"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2014-15 50/50
Lost to MTL 59.7-64.7, playoff odds down 2.8 to 92.2%
22 points 11-0 7-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MTL 64.7 OTW 59.7 | -4.6 | -0.7 | ||
| MIN 81.3 HFD 54.5 | +0.6 | |||
| DET 32.2 ADK 67.6 | -0.5 | |||
| PHI 51.2 OSA 71.8 | +0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| EDM 30.2 BUR 70.2 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| ANA 51.7 QUE 57.5 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| KEL 49.3 CHI 42 | +0.2 | |||
| WPG 54.2 BRM 75.2 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 2/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| OTW vs KEL | +5.4+1.5-5.8 | +0.6-0.0-0.6 | ||
| MTL vs VIC | -1.8+0.3+1.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| ADK vs EDM | -1.2+0.2+1.1 | |||
| HFD vs PHI | -1.2-0.1+1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| CHI vs MIN | -0.4-0.2+0.4 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| BRM vs OSA | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | |||
| BUR vs WPG | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| CFS vs ANA | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the OTW finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | |||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 8 | 34 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 203,305 | |||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 223,725 | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1,008,189 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 99,593 | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 893,982 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 0 | 1 | 20 | 55 | 23 | 2 | 22,100 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2,015,120 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 298,476 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 0 | 6 | 40 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 2,410 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 18 | 46 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,345,580 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | 0 | 19 | 47 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 44,347 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | In | 22 | 45 | 31 | 2 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 98.5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2,014,087 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 98.4 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 298,586 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 98.4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 51 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2,502 | |||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 89.7 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 896,476 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 89.9 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21,904 | |||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 65.4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,007,704 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 64.6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 99,516 | ||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 31.2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223,913 | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 202,713 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 92.2 | % | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,924,324 | |||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
