Tuff Pucks Playoff Chances 2015

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 66.8%
6 points   3 4-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pucks 1 Indy 7 -15.9
-1.5
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 -0.8
Panthers 4 Caps 1 +0.4
+0.0
Penguins 4 Wolf 3 +0.2
-0.0
Grizzlies 2 Hawks 4 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks vs Pucks-0.5+32.6
-0.0+1.9
Indy vs Panthers-27.2+0.5
-0.6+0.0
Caps vs Lightning-7.1+7.2
-0.1+0.1
Wolf vs Grizzlies+0.6-0.2
+0.3-0.1
Ramrod vs Sticks-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Pucks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
1020-00In0046521320,368
811-0099.4%945461018,999,429
602-0017.7188641112,810,019
Total:66.8%00062634325432,129,816
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs