Manchester City Title Chances Season2 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 2.1 to 14.3%
9 points 3-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -0.5 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | +6.2-1.7-5.4 | +6.2-1.7-5.4 | -2.9+0.1+2.8 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.8+0.4+0.6 | -0.8+0.4+0.6 | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | -0.4-0.2+0.4 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | +6.3-1.7-5.5 | +6.3-1.7-5.5 | -2.8+0.1+2.8 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.8+0.7-2.2 | +1.8+0.7-2.2 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.7+0.3+0.5 | -0.7+0.3+0.5 | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.4+0.5-0.6 | +0.4+0.5-0.6 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 46 | -51 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 5,915 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.8 | % | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 3,658 | * | ||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | No | 7,252 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.2 | 99.2 | 99 | 1 | No | 15,767 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 98 | 2 | No | 22,406 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 97.4 | 97.4 | 97 | 3 | No | 40,156 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 94.8 | 94.8 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 68,603 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 91.5 | 91.5 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 91,909 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 86.2 | 86.2 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 143,874 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 78.2 | 78.2 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | No | 203,543 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 68.6 | 68.6 | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | No | 255,490 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 56.1 | 56.1 | 56 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 349,938 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 38.1 | 38.1 | 38 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 232,777 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 45.9 | 45.9 | 46 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 198,721 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 28 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 500,312 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 15 | 47 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 466,829 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 20 | 51 | 26 | 3 | 0 | No | 138,294 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8 | 40 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 340,188 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 6 | 34 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 326,176 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 542,973 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 157,366 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 543,565 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 207,704 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 407,289 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 334,201 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 543,884 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 163,544 | * | |||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 465,684 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 208,856 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 338,851 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 257,626 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 388,167 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 121,328 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4.5 | 290,663 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2.7 | 140,660 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 11.2 | 193,297 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 14.2 | 144,141 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 3 | 27.3 | 254,165 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 8 | 46.5 | 189,400 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 17 | 64.7 | 129,492 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 79.0 | 83,951 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 42 | 89.0 | 54,081 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 39 | 56 | 94.8 | 31,127 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 97.7 | 16,750 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.2 | 8,728 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.7 | 3,914 | * | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.8 | 1,534 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 5 | 95 | Yes | 589 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 185 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,417 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 14.3 | % | 14.3 | % | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5.0 | % | 9,637,940 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
