"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tom 100.32 Ziyi 45 +23.3
+1.6
Justin 72.22 Bhairav 74.1 +1.8
+0.1
Jesse 78.46 Jeffrey 69.18 +1.5
+0.1
Adam 93.22 Jack 58.24 -1.4
-0.1
Anand 76.6 Bryan 32.7 +0.7
+0.1
Tony 109.48 Simon 52.34 +0.7
David 76.82 Jon 66.28 -0.1
Week of 11/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jeffrey 112.96 Tom 86.92 -23.9
-1.6
Jack 63.56 Justin 110.76 -1.5
-0.2
Simon 68.28 Bhairav 97 +1.2
+0.1
Ziyi 100.82 Tony 83.04 -0.9
Anand 99.1 David 97.14 +0.7
+0.1
Jon 73.62 Adam 58.82 +0.7
+0.1
Bryan 67.9 Jesse 59.88 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tom vs Bryan+44.0-43.9
+2.0-2.0
Tony vs Jeffrey+3.1-3.1
Jesse vs David+2.4-2.4
+0.2-0.2
Adam vs Anand-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Justin vs Jon+0.7-0.7
Ziyi vs Simon-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tom finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567891011121314Count
71-098.9%421362810110,284,756
60-111.002816252816310,287,584
Total:54.9%21118159913148220,572,340
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs