Fantasy Boys Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Team MVP 90-111, playoff odds down 8.5 to 14.5%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -7.1
-0.7
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +1.9
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 -1.7
-0.1
Rajesh 87 Megatron 131 -0.4
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -0.2
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-5.3+6.5
-0.6+0.7
Sashi vs Bookies-2.1+2.1
-0.1+0.1
Arjuna vs RedBulls-1.1+1.2
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+0.2-0.2
Sriram vs Rajesh-0.2+0.2
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fantasy Boys finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
98-0In15582526,703
87-199.9%122482432059,623
76-284.801174651512300243,603
65-327.1012204193019400569,536
54-42.90301103136173832,843
43-50.10004244626776,990
32-6Out033067453,579
21-7Out0793150,411
10-8Out19922,168
Total:14.5%01290258131721223,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 +1.5
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys+1.3-1.6
Sashi vs Bookies+0.1-0.1
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
98-0213292922320
87-101120173120512100
76-20011161631054121041000
65-30011210004412191912510000
54-400300013919252313410
43-500003102432247
32-6003144043
21-70011881
10-80397
Total:0001022700021344568910111313