Lucidaco Lightning Playoff Chances 2015

Beat Ramrod 8-3, average seed up 0.4 to 11.5
2 points   1 6-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Average seed
Pucks 1 Indy 7 -0.1
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Average seed
Caps vs Lightning-0.5+0.5
Wolf vs Grizzlies-0.1+0.0
Indy vs Panthers-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
620-00Out21443501,516,917
411-00Out22324615,962,345
202-00Out10014,650,554
Total:Out113186832,129,816
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs