HYD Nawabs Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Madras Kings 82-74, playoff odds up 6 to 81%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 +8.2
+0.7
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -2.0
-0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.9
-0.1
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-9.1+9.0
-0.8+0.8
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Ruggers vs Jay-1.0+1.0
-0.2+0.2
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-0.4+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the HYD Nawabs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In1004,020
117-1In982031,173
106-2In81160030109,946
95-3100.0%3641901300220,032
84-499.33212910251010274,952
73-573.3011021113121600219,524
62-613.700805213425710109,892
51-70.91017274120331,371
40-8Out022550234,082
Total:81.0%211712812107542101,004,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -1.5
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 +0.3
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 +0.1
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs+1.6-1.5
Ruggers vs Jay+0.3-0.3
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs-0.1+0.1
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0973
117-18513200
106-24833151000300
95-392728139100121000
84-40361519109117810110
73-5001281473821101961000
62-600026001471722191362000
51-70100013918242214610
40-8002820322711
Total:101110785638473533221111000