How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jackets 3 Blackhawks 2 -5.6
-0.6
Blackhawks 1 Blues 4 -5.6
-0.6
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 -5.5
-0.6
Flames 3 Blackhawks 1 -5.5
-0.6
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 -5.4
-0.6
Oilers 7 Blackhawks 2 -5.4
-0.6
Predators 2 Blackhawks 0 -5.3
-0.6
Sharks 3 Blackhawks 1 -5.2
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Ducks 5 -5.2
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Hurricanes 4 -5.1
-0.5
Blackhawks 3 Sharks 7 -5.1
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Rangers 3 -5.1
-0.5
Blackhawks 4 Stars 6 -5.0
-0.5
Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 -5.0
-0.5
Bruins 2 Blackhawks 1 -5.0
-0.5
Blackhawks 3 Maple Leafs 4 -4.9
-0.5
Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 -4.9
-0.5
Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 -4.8
-0.5
Flyers 5 Blackhawks 3 -4.8
-0.5
Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 -4.5
-0.5
Blackhawks 8 Wild 7 (so)+4.4
+0.4
Blackhawks 5 Coyotes 4 +4.4
+0.5
Flames 1 Blackhawks 2 +4.4
+0.4
Avalanche 0 Blackhawks 2 +4.4
+0.4
Wild 1 Blackhawks 3 +4.1
+0.4
Blackhawks 3 Ducks 1 +4.1
+0.4
Blue Jackets 4 Blackhawks 7 +4.1
+0.4
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)+3.9
+0.4
Ducks 0 Blackhawks 3 +3.9
+0.4
Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 +3.9
+0.4
Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 +3.9
+0.4
Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 +3.8
+0.4
Red Wings 3 Blackhawks 4 +3.7
+0.4
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 +3.7
+0.4
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 +3.7
+0.4
Stars 5 Blackhawks 6 (so)+3.7
+0.4
Panthers 3 Blackhawks 7 +3.7
+0.4
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 +3.7
+0.4
Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 +3.6
+0.4
Blackhawks 4 Bruins 3 (ot)+3.0
+0.4
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*-1.3
Oilers 2 Senators 3 +0.9
Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 +0.8
Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 +0.8
Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot)*-0.8
*-0.1
Capitals 5 Red Wings 1 +0.8
Lightning 6 Coyotes 3 *+0.7
Panthers 4 Predators 6 *-0.6
Senators 1 Wild 4 *-0.6
Sabres 4 Senators 3 *-0.6
Ducks 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*-0.5
Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot)*+0.5
Red Wings 3 Rangers 2 *-0.5
-0.0
Canucks 1 Flyers 5 *+0.5
Flames 4 Oilers 3 *+0.5
Oilers 2 Kings 3 *-0.5
Capitals 4 Coyotes 5 (ot)*+0.4
Blues 1 Kings 3 *+0.4
Kings 5 Bruins 2 *-0.4
Blues 0 Sharks 2 *+0.3
Kings 5 Thrashers 4 (ot)*-0.3
Rangers 2 Red Wings 1 *+0.2
Capitals 3 Rangers 5 *+0.2
Penguins 7 Devils 2 *-0.2
Maple Leafs 2 Penguins 3 *-0.2
Coyotes 5 Sabres 4 *-0.2
Blackhawks 1 Sharks 2 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.0
Blue Jackets 5 Avalanche 3 +0.0
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 -0.1
Predators 1 Bruins 4 +0.1
Predators 4 Rangers 3 (ot)*-0.0
Predators 3 Panthers 1 *-0.0
Avalanche 2 Blues 1 +0.0
Blues 1 Oilers 2 +0.0
Blues 3 Canucks 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets+5.6+4.3+5.0*-0.8-1.6-7.0
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.0-0.1-0.5
Red Wings vs Blackhawks-6.8-2.0*-1.4+4.0+4.6+5.6
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Blackhawks vs Red Wings+5.7+4.6+4.0-2.6-2.1-6.7
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.2-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Red Wings+5.4+4.2+5.1-2.6*-1.1-6.7
+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.2*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets+5.4+4.7+4.1*-1.9-1.5-6.7
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Flames+5.5+4.3+3.8*-1.8-1.5-6.6
+0.4+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Kings vs Blackhawks-6.4*-0.6*-1.5+5.5+4.2+4.8
-0.5*-0.0*-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Blackhawks vs Oilers+4.6+5.4+4.6*-1.7*-0.7-6.5
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Coyotes+4.7+4.5+5.6*-0.7-1.7-6.2
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Islanders+4.4+4.0+5.8*-1.1*-1.2-5.8
+0.3+0.3+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Flames+5.0+4.9+5.1*-1.4-1.6-6.4
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Predators vs Blackhawks-5.9*-1.0*-1.0+5.6+3.9+4.4
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Blackhawks vs Wild+4.7+5.1+4.5*-1.9*-1.2-6.3
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Oilers vs Blackhawks-6.4-2.2*+0.2+4.3+4.6+5.0
-0.5-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.3+0.4
Canucks vs Blackhawks-6.2-1.7*-1.2+5.0+3.6+5.1
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.4
Stars vs Blackhawks-6.3*-1.0*-1.1+2.7+4.1+5.0
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blackhawks vs Kings+4.8+4.5+3.6*-0.8*-0.5-6.5
+0.3+0.4+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.5
Islanders vs Blackhawks-6.0*-1.0*-1.2+5.3+4.9+4.3
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.3
Blackhawks vs Blues+5.0+5.0+3.7*-1.3-1.7-6.3
+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.5
Coyotes vs Blackhawks-6.5*-0.5*-0.2+4.7+4.6+4.6
-0.5*-0.0*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Ducks vs Blackhawks-6.1-1.6*-1.5+3.3+5.0+4.9
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.2+0.4+0.4
Blues vs Blackhawks-6.2-1.2-2.0+4.5+4.3+4.9
-0.5-0.1-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4
Sharks vs Blackhawks-6.0-1.4-2.4+4.3+4.0+5.1
-0.5-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blues vs Blackhawks-6.0-2.2*-0.3+4.5+4.1+5.0
-0.5-0.2*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blackhawks vs Oilers+5.1+3.8+3.8*-1.5-2.1-5.9
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Wild vs Blackhawks-6.1*-0.9-2.0+4.6+3.8+4.9
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Blackhawks vs Lightning+4.4+4.5+4.8*+0.1-1.4-6.1
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Stars+4.8+4.4+3.3*-1.1-1.7-5.9
+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Predators+4.3+4.7+4.8*-0.7*-0.8-6.0
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Kings+4.7+4.1+4.4*-0.5*-1.1-6.0
+0.4+0.3+0.4*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Kings vs Blackhawks-6.0-1.3*-0.6+4.5+4.0+4.7
-0.5*-0.1*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Coyotes vs Blackhawks-5.9*-0.4*-1.5+4.7+4.6+4.2
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Blackhawks vs Thrashers+4.6+4.5+4.5*-0.9-1.5-6.0
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.1-0.4
Blackhawks vs Predators+4.5+4.6+3.2*-1.3*-0.4-6.0
+0.4+0.3+0.2*-0.1*-0.0-0.5
Maple Leafs vs Blackhawks-5.8-1.3*+0.4+4.8+3.9+4.4
-0.4*-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.3+0.3
Senators vs Blackhawks-5.8*-0.9*-1.9+2.9+4.1+4.7
-0.4*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks-5.9*-1.1*+0.4+4.6+4.2+4.4
-0.5*-0.1*-0.0+0.4+0.3+0.3
Blackhawks vs Sabres+4.5+4.2+4.6*-1.6*-1.0-5.9
+0.3+0.4+0.3*-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Blackhawks vs Canadiens+4.0+4.1+4.9*-1.7*-0.7-5.5
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.4
Rangers vs Blackhawks-5.8-1.5*-0.3+3.3+4.2+4.6
-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Lightning vs Blackhawks-5.9*-0.4*-1.8+4.1+4.4+4.4
-0.5*-0.0-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Blackhawks vs Avalanche+4.5+3.6+3.2*+0.2*-0.9-5.7
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.1-0.4
Blackhawks vs Panthers+4.2+4.3+3.3*-1.7*-0.8-5.4
+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1*-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackhawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
130430-0In1008
117355-3In50502*
116345-4In67336*
115324-7In1006*
114325-6In63388*
113326-5In5243423*
112327-4In4530151040*
111317-5In3142196178*
110318-4In22442212134*
109297-7In174028124210*
108298-6In838311471309*
107299-5In33038131140489*
106289-6In11842151671673*
1052810-5In01240112113311,026*
1042710-699.8%0734821227201,440*
1032711-599.7033251624153001,957*
1022611-698.922321428228102,415*
1012612-596.611818242916303,122*
1002512-691.001204183224813,812*
992412-782.0080211303115304,446*
982413-667.705162235247105,119*
972313-751.1030214323214205,656*
962314-634.620172537235106,155*
952214-720.210316353211206,482*
942215-610.10019293719406,838*
932115-74.800042037289106,528*
922116-62.0021232351633,454*
2015-82.100212343514203,039*
912016-70.70016253823616,077*
902017-60.200317353311105,445*
891917-7Out110293918305,130*
881918-6Out05233927604,336*
871818-7Out021536361003,585*
861819-6Out01932411712,987*
851719-7Out0425452412,383*
841720-6Out0218433421,810*
831721-5Out0112414241,450*
821621-6Out06365171,040*
811521-7Out04285512728*
801522-6Out2226214548*
791523-5Out0156223367*
781423-6Out1116226248*
771424-5Out76132163*
761324-6Out5544199*
751325-5Out2445555*
741225-6Out435728*
731226-5Out465413*
721025-8Out336712*
71925-9Out17836*
44-70Out10015*
Total:29.9%01512471013151412951100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 9/1None
Monday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jackets 3 Blackhawks 2 +1.2
Blackhawks 1 Blues 4 +1.2
Predators 2 Blackhawks 0 +1.1
Oilers 7 Blackhawks 2 +1.1
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 +1.1
Flames 3 Blackhawks 1 +1.1
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Ducks 5 +1.1
Blackhawks 3 Sharks 7 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Rangers 3 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Capitals 5 +1.1
Blackhawks 2 Hurricanes 4 +1.1
Bruins 2 Blackhawks 1 +1.1
Thrashers 4 Blackhawks 1 +1.1
Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 +1.1
Blackhawks 3 Maple Leafs 4 +1.1
Sharks 3 Blackhawks 1 +1.1
Flyers 5 Blackhawks 3 +1.0
Blackhawks 4 Stars 6 +1.0
Penguins 3 Blackhawks 1 +1.0
Blackhawks 5 Coyotes 4 -0.9
Blackhawks 8 Wild 7 (so)*-0.9
Blue Jackets 4 Blackhawks 7 -0.9
Flames 1 Blackhawks 2 -0.9
Blackhawks 3 Ducks 1 -0.9
Avalanche 0 Blackhawks 2 -0.9
Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so)-0.8
Blackhawks 6 Flyers 4 -0.8
Devils 1 Blackhawks 2 -0.8
Red Wings 3 Blackhawks 4 -0.8
Wild 1 Blackhawks 3 -0.8
Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 -0.8
Panthers 3 Blackhawks 7 -0.8
Ducks 0 Blackhawks 3 -0.8
Blackhawks 2 Devils 0 -0.8
Blackhawks 1 Penguins 0 -0.8
Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 -0.8
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 -0.8
Blackhawks 4 Bruins 3 (ot)-0.8
Stars 5 Blackhawks 6 (so)-0.8
Red Wings 6 Penguins 5 (so)*-0.2
Devils 4 Maple Leafs 3 (so)*-0.2
Oilers 5 Red Wings 4 (so)-0.2
Oilers 3 Flames 2 (so)*+0.2
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)-0.2
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*+0.2
Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so)*+0.2
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*-0.2
Capitals 2 Blackhawks 1 (ot)*+0.1
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 +0.1
Predators 1 Bruins 4 -0.1
Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 -0.1
Predators 3 Panthers 1 *+0.1
Red Wings 3 Rangers 2 *+0.1
Thrashers 1 Blue Jackets 2 *+0.1
Blackhawks 1 Sharks 2 (ot)*+0.1
Thrashers 5 Panthers 3 -0.0
Predators 4 Devils 1 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Kings vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.8-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets-0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.0+0.2+1.0
Red Wings vs Blackhawks+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.6-0.7-0.8
Blackhawks vs Red Wings-0.8-0.7-0.5*+0.3*+0.2+0.9
Blues vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.3*-0.0-0.6-0.7-0.8
Blackhawks vs Blues-0.8-0.6-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Flames-0.7-0.8-0.7*+0.2+0.2+1.0
Blackhawks vs Coyotes-0.7-0.7-0.8*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Blue Jackets-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.2*+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Flames-0.8-0.6-0.5*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Coyotes vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.0*+0.2-0.8-0.7-0.7
Blues vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.2+0.3-0.6-0.6-0.8
Blackhawks vs Oilers-0.7-0.8-0.7*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Blackhawks vs Red Wings-0.7-0.6-0.7+0.3*+0.1+0.9
Canucks vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Predators-0.7-0.6-0.8*+0.1*+0.1+0.9
Oilers vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.3*+0.0-0.7-0.7-0.7
Islanders vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.6
Ducks vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.7-0.7
Predators vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Kings-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.9
Stars vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.1*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Oilers-0.7-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Wild-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Blackhawks vs Islanders-0.6-0.6-0.7+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Blackhawks vs Lightning-0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Lightning vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.1*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Predators-0.7-0.7*-0.4*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Blackhawks vs Sabres-0.7-0.7-0.6*+0.2*+0.2+0.9
Wild vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Kings-0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.1*+0.1+0.9
Sharks vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.1*+0.3-0.6-0.6-0.7
Hurricanes vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.0-0.7-0.6-0.7
Coyotes vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.6
Rangers vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.7
Maple Leafs vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.2*+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.7
Senators vs Blackhawks+0.9*+0.1+0.3-0.5-0.7-0.7
Kings vs Blackhawks+0.9+0.1*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7
Blackhawks vs Stars-0.7-0.5-0.6*+0.1*+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Thrashers-0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.1+0.2+0.9
Blackhawks vs Panthers-0.7-0.6-0.6*+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Blackhawks vs Canadiens-0.6-0.6-0.6*+0.1*+0.1+0.8
Blackhawks vs Avalanche-0.6-0.6-0.5*+0.0*+0.2+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130430-0100
117355-35050
116345-4333333
115324-75050
114325-6632513
113326-54483944
112327-483820101555
111317-5129132919511
110318-412183620175
109297-70171129235574
108298-6863223859611
107299-533272414589340
106289-61182121312125601
1052810-50012172311013812131
1042710-60071123178131757020
1032711-503725054131510141300
1022611-62420221214151937010
1012612-5121711771721915130
1002512-601110043151617204810
992412-7008001110102023814400
982413-60051064171916219200
972313-7030221212202418610
962314-620107620232513410
952214-7100321415292310300
942215-60010882429187200
932115-700004415282815510
922116-60002172030251230
912016-700103112430218200
902017-60001515272916510
891917-702820302611300
881918-601313262920710
871818-700171729291430
861819-60210233123910
851719-7151629311530
841720-6021024322381
831721-50041733301220
821621-602927352241
811521-715203726111
801522-631131371530
791523-51624412350
781423-6317402910
771424-5294033132
761324-652838262
751325-551538384
741225-61436437
731226-5622315
721025-8503317
71925-98317
701027-62575
44-68100
Total:000114011113345678998875431100