Pensioners Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Jay 133-117, playoff odds up 9.2 to 83.7%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 +9.3
+0.7
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -0.5
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +0.3
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -0.3
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.2
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-8.2+7.9
-1.1+1.0
Ruggers vs Jay-0.6+0.6
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-0.3+0.3
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-0.1+0.2
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pensioners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In10019,366
117-1In9711136,250
106-2In781100110424,765
95-3100.0%3229503410758,785
84-499.0215143501510841,218
73-569.30145203925600596,938
62-69.000117293621500263,878
51-70.000110303918266,690
40-8Out021958217,566
Total:83.7%24136227127421103,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -1.5
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.3
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners+2.1-2.0
Ruggers vs Jay+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0964
117-18116101
106-242371010001100
95-362618114000313100
84-40231286203218141100
73-5001143251525141992000
62-600001011671924201252000
51-7000015142325199310
40-8014142630205
Total:111376421119894533211100000