Capital Punishment Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Lost to Panthers 1-4, playoff odds down 17.9 to 21.1%
4 points   2 5-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Panthers 4 Caps 1 -21.7
-1.0
Grizzlies 2 Hawks 4 +3.6
+0.1
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 +2.0
Penguins 4 Wolf 3 +1.9
+0.1
Pucks 1 Indy 7 -0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Caps vs Lightning+18.0-18.0
+1.0-1.0
Wolf vs Grizzlies+3.9-3.9
Indy vs Panthers-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Hawks vs Pucks+0.8-0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the Caps finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
820-0078.1%123036222,572,774
611-003.1324442365,137,987
402-00Out219792,570,383
Total:21.1%37111722162310,281,144
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs