Arjuna Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Touchdown 73-83, playoff odds down 12.4 to 39%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 -10.3
-0.8
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 -2.1
-0.1
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 +1.4
+0.1
Sriram 73 NFL48 82 +0.4
RedBulls 77 Bookies 115 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls+10.7-11.3
+0.9-0.9
Sashi vs Bookies-2.7+2.7
-0.2+0.2
NFL48 vs Fantasy Boys+0.9-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Touchdown vs Team MVP-0.4+0.3
-0.1+0.1
Optimus Prime vs Megatron+0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Arjuna finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
108-0In86130110,607
97-1In36441118085,748
86-299.8%323351420500313,917
75-384.5011333132413200655,348
64-426.8001818243115300850,624
53-53.203002133133152708,536
42-60.10005204233367,890
31-7Out021682108,461
20-8Out19914,325
Total:39.0%247145810121211983,115,456
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Arjuna 73 Touchdown 83 +1.8
Sashi 114 Optimus Prime 90 +0.2
Fantasy Boys 90 Team MVP 111 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
Arjuna vs RedBulls-1.8+1.9
Sashi vs Bookies+0.3-0.3
Touchdown vs Team MVP+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
108-04738121010
97-16312420101106100
86-20332015201228124100
75-30011121419112816852000
64-400021601072916201582000
53-5003000002717252515510
42-60000282234278
31-700193851
20-801189
Total:011325591425245666776653