"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Lucidaco Lightning Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Beat Ramrod 8-3, average seed up 0.3 to 11.4
2 points   1 6-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pucks 1 Indy 7 -0.1
-0.1
Penguins 4 Wolf 3 +0.1
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 +0.2
Panthers 4 Caps 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Caps vs Lightning-0.6+0.6
Indy vs Panthers-0.1+0.1
Wolf vs Grizzlies-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
620-00Out16374702,570,882
411-00Out420765,138,078
202-00Out1002,572,184
Total:Out411226310,281,144
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs