Jay Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Pensioners 117-133, playoff odds down 14.1 to 39.9%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 -10.6
-0.8
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 -2.6
-0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 +1.4
+0.1
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ruggers vs Jay-10.7+11.3
-0.8+0.9
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-3.3+3.7
-0.1+0.2
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-0.3+0.4
Kickers vs Janet's Studs+0.3-0.3
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Jay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
108-0In7326212,980
97-1In27482221099,992
86-299.5%21842258500348,445
75-379.701114551816400689,657
64-425.1002104173122500852,415
53-53.2030183239152672,706
42-60.10004304916333,177
31-7Out05455094,092
20-8Out208011,992
Total:39.9%148192681113131043,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Jay 117 Pensioners 133 +1.7
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.1
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Ruggers vs Jay+1.7-1.8
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.2-0.2
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.1-0.1
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
108-031422332
97-1324232519320100
86-2022161725214444100
75-30011102025158101262000
64-4000318000331017201572000
53-500300002818262413410
42-600002102534236
31-7002144045
20-8011584
Total:0113358121223445666666542