Ramakrishna Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Ajay M 98-79, playoff odds up 9 to 82.7%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +10.1
+0.8
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -1.1
-0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.5
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +0.3
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -0.2
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners+9.4-9.1
+1.1-1.0
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-0.9+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+0.6-0.5
Ruggers vs Jay-0.5+0.5
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Ramakrishna finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In10015,926
117-1In98101116,493
106-2In81140050385,043
95-3100.0%3537801900725,146
84-499.2319246351210849,866
73-571.101913153323500636,827
62-612.300417253721500297,191
51-70.3000111333616279,328
40-8Out042444289,636
Total:82.7%231610518117531103,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -1.6
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 +0.3
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-2.1+2.0
Kickers vs Janet's Studs+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0964
117-181171001
106-24337131000500
95-372823147100182000
84-403415141061231211110
73-5001178541221121982000
62-600013011681923191251000
51-700000015142325199300
40-8013122733205
Total:111388643212683533211110000