HYD Nawabs Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Madras Kings 82-74, playoff odds up 5.7 to 79.6%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 +7.9
+0.7
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 -2.3
-0.2
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 -0.9
-0.1
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 -0.4
Nikhil 84 Kickers 74 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs-8.7+9.9
-0.7+0.8
Ruggers vs Jay-1.0+1.1
-0.2+0.2
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs+1.1-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Nikhil vs Madras Kings-0.5+0.5
Kickers vs Janet's Studs-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the HYD Nawabs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
128-0In10011,604
117-1In972092,125
106-2In77191040328,731
95-3100.0%30431211410669,934
84-499.02183011251310851,675
73-570.30182193123600693,350
62-612.700805223624500352,650
51-70.710193141162102,063
40-80.000333471713,324
Total:79.6%181613912118642103,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
HYD Nawabs 82 Madras Kings 74 -1.4
HotWings 71 Ruggers 77 +0.4
Sachu's Thugs 69 Janet's Studs 64 +0.1
Ajay M 79 Ramakrishna 98 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
HotWings vs HYD Nawabs+1.4-1.6
Ruggers vs Jay+0.3-0.3
Ajay M vs Sachu's Thugs-0.1+0.1
Nikhil vs Madras Kings+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
128-0964
117-18017200
106-24036181100400
95-3624261711110131100
84-402414171310116912110
73-5001171392720122271000
62-600016001481924201241000
51-701000141221252011310
40-80013112532227
Total:8109875638483643221110000