Optimus Prime Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Sashi 90-114, playoff odds down 8.3 to 10.5%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 -8.1
-0.6
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 -0.5
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +0.4
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -0.4
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+7.1-6.3
+0.7-0.6
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.3+0.3
Arjuna vs RedBulls-0.2+0.3
Sashi vs Bookies+0.2-0.2
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.1+0.2
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Optimus Prime finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
98-099.9%1780068809,939
87-196.2122059324081,968
76-259.5000174333800304,368
65-38.7008303819400642,923
54-40.001123436152849,222
43-5Out004234627719,678
32-6Out022573378,154
21-7Out0496113,845
10-8Out10015,359
Total:10.5%0000371012141618203,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +1.3
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -0.1
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Optimus Prime vs Megatron-1.4+1.3
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.2-0.2
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.1+0.1
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
98-0215440005314800
87-101021100194026640
76-2000001161032327100
65-300000819312411410000
54-400141324271993100
43-500029223024102
32-60016224229
21-7022375
10-80496
Total:000000001325776678789987