FC Bayern Title Chances Season2 50/50
Beat Arsenal 6-2, title odds up 1.8 to 7.7%
7 points 2-1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -1.0 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | +3.8-1.3-3.2 | +3.8-1.3-3.2 | -5.3*-0.0+5.4 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | |||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -3.7-1.3+4.3 | -3.7-1.3+4.3 | +4.5+0.4-4.7 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.2+0.4-1.4 | +1.2+0.4-1.4 | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | +0.2+0.3-0.3 | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | |||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.6-0.3+0.7 | |||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.6-0.3-0.4 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FC Bayern finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 45 | -49 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 3,596 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | % | 99.6 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 2,386 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 99.1 | 99 | 1 | No | 3,548 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.8 | 97.8 | 98 | 2 | No | 6,932 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 96.1 | 96.1 | 96 | 4 | No | 15,706 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 93.7 | 93.7 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 22,455 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 90.0 | 90.0 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 40,720 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 84.2 | 84.2 | 84 | 16 | 0 | No | 68,352 | * | |||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 76.8 | 76.8 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 92,054 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 66.4 | 66.4 | 66 | 32 | 2 | 0 | No | 143,971 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 53.7 | 53.7 | 54 | 41 | 5 | 0 | No | 202,699 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 40.8 | 40.8 | 41 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 256,227 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 27.1 | 27.1 | 27 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 0 | No | 348,589 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 13 | 46 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 233,675 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 18 | 50 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 199,211 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7 | 37 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 499,908 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 465,533 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3 | 28 | 45 | 21 | 3 | 0 | No | 137,090 | * | |||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 340,664 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 325,783 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 543,753 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,042 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 544,248 | |||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 208,525 | * | |||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 407,456 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 333,998 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 544,437 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 163,977 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 464,747 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 209,465 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2.6 | 363,131 | * | ||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4.7 | 233,625 | * | ||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 11.4 | 508,305 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 28.2 | 291,865 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 2 | 21.7 | 139,896 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 42.9 | 193,848 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 48.6 | 144,100 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 16 | 64.3 | 253,466 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 29 | 79.7 | 189,565 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 89.8 | 129,745 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 37 | 58 | 95.5 | 84,068 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 72 | 98.3 | 53,853 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 18 | 82 | 99.5 | 30,877 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.8 | 16,635 | * | |||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 8,588 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 3,953 | * | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,475 | * | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 585 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 191 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,422 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7.7 | % | 7.7 | % | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 10.1 | % | 9,637,940 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
