Manchester City Title Chances Season2
Did not play, title odds down 6.3 to 8%
9 points 3-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +1.3 | +1.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | +2.7-1.9-3.7 | +2.7-1.9-3.7 | -0.4+0.1+0.8 | +0.4-0.2-0.6 | ||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | +3.3-1.6-3.7 | +3.3-1.6-3.7 | -0.4+0.0+0.6 | +0.5-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +3.0+1.3-1.6 | +3.0+1.3-1.6 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | |||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 51 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 7,440 | ||||||||||||||
| 49 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 1,632 | |||||||||||
| 48 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 3,153 | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 5,161 | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.0 | 98.0 | 98 | 2 | No | 18,714 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 96.0 | 96.0 | 96 | 4 | No | 27,364 | * | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 93.9 | 93.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 52,647 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 87.8 | 87.8 | 88 | 12 | 0 | No | 109,982 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 82.2 | 82.2 | 82 | 18 | 0 | No | 148,531 | * | |||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 74.5 | 74.5 | 74 | 25 | 0 | No | 258,269 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 63.2 | 63.2 | 63 | 36 | 1 | 0 | No | 405,295 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 53.4 | 53.4 | 53 | 45 | 1 | 0 | No | 521,159 | * | ||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 42 | 55 | 3 | 0 | No | 772,529 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 29.7 | 29.7 | 30 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,016,708 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,216,778 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12 | 63 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,558,211 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5 | 51 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 916,098 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 57 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 878,196 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 42 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,960,118 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 26 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,655,371 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1 | 33 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 548,730 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 18 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,213,054 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,042,909 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,736,638 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 497,058 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,544,010 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 672,812 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,246,767 | * | ||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 780,151 | |||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,797,905 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,042,674 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 541,294 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 768,438 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 47 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 520,775 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,018,547 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 789,658 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 51 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 570,572 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 4.3 | 394,559 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 39 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 10.2 | 267,865 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 52 | 19 | 1 | 19.8 | 166,745 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 1 | 16 | 51 | 31 | 2 | 32.7 | 99,103 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 6 | 48.0 | 57,400 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 34 | 51 | 11 | 62.6 | 29,912 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 1 | 23 | 57 | 19 | 75.8 | 14,675 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 14 | 56 | 30 | 86.2 | 6,836 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 49 | 44 | 93.3 | 2,757 | * | ||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 3 | 41 | 56 | 96.8 | 1,007 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 2 | 28 | 70 | 97.9 | 336 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 19 | 81 | Yes | 81 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | 7,196 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 8.0 | % | 8.0 | % | 8 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | % | 28,913,820 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
