HotWings Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Ruggers 71-77, playoff odds down 9.4 to 68.7%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -9.8
-0.8
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +1.1
+0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.4
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs+10.5-11.9
+0.8-0.9
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-2.4+2.6
-0.2+0.2
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+1.3-1.2
+0.1-0.0
Ruggers vs Jay-0.7+0.8
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.3-0.4
Ramakrishna vs Pensioners-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the HotWings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
118-0In100020,430
107-1In8217100141,234
96-2100.0%3448141400436,756
85-399.3224421213610763,986
74-477.601183072218500837,135
63-522.0011605223319400587,230
52-62.10202123434142257,284
41-70.0000627422464,096
30-8Out0429687,305
Total:68.7%10141714589964213,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 +1.6
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 -0.3
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-1.6+1.8
Kickers vs Janet's Studs+0.3-0.3
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs-0.1+0.1
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
118-0821800
107-1414216110000
96-262827201311030000
85-30242022201118560100
74-40013161613151291183100
63-5001313001427162118103100
52-600200002615252616610
41-7000172134289
30-80183557
Total:376889873353344443322110