Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canadiens 1 Maple Leafs 2 -5.9
-0.6
Canadiens 1 Kings 2 -5.5
-0.6
Canadiens 1 Wild 4 -5.4
-0.6
Hurricanes 5 Canadiens 2 -5.1
-0.5
Senators 3 Canadiens 0 -4.6
-0.5
Kings 4 Canadiens 3 -4.5
-0.5
Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 +4.5
+0.4
Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 -4.4
-0.5
Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 +4.4
+0.4
Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 +4.3
+0.5
Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 +4.3
+0.5
Sabres 4 Canadiens 3 -4.2
-0.5
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)+4.2
+0.4
Oilers 2 Canadiens 4 +4.1
+0.4
Panthers 0 Canadiens 3 +4.1
+0.4
Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 +4.1
+0.4
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 +4.1
+0.4
Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 +4.1
+0.4
Stars 2 Canadiens 3 +4.0
+0.4
Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 +3.9
+0.4
Canadiens 7 Hurricanes 2 +3.9
+0.4
Canadiens 5 Flyers 1 +3.8
+0.4
Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 +3.8
+0.4
Predators 0 Canadiens 9 +3.8
+0.4
Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 +3.7
+0.4
Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 +3.7
+0.4
Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 +3.7
+0.4
Canadiens 4 Panthers 2 +3.7
+0.4
Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 +3.5
+0.4
Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 +3.5
+0.4
Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 +3.5
+0.4
Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 +3.5
+0.4
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 1 +3.4
+0.4
Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 +3.3
+0.4
Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 +3.2
+0.3
Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 +3.2
+0.3
Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 +3.2
+0.3
Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so)+2.3
+0.3
Sabres 0 Oilers 2 +1.1
+0.1
Bruins 1 Wild 7 +0.9
Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so)*-0.9
*-0.1
Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 +0.9
Blues 1 Flyers 3 -0.8
Stars 1 Senators 2 *-0.6
Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 *-0.6
Maple Leafs 5 Coyotes 2 *-0.6
-0.1
Hurricanes 3 Penguins 2 *-0.5
Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 *-0.5
Red Wings 3 Coyotes 2 (so)*-0.5
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 *+0.4
Devils 1 Wild 2 *+0.3
Maple Leafs 6 Bruins 0 *+0.3
Sabres 2 Capitals 3 *+0.2
Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 *-0.2
Maple Leafs 1 Sharks 2 +0.0
Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 +0.1
Kings 7 Rangers 3 +0.1
Rangers 4 Maple Leafs 0 +0.0
Lightning 6 Bruins 2 +0.0
Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 6 *+0.0
Maple Leafs 4 Canucks 3 (ot)*+0.0
Blue Jackets 5 Predators 2 *-0.0
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 *-0.0
Capitals 3 Senators 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blackhawks vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Bruins+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Canucks+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Capitals+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Devils+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Devils+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Flames+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Oilers+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Panthers+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Penguins+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Predators+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Sabres+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Sabres+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Senators+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Senators+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Canadiens vs Thrashers+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Capitals vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Capitals vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Coyotes vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Devils vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Devils vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Flames vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Islanders vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Lightning vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Panthers vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Penguins vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Rangers vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Sabres vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Senators vs Canadiens-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Thrashers vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Wild vs Canadiens-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
138-153In1006,578*
137356-4In10002,926*
136357-3In10003,718*
135347-4In99102,000
358-2In10002,670*
134348-3In99102,244
337-5In99103,248*
133338-4In9822,571
349-2In9823,493*
132339-3In97202,612
328-5In98204,076*
131329-4In96402,960
3310-2In96404,102*
1303210-3In94602,757
319-5In93702,694
308-7In94611,951*
1293110-4In91812,957
309-6In91904,223*
1283010-5In861312,522
3111-3In871214,430*
1273011-4In811722,562
2910-6In821623,780*
1262911-5In762222,053
3012-3In772123,699*
1252912-4In692731,943
2811-6In692843,056*
1242812-5In6233042,237*
2913-3In623441,949*
1232813-4In5340073,498*
1222713-5In44471002,791*
1212714-4In36500142,214*
1202614-5In265402001,596*
1192615-4In205602301,284*
1182515-5In14551301894*
1172516-4In9532351566*
1162416-5In5482404396*
1152417-4In4452482283*
1142317-5In13435190201*
1132318-4In2765314118*
1122218-5In199472658*
1112219-4In24552129*
1102119-5In1530455520*
1092120-4In222244119*
1082020-5In661944131316*
1072021-4In3333333*
1061921-5In1001
1052023-2In1002*
1041519-11In1001
1031924-2In1001
63045-0Out1338508
Total:100.0%821403000000100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Canadiens 1 Maple Leafs 2 +1.3
Canadiens 1 Kings 2 +1.2
Canadiens 1 Wild 4 +1.2
Senators 3 Canadiens 0 +1.0
Hurricanes 5 Canadiens 2 +1.0
Kings 4 Canadiens 3 +1.0
Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 +1.0
Sabres 4 Canadiens 3 +1.0
Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 -0.9
Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 -0.9
Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 -0.9
Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 -0.9
Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 -0.9
Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 -0.9
Panthers 0 Canadiens 3 -0.9
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 -0.9
Stars 2 Canadiens 3 -0.9
Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so)-0.9
Predators 0 Canadiens 9 -0.8
Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 -0.8
Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 -0.8
Oilers 2 Canadiens 4 -0.8
Canadiens 7 Hurricanes 2 -0.8
Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 -0.8
Canadiens 4 Panthers 2 -0.8
Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 -0.8
Canadiens 5 Flyers 1 -0.8
Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 -0.8
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 1 -0.8
Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 -0.7
Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 -0.7
Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 -0.7
Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 -0.7
Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 -0.7
Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 -0.7
Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 -0.7
Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 -0.7
Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so)-0.6
Blues 2 Sabres 3 (ot)+0.3
Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so)*+0.2
Capitals 2 Wild 3 (so)*-0.2
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)*+0.2
Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so)+0.2
Red Wings 3 Oilers 4 (so)*+0.2
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)+0.2
Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 -0.2
Sabres 0 Oilers 2 -0.2
Maple Leafs 0 Kings 3 -0.2
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)*+0.2
Bruins 1 Wild 7 -0.2
Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so)*-0.2
Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so)*+0.2
Coyotes 5 Ducks 6 (so)+0.1
Sabres 2 Penguins 3 -0.1
Thrashers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot)*+0.1
Coyotes 5 Hurricanes 4 -0.1
Avalanche 1 Kings 2 -0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Canucks 3 (ot)*-0.1
Bruins 3 Blue Jackets 0 *+0.0
Capitals 3 Senators 4 +0.0
Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Canadiens vs Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Rangers vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
Canadiens vs Sabres-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Sabres vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Lightning vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Canadiens vs Devils-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Thrashers-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Canadiens+0.2*+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Canadiens vs Bruins-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.2
Canadiens vs Penguins-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Panthers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Senators vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Coyotes vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Devils-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Wild vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Capitals vs Canadiens+0.2*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Predators-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Blackhawks vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Oilers-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Devils vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Canadiens vs Senators-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2
Thrashers vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Flames-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Flyers vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Senators-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Canucks-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2
Islanders vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Canadiens vs Capitals-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.2
Flames vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Penguins vs Canadiens+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Capitals vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Panthers vs Canadiens+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Canadiens vs Islanders-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Flyers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Canadiens vs Blues-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
143-153100
142384-31000
139-141100
138366-31000
137356-41000
136357-310000
135347-49910
358-29900
134348-399010
337-599010
133338-49802
349-29802
132339-397020
328-597020
131329-495140
3310-295140
1303210-393160
319-592160
1293110-490281
309-689290
1283010-5842131
3111-3843121
1273011-4774172
2910-6784162
1262911-57162102
3012-3725212
1252912-462728040
1242812-55310330040
1232813-4411239107
1222713-530134611000
1212714-421154720140
1202614-5121449501910
1192615-471349702110
1182515-5410441112721
1172516-428361723141
1162416-5152523229114
1152417-442024231172
1142317-511221212922900
1132318-4423511933141
1122218-551491234242
1112219-410147481010
1102119-5151020252055
1092120-42222113311
1082020-566196386613
1072021-4333333
1061921-5100
1052023-25050
1041519-11100
1031924-2100
63045-013133838
Total:79314100300000000000