PSG Title Chances Season2
Did not play, title odds down 0.6 to 0.6%
6 points 2-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.6 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.6 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.3-0.1+0.7 | -0.3-0.1+0.7 | +3.0-0.5-5.2 | -0.4+0.0+0.7 | ||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | -0.8+0.1+1.8 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -1.0*+0.0+2.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | -4.8+0.1+3.7 | +0.6-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | +2.0+0.2-0.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -1.0*+0.0+2.1 | |||||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.8-0.2-0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the PSG finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 48 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 7,198 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.7 | % | 98.7 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 77 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.9 | 98.9 | 99 | 1 | No | 175 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.1 | 97.1 | 97 | 3 | No | 275 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 92.5 | 92.5 | 93 | 8 | No | 1,400 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 87.0 | 87.0 | 87 | 13 | No | 2,202 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81.7 | 81.7 | 82 | 18 | 0 | No | 4,926 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71.6 | 71.6 | 72 | 28 | 0 | No | 12,338 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 61 | 37 | 1 | No | 19,261 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 0 | No | 37,765 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 35.6 | 35.6 | 36 | 57 | 7 | 0 | No | 71,771 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25.3 | 25.3 | 25 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 104,384 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15 | 60 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 180,643 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 281,777 | * | ||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 40 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 385,269 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 26 | 48 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 577,822 | * | |||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 788,541 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 980,795 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,298,719 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 802,659 | * | |||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 756,460 | ||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 5 | 0 | No | 1,772,705 | * | |||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,537,526 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | No | 528,890 | * | ||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,165,860 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 47 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,050,678 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,741,329 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 524,310 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 1,666,228 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 0.2 | 676,044 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 55 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 1,224,337 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 55 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1.6 | 1,006,184 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | 2,034,843 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 9.9 | 1,295,006 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 43 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 7.8 | 564,259 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 17.2 | 864,505 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 19 | 1 | 19.5 | 693,175 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 17 | 52 | 28 | 2 | 30.2 | 1,250,802 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 46 | 41 | 4 | 44.8 | 995,827 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 36 | 51 | 9 | 60.1 | 724,333 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 25 | 57 | 16 | 73.6 | 497,213 | * | |||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 15 | 59 | 26 | 84.7 | 338,961 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 92.2 | 207,219 | * | ||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 45 | 51 | 96.5 | 116,417 | * | ||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 35 | 64 | 98.7 | 64,740 | * | ||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 25 | 75 | 99.6 | 31,414 | * | |||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 16 | 84 | 99.9 | 12,511 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | 4,940 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 1,658 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,449 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.6 | % | 0.6 | % | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 10.1 | % | 28,913,820 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
