Pensioners Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Jay 133-117, playoff odds up 9.8 to 79.5%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 +10.3
+0.8
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -0.5
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +0.2
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-9.5+9.5
-1.1+1.1
Ruggers vs Jay-0.7+0.7
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-0.2+0.2
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Pensioners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In1004,074
117-1In981131,358
106-2In8290090109,353
95-3100.0%3728403000219,653
84-499.1318142481310274,918
73-569.60155203824600219,704
62-68.50117283622610110,375
51-70.0019283921331,462
40-8Out011756264,095
Total:79.5%21126225139532101,004,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -1.6
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners+2.1-2.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0982
117-1841411
106-247349100900
95-3928199400282000
84-4035139520321612110
73-500114325152514199200
62-60010116819242013620000
51-700141221242111410
40-8002102432247
Total:101166321117894543221110000