NFL48 Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Sriram 82-73, playoff odds up 9.6 to 88.1%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +9.6
+0.8
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 -2.4
-0.2
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 +0.9
+0.1
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +0.2
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +0.2
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys+5.5-6.7
+0.5-0.7
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+1.0-0.9
+0.2-0.2
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.4+0.4
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.2+0.2
Sashi vs Bookies+0.1-0.1
Arjuna vs RedBulls+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the NFL48 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In10017,177
117-1In9550124,414
106-2In73241020400,536
95-3100.0%3147111900736,766
84-499.7326341022500847,363
73-586.5021628172411200621,068
62-628.70117110232916300285,090
51-73.030210273420374,302
40-80.10031235508,740
Total:88.1%222215101275321103,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 -1.6
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 +0.3
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-1.1+1.4
Optimus Prime vs Megatron-0.3+0.3
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0991
117-1887500
106-25122231100200
95-392235131111081000
84-40371923129113940000
73-500231318113141410841000
62-6001314011931017181472000
51-7030002715242516610
40-8000161934319
Total:13913996646643222211110000