"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Highest Seed100.0*Average seed
W Connection 2 Saprissa 1 -35.5
No
-3.6
Isidro Metapán 2 Herediano 0 +1.3
+0.4
Querétaro 8 Verdes 0 -0.6
-0.1
D.C. United 2 Árabe Unido 0 +0.4
-1.2
-0.1
Vancouver White 1 Olimpia 0 -0.4
-0.0
Central 1 Comunicaciones 0 +0.1
+0.1
Santa Tecla 0 Real Salt Lake 0 +1.1
+0.1
Walter Ferretti 1 América 3 -0.8
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Highest Seed100.0*Average seed
W Connection vs Santos Laguna+0.4-6.9+1.3
+0.3-0.3+0.0
Seattle Sounder vs Vancouver White-1.3+2.8+0.4
-0.1+0.4-0.0
Isidro Metapán vs UANL+1.4+1.2-1.0
+0.2+0.3-0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Santa Tecla-0.4+1.0+1.8
-0.1+0.3+0.4
Verdes vs San Francisco+0.1+0.3-0.4
+0.0+0.2-0.1
Walter Ferretti vs Motagua+0.4+0.3-0.3
*+0.0*+0.0No
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Montego Bay Uni vs D.C. United+0.0*NoNo
+0.3-0.0-0.0
Central vs LA Galaxy-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saprissa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHighestChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsSeed123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
91-000100.0%0.0%0022243276003,573,564
70-00187.8No0213302915741001,652,630
60-0102.4No000212263020820005,356,366
Total:48.7%0.0%001817147471415104100010,582,560
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs