Waterloo Grizzlies Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Lost to Hawks 2-4, playoff odds down 7.2 to 68.8%
6 points   3 4-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grizzlies 2 Hawks 4 -15.2
-1.3
Panthers 4 Caps 1 +4.7
+0.1
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 +1.9
+0.1
Pucks 1 Indy 7 +1.6
+0.1
Penguins 4 Wolf 3 +1.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolf vs Grizzlies-28.1+28.1
-1.4+1.4
Indy vs Panthers-3.1+3.1
-0.2+0.2
Caps vs Lightning-3.1+3.1
-0.1+0.1
Hawks vs Pucks+3.1-3.1
+0.2-0.2
Penguins vs Vipers-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Grizzlies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
1020-00In8623002,571,943
811-0087.5%143736125,140,080
602-00Out16403952,569,121
Total:68.8%215151918101010110,281,144
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs