000000011361014161714952000