Kickers Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Nikhil 74-84, playoff odds down 8.7 to 62.7%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 -10.1
-0.8
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 +0.5
+0.2
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 +0.5
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kickers vs Janet's Studs+10.4-10.4
+0.8-0.8
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-2.2+2.2
-0.2+0.2
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-0.5+0.5
Ruggers vs Jay-0.3+0.3
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Kickers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
118-0In96404,011
107-1In762220031,254
96-2In344516140109,681
85-399.5%425361415600220,108
74-480.4021528112516400274,804
63-520.1011306243219500219,635
52-61.20101102836203109,956
41-7Out00315414131,569
30-8Out19903,974
Total:62.7%711141471010976421,004,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +1.6
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-1.7+1.7
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs+0.3-0.3
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
118-0811540
107-1413521120000
96-272728171411400
85-3045192015121966000
74-40023131612291411973000
63-5001210001627142019125100
52-6001000014122126211030
41-7001414303517
30-8042868
Total:255777863454334554333221