Megatron Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Rajesh 131-87, playoff odds up 12.7 to 61.1%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 +12.0
+0.9
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 -1.1
-0.2
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 +0.5
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +0.4
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Optimus Prime vs Megatron-12.1+12.1
-0.8+0.8
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-1.0+1.0
-0.2+0.2
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.4+0.4
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.4+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Megatron finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
118-0In98114,117
107-1In781308031,697
96-2100.0%3335602610109,968
85-399.5320194421100219,369
74-478.501811223718300274,395
63-515.5004110283418400220,314
52-60.40002112836203109,679
41-70.0000216433931,385
30-8Out115844,068
Total:61.1%7975181512975421,004,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 -1.8
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+1.6-1.6
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys+0.3-0.3
Arjuna vs RedBulls+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
118-090811
107-150281310800
96-282523125000233100
85-30341511840222010100
74-4001176531818191362000
63-500014011961621191372100
52-6000000141119242114610
41-70002821322710
30-801103652
Total:3445343281078555544332211