"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks 6 Sabres 2 +7.5
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Penguins vs Thrashers+11.4-20.7-44.7
+0.4-0.6-1.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers vs Penguins-18.0+32.2+40.0
-0.5+0.3+1.3
Sabres vs Thrashers-20.2+34.9+31.6
-0.2+0.3+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs12345Count
62-0-0In1001,344,929
51-0-1In100775,889
41-1-036.7%375854,309,652
0-0-238.23861179,403
30-1-1Out23752653,519
20-2-0Out100788,857
Total:46.9%1730349107,952,249
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/25100.0*Lottery seed
Kings 5 Oilers 2 -0.1
Sharks 6 Sabres 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Penguins vs Thrashers-0.7+0.7+2.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/31100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers vs Penguins+0.9-0.6-2.4
Sabres vs Thrashers+0.5-0.8-0.8
Leafs vs Oilers-0.0+0.0+0.3
Wild vs Kings-0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T12345678910
62-0-0793
51-0-1100
41-1-037039223
0-0-238040192
30-1-173350110
20-2-0304921
Total:1163012416552