How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ducks 7 Blue Jackets 4 -5.7
-0.6
Kings 6 Blue Jackets 3 -5.6
-0.6
Red Wings 4 Blue Jackets 3 -5.4
-0.6
Blue Jackets 3 Avalanche 5 -5.3
-0.6
Blue Jackets 4 Blackhawks 7 -5.3
-0.6
Blue Jackets 5 Flyers 6 -5.2
-0.5
Blue Jackets 3 Thrashers 5 -5.1
-0.5
Wild 7 Blue Jackets 3 -5.1
-0.5
Blue Jackets 1 Sabres 3 -5.1
-0.5
Blue Jackets 3 Rangers 5 -5.1
-0.5
Rangers 6 Blue Jackets 0 -5.1
-0.5
Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 -5.0
-0.5
Panthers 2 Blue Jackets 1 -5.0
-0.5
Sabres 3 Blue Jackets 2 -4.8
-0.5
Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 -4.7
-0.5
Bruins 3 Blue Jackets 0 -4.7
-0.5
Blue Jackets 3 Blackhawks 2 +4.3
+0.5
Blue Jackets 5 Predators 2 +4.3
+0.5
Oilers 2 Blue Jackets 5 +4.3
+0.4
Blue Jackets 6 Blues 4 +4.2
+0.4
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)+4.1
+0.4
Ducks 2 Blue Jackets 3 +4.1
+0.4
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)+4.1
+0.4
Blue Jackets 5 Avalanche 3 +3.9
+0.4
Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 +3.9
+0.4
Thrashers 1 Blue Jackets 2 +3.8
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Panthers 1 +3.8
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Maple Leafs 0 +3.7
+0.4
Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so)+3.7
+0.4
Hurricanes 3 Blue Jackets 4 +3.6
+0.4
Blue Jackets 6 Hurricanes 3 +3.6
+0.4
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 +3.5
+0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Ducks 2 (ot)+3.3
+0.4
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)-2.2
*-0.2
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)-1.4
*-0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so)*-1.2
*-0.1
Senators 5 Avalanche 4 +1.1
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)*-1.0
*-0.1
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 +0.8
Avalanche 3 Capitals 4 +0.7
Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so)*+0.6
Flyers 4 Red Wings 3 (ot)*-0.6
*-0.0
Senators 5 Predators 3 *+0.6
+0.1
Panthers 2 Flames 1 *+0.6
Red Wings 5 Thrashers 0 *-0.5
-0.1
Avalanche 1 Kings 2 *-0.4
Predators 0 Canadiens 9 *+0.4
Kings 6 Hurricanes 2 *-0.4
Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot)*-0.4
*-0.1
Lightning 5 Sabres 3 *-0.3
Coyotes 6 Avalanche 2 *+0.3
Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 *-0.3
Islanders 1 Sabres 4 *+0.3
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 *-0.2
Flames 2 Ducks 5 *+0.2
Thrashers 3 Flames 4 (ot)*-0.2
Capitals 2 Blue Jackets 1 (ot)*+0.1
Penguins 3 Blues 4 -0.1
Predators 3 Flyers 5 +0.1
Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 +0.1
Islanders 4 Red Wings 5 -0.1
Panthers 3 Blackhawks 7 -0.1
Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so)*-0.1
Blues 0 Sharks 2 +0.0
Red Wings 3 Canucks 2 (ot)*-0.0
Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 *-0.0
Oilers 4 Red Wings 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets-7.5-1.4-2.3+4.4+4.6+6.2
-0.6*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.5
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+6.1+4.3+4.9*-1.8-1.4-7.4
+0.5+0.3+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.6
Red Wings vs Blue Jackets-7.6-1.4*-0.6+4.9+4.9+5.9
-0.6-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Sharks+6.1+4.6+4.0*-1.1-1.9-7.3
+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Sharks vs Blue Jackets-7.3-1.9*-1.4+4.6+4.8+5.9
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings+5.9+4.8+4.8-3.3*-1.2-7.2
+0.5+0.3+0.4-0.2-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets-7.4*-0.9*-1.3+5.0+4.8+5.7
-0.5*-0.0-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Canucks vs Blue Jackets-7.1-1.7*-1.1+5.7+3.7+5.8
-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Flames vs Blue Jackets-7.1*-1.0-2.4+4.1+5.1+5.7
-0.5-0.1*-0.2+0.3+0.4+0.4
Sharks vs Blue Jackets-7.0-2.1*-1.2+5.7+4.6+5.7
-0.5-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.3+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Sharks+5.6+5.5+4.7-2.4-1.7-7.0
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Flames+5.5+4.9+5.0*-1.7-1.8-6.9
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Blues vs Blue Jackets-6.9*-1.1*-0.3+4.5+4.6+5.3
-0.5-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Oilers+5.1+4.7+5.6*-0.7-1.9-6.6
+0.4+0.3+0.4*-0.0-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Oilers+5.1+4.5+5.5*-1.2*-1.2-6.7
+0.4+0.3+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Stars+5.5+4.9+4.6-3.1-1.4-6.7
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.2*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Ducks+4.6+4.5+6.0-2.3*-0.9-6.2
+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Flames+5.1+5.3+5.1*-0.4-1.6-6.9
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Stars vs Blue Jackets-6.7-1.4*-2.0+3.7+4.9+5.4
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Wild+4.7+5.5+4.2*-0.8*-0.7-6.6
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Wild+5.1+4.8+5.4*-0.8-1.4-6.6
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.0*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Kings+4.7+4.7+5.6*-0.8*-0.9-6.4
+0.4+0.3+0.4*-0.0*-0.0-0.5
Devils vs Blue Jackets-6.2*-1.2*+0.3+5.8+3.9+4.5
-0.5*-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.3+0.3
Islanders vs Blue Jackets-6.6*-0.3-2.3+5.4+4.5+5.0
-0.5*-0.0*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets-6.8*-0.4*-1.7+3.9+4.4+5.2
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Stars vs Blue Jackets-6.6*-1.0*-1.2+5.3+5.0+4.9
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets-6.3*-0.6-2.2+5.6+5.5+4.5
-0.5*-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Blues vs Blue Jackets-6.5-2.3*-1.6+4.6+5.4+5.2
-0.5-0.2-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Avalanche vs Blue Jackets-6.3*-0.9*-0.9+5.6+4.5+4.6
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Flames vs Blue Jackets-6.5-2.0-2.2+4.1+5.0+5.3
-0.5*-0.2-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Oilers vs Blue Jackets-6.6-1.5*-1.2+5.1+5.2+4.9
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Blues+5.2+3.8+4.7-2.7*-0.5-6.5
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.5
Predators vs Blue Jackets-6.5-1.4*+1.2+4.5+4.0+5.1
-0.5*-0.1*+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes+5.2+4.2+2.2*-1.3*-1.2-6.4
+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Canucks+5.1+5.0+4.2*-1.0-2.0-6.4
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Kings+5.0+5.0+4.2*-2.0*-0.6-6.5
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Stars+5.1+4.9+5.0-2.9-1.5-6.5
+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Lightning vs Blue Jackets-6.4*-0.4*-1.2+4.5+5.0+4.5
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Kings vs Blue Jackets-6.4*-1.0*-1.3+4.1+4.5+5.0
-0.5-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Wild vs Blue Jackets-6.3-1.4*-1.5+4.7+4.2+5.0
-0.5*-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes+4.9+4.8+4.7*-0.0-1.7-6.4
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Predators+4.7+4.5+4.5*-0.9*-0.7-6.4
+0.4+0.3+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Penguins vs Blue Jackets-6.3*-1.2*-1.2+4.6+4.8+4.8
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Predators vs Blue Jackets-6.1*-0.8*-1.6+4.1+4.9+4.5
-0.5-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Blue Jackets vs Penguins+4.2+5.0+4.8-2.3*-0.6-5.9
+0.3+0.3+0.4*-0.1*-0.0-0.4
Canadiens vs Blue Jackets-6.2*-1.2*+0.1+4.1+4.6+4.7
-0.5-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.3
Blue Jackets vs Senators+4.5+4.4+4.2*-0.6-1.7-5.8
+0.3+0.3+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jackets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
119-135In10014*
118377-3In83176*
117356-6In93715*
116368-3In91911*
115347-6In712924*
114348-5In5441446*
113349-4In49434474*
112339-5In4537981159*
111329-6In304910101231*
1103210-5In1847221040382*
1093110-6In945281350522*
1083111-5In635341592725*
1073011-6In330371313301,058*
1062911-7In120401418711,380*
1052912-6In01240102115301,846*
1042812-7In083672020812,361*
1032813-699.7%4325192414302,947*
1022713-799.222621327226103,617*
1012714-697.3119192429143004,071*
1002614-792.401404193124714,820*
992615-685.30100213303012205,397*
982515-771.2060162335226005,854*
972516-655.10300314353112206,045*
962416-739.020182835214006,397*
952417-623.510419372810106,264*
942317-712.710111303418506,402*
932318-65.800052237278106,010*
922218-72.400213343414205,554*
912118-80.70017263723605,079*
902119-70.20031735331114,481*
892019-80.20111303718303,878*
882020-70.0016234027403,299*
872021-6Out031538341002,665*
861921-7Out11131401712,133*
851922-6Out0523462511,712*
841822-7Out0216433531,330*
831823-6Out111384451,034*
821723-7Out07354810678*
811623-8Out4265714530*
801624-7Out1255816304*
791625-6Out136324247*
781525-7Out116029150*
771526-6Out65737103*
761426-7Out544657*
751427-6Out356534*
741428-5Out5187722*
731227-8Out316913*
721228-7Out60405*
711229-6Out50502*
41-70Out10012*
Total:41.2%02813691213131210731100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 6 Blue Jackets 3 +1.2
Ducks 7 Blue Jackets 4 +1.2
Red Wings 4 Blue Jackets 3 +1.2
Blue Jackets 5 Flyers 6 +1.1
Blue Jackets 3 Avalanche 5 +1.1
Blue Jackets 4 Blackhawks 7 +1.1
Blue Jackets 3 Thrashers 5 +1.1
Flyers 4 Blue Jackets 3 +1.1
Blue Jackets 1 Sabres 3 +1.1
Rangers 6 Blue Jackets 0 +1.1
Panthers 2 Blue Jackets 1 +1.1
Blue Jackets 3 Rangers 5 +1.1
Sabres 3 Blue Jackets 2 +1.1
Wild 7 Blue Jackets 3 +1.0
Blue Jackets 4 Capitals 5 +1.0
Bruins 3 Blue Jackets 0 +1.0
Blue Jackets 5 Predators 2 -0.9
Blue Jackets 3 Blackhawks 2 -0.9
Blue Jackets 6 Blues 4 -0.9
Blue Jackets 5 Islanders 4 (so)-0.9
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)-0.9
Oilers 2 Blue Jackets 5 -0.8
Ducks 2 Blue Jackets 3 -0.8
Blue Jackets 3 Maple Leafs 0 -0.8
Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so)-0.8
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 -0.8
Senators 2 Blue Jackets 5 -0.8
Blue Jackets 3 Panthers 1 -0.8
Blue Jackets 5 Avalanche 3 -0.8
Hurricanes 3 Blue Jackets 4 -0.8
Blue Jackets 6 Hurricanes 3 -0.8
Thrashers 1 Blue Jackets 2 -0.8
Blue Jackets 3 Ducks 2 (ot)-0.8
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)+0.4
Flames 2 Penguins 1 (ot)*+0.2
Maple Leafs 4 Blue Jackets 3 (so)*+0.2
Blackhawks 8 Wild 7 (so)*+0.2
Kings 3 Blues 4 (so)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Devils 4 (ot)*+0.2
Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so)*-0.2
Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)*+0.2
Blackhawks 4 Bruins 3 (ot)+0.2
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)*+0.2
Stars 2 Flames 3 (so)*-0.2
Stars 2 Red Wings 3 (ot)*+0.2
Blue Jackets 3 Lightning 4 (ot)*+0.1
Senators 5 Predators 3 -0.1
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*+0.1
Stars 7 Panthers 3 +0.1
Panthers 2 Flames 1 -0.1
Islanders 4 Red Wings 5 *+0.1
Blues 3 Canucks 2 *+0.1
Ducks 4 Coyotes 3 -0.1
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 *+0.0
Oilers 2 Senators 3 *+0.0
Sabres 3 Bruins 2 *-0.0
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 -0.0
Wild 1 Blackhawks 3 +0.0
Kings 3 Islanders 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings-0.8-0.7-0.7*+0.3+0.2+1.0
Blue Jackets vs Red Wings-0.9-0.6*-0.7+0.4+0.2+1.0
Red Wings vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.2*+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.8
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets+1.0*+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.8
Blue Jackets vs Blues-0.8-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.1+1.0
Blues vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.7-0.8-0.8
Canucks vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.2*+0.2-0.7-0.6-0.8
Blues vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.8
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets+1.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.8
Blue Jackets vs Sharks-0.8-0.6-0.5*+0.1*+0.2+1.0
Blue Jackets vs Wild-0.7-0.8-0.7*+0.1*+0.1+1.0
Blue Jackets vs Oilers-0.7-0.7-0.8*+0.1*+0.2+1.0
Sharks vs Blue Jackets+1.0*+0.2*+0.2-0.7-0.7-0.8
Blue Jackets vs Wild-0.7-0.7-0.8*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Avalanche vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.6-0.7
Lightning vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.8-0.7
Flames vs Blue Jackets+1.0+0.1+0.3-0.6-0.7-0.8
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.8-0.7-0.7
Sharks vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.2*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Flames-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.1+0.2+1.0
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes-0.8-0.6-0.5*+0.1+0.2+0.9
Oilers vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Flames-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.2*+0.2+1.0
Blue Jackets vs Sharks-0.7-0.8-0.7*+0.3*+0.2+0.9
Blue Jackets vs Kings-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+1.0
Devils vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1+0.0-0.8-0.6-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Stars-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.4*+0.2+0.9
Blue Jackets vs Kings-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.1*+0.1+0.9
Islanders vs Blue Jackets+1.0*+0.1*+0.3-0.7-0.7-0.7
Stars vs Blue Jackets+0.9+0.2*+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.7
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Ducks-0.7-0.6-0.8*+0.2*+0.2+0.9
Blue Jackets vs Oilers-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.2*+0.2+0.9
Wild vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.6-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Predators-0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Stars vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.2*+0.3-0.6-0.7-0.7
Predators vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.2*-0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Canucks-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Blue Jackets vs Penguins-0.6-0.6-0.8*+0.3*+0.1+0.9
Penguins vs Blue Jackets+0.9+0.2*+0.2-0.7-0.7-0.7
Predators vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Kings vs Blue Jackets+0.9*+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.7

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-135100
118377-3335017
117356-640537
116357-518739
115347-62546218
114348-5134130114
113349-4939281544
112339-5540221591711
111329-61292128101631
1103210-511716302027340
1093110-69103523476500
1083111-56332241078722
1073011-63328261249112300
1062911-711192119310135711
1052912-60012172219111013230
1042812-7008122407813164801
1032813-648240551416812130
1022713-724220221113141846010
1012714-61217119717209131200
1002614-70113004316161520471
992615-60090211211192291130
982515-700601065191915198100
972516-60030003113132224155100
962416-720108721222312310
952417-601004216172820920
942317-710011109242818720
932318-600005416282615410
922218-7002182131221130
912118-800103132629197200
902119-70001616282914510
892019-8000292031251020
882020-7001413273019610
872021-60271930261240
861921-700311243221710
851922-60161829291430
841822-7011026322271
831823-6051733311220
821723-7021226381751
811623-801522322992
801624-72153038133
791625-6142536304
781525-7315452981
771526-6193132171
761426-79263728
751427-61235449
741428-559501818
731227-8846388
721228-7404020
711229-65050
701230-53367
41-69100
Total:000226011224456678887654321000