"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Highest Seed100.0*Average seed
D.C. United 2 Árabe Unido 0 -28.4
No
-4.2
Querétaro 8 Verdes 0 -0.7
-0.1
Santa Tecla 0 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
Vancouver White 1 Olimpia 0 -0.5
Isidro Metapán 2 Herediano 0 +0.3
-0.1
Walter Ferretti 1 América 3 +0.1
+0.1
Central 1 Comunicaciones 0 +0.1
-0.1
W Connection 2 Saprissa 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Highest Seed100.0*Average seed
Seattle Sounder vs Vancouver White-0.6+2.3-0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Isidro Metapán vs UANL+0.3+0.6-0.5
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Santa Tecla-0.6+0.4+0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Walter Ferretti vs Motagua+0.4-0.1-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.1
W Connection vs Santos Laguna-0.2+0.4+0.1
-0.3+0.0+0.3
Central vs LA Galaxy-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Verdes vs San Francisco+0.1+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Montego Bay Uni vs D.C. United-0.3-0.3+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Árabe Unido finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHighestChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsSeed123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
61-0002.5%No0021020242113621001,353,440
40-001OutNo0031124292292000499,997
30-010OutNo00151120242113511,352,499
Total:1.1%No0014910976643581095203,205,936
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs