PSG Title Chances Season2 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 1.1 to 5.8%
6 points 2-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -1.0 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.4 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -3.0-1.0+3.5 | -3.0-1.0+3.5 | +5.6+0.7-5.9 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | -0.7-0.3+0.9 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| PSG vs Liverpool | +3.5-1.1-2.9 | +3.5-1.1-2.9 | -5.9+0.7+5.6 | +0.7-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | +1.0-0.2-1.0 | |||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.8-0.3+0.9 | |||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | -0.2+0.3+0.1 | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.8-0.4-0.6 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the PSG finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 44 | -48 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 3,572 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.5 | % | 99.5 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 2,343 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98.6 | 98.6 | 99 | 1 | No | 3,541 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.2 | 98.2 | 98 | 2 | No | 7,101 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 95.8 | 95.8 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 15,742 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 92.5 | 92.5 | 92 | 7 | 0 | No | 22,420 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 88.1 | 88.1 | 88 | 12 | 0 | No | 40,433 | * | |||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 79.6 | 79.6 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 67,939 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 70.3 | 70.3 | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 92,269 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 57.8 | 57.8 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 144,535 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 42.8 | 42.8 | 43 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 202,607 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 29.1 | 29.1 | 29 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 256,374 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 17 | 48 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 349,986 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 6 | 34 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 232,220 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 198,857 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 388,719 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 21 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,573 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 465,561 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 137,209 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 339,948 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 325,017 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 699,938 | * | ||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 545,114 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 208,709 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 407,603 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 335,603 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 705,521 | * | ||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | 465,513 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 209,464 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 9.8 | 338,953 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 12.9 | 256,999 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 25.2 | 388,085 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 2 | 24.7 | 120,586 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 8 | 46.0 | 291,986 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 34 | 5 | 39.3 | 139,846 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 47 | 14 | 60.9 | 195,117 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 17 | 65.2 | 144,144 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 26 | 77.6 | 254,318 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 88.2 | 190,042 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 40 | 54 | 94.4 | 129,507 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 97.6 | 84,366 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 99.1 | 53,720 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 85 | 99.7 | 30,953 | * | ||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.9 | 16,634 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 8,464 | * | |||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 4,037 | * | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,544 | * | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 587 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 186 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,435 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.8 | % | 5.8 | % | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 13.6 | % | 9,637,940 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
