RedBulls Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Bookies 77-115, playoff odds down 9.8 to 10.9%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -7.9
-0.7
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 -1.2
-0.1
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 -0.7
-0.1
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +0.4
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls-5.6+5.9
-0.7+0.7
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+0.6-0.5
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.4+0.5
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.2+0.2
Sashi vs Bookies+0.2-0.2
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the RedBulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
98-0In1852211807,971
87-199.3%115291133101068,658
76-272.501612173722500270,465
65-311.000308283520500604,379
54-40.20001123435153842,077
43-50.00005274523750,802
32-6Out043165418,697
21-7Out0892133,550
10-8Out19918,857
Total:10.9%011225810141720203,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 +1.5
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls+1.4-1.5
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+0.1-0.1
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.1+0.1
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
98-0216252718310620
87-1011141019921023821
76-20010548117928215100
65-30000200081325251673100
54-400000039202521136200
43-5000028202825133
32-60016224130
21-70022473
10-80595
Total:00000111021445667888910108