Capital Punishment Playoff Chances 2015

Lost to Panthers 1-4, playoff odds up 1 to 16.3%
4 points   2 5-0 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pucks 1 Indy 7 -5.0
-0.1
Panthers 4 Caps 1 -1.0
-0.0
Lightning 8 Ramrod 3 +0.5
-0.3
Grizzlies 2 Hawks 4 +0.3
+0.0
Penguins 4 Wolf 3 +0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Caps vs Lightning+9.9-10.1
+0.7-0.7
Wolf vs Grizzlies+14.2-5.5
+0.1-0.0
Ramrod vs Sticks-1.2+3.2
-0.0+0.1
Indy vs Panthers-3.2+0.1
-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Caps finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112Count
820-0066.6%93424336,366,222
611-006.26443613016,081,312
402-00Out138609,682,282
Total:16.3%2782918181832,129,816
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs