Arjuna Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Touchdown 73-83, playoff odds down 11.1 to 41.4%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 -10.1
-0.8
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 -2.1
-0.1
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 +1.8
+0.1
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls+11.4-11.4
+0.9-0.9
Sashi vs Bookies-2.6+2.6
-0.2+0.2
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.5+0.4
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Arjuna finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
108-0In89100013,963
97-1In4242916031,227
86-299.9%428351218400109,628
75-386.5021633142311200219,202
64-427.1011818232916400275,376
53-53.10302112834203219,742
42-60.10003154041110,169
31-7Out01128731,592
20-8Out01004,093
Total:41.4%25814579111110981,004,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +1.8
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +0.2
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls-1.9+1.9
Sashi vs Bookies+0.3-0.3
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.1-0.1
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
108-053361010010
97-18342517811510
86-20452317181028103000
75-3002214151721291475100
64-400121601072815191693100
53-500300001513232519820
42-60001517333213
31-70163360
20-80991
Total:021335591425235555666654