Nikhil Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Kickers 84-74, playoff odds up 14.3 to 68.6%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +11.2
+0.8
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 +2.6
+0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 +1.3
+0.1
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+7.4-8.5
+0.6-0.7
Ruggers vs Jay+2.7-2.9
+0.2-0.2
Kickers vs Janet's Studs+1.1-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+0.5-0.5
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nikhil finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
118-0In919014,045
107-1In623620106,873
96-2In205523210363,614
85-399.7%12147225400703,621
74-484.801184741512300851,360
63-532.4012803162818400657,941
52-64.9050183237162318,956
41-70.100426442688,147
30-8Out03257110,899
Total:68.6%5131924267875313,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 -1.8
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-1.3+1.5
Ruggers vs Jay-0.3+0.3
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
118-07417900
107-13132323200
96-23163124212201000
85-3014172523193323000
74-4001316262213868520000
63-500152300032714191682000
52-600500001515252616610
41-700001720342910
30-80183358
Total:236791013121132333443332210