FC Bayern Title Chances Season2Beat Arsenal 6-2, title odds up 2.3 to 3.8% 7 points 2-1-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed | Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | -0.6 | | | | Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | +0.4 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | FC Bayern vs Tottenham | +1.4-1.2-2.1 | | +1.4-1.2-2.1 | | -1.1+0.2+2.2 | | +0.4-0.2-0.6 | | Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | | -0.2*+0.0+0.4 | | | | Manchester City vs PSG | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed | Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -1.8-0.5+2.8 | | -1.8-0.5+2.8 | | +0.8-0.1-1.1 | | -0.5-0.0+0.6 | | Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.7+0.7-0.9 | | +1.7+0.7-0.9 | | +0.4+0.0-0.2 | | | | PSG vs Liverpool | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.4 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | | | | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the FC Bayern finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,443 | | 47 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.9 | | 98.9 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,646 | | 46 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 96.1 | | 96.1 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,994 | | 45 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 95.1 | | 95.1 | | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | No | 4,975 | | 44 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 89.6 | | 89.6 | | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | No | 18,606 | | 43 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 83.8 | | 83.8 | | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 26,963 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 79.1 | | 79.1 | | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 52,414 | | 41 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 69.0 | | 69.0 | | 69 | 31 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 109,768 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 60.1 | | 60.1 | | 60 | 39 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 149,893 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50.1 | | 50.1 | | 50 | 48 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 260,627 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 38.3 | | 38.3 | | 38 | 58 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 408,664 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 28.6 | | 28.6 | | 29 | 63 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 528,895 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 18.9 | | 18.9 | | 19 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 783,917 | * | 35 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 11.0 | | 11.0 | | 11 | 62 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,029,627 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5.8 | | 5.8 | | 6 | 53 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 1,235,826 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 2.4 | | 2.4 | | 2 | 40 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 1,580,401 | * | 32 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.6 | | 0.6 | | 1 | 23 | 48 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 954,553 | * | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.0 | | 1.0 | | 1 | 30 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 867,853 | | 31 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,555,216 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 14 | 43 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 429,977 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 1,670,951 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 9 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 555,853 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | No | 1,226,822 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | No | 1,048,969 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 2,245,726 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 1,541,938 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | 0 | 5 | 29 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 677,730 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 1,168,620 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 856,440 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,787,176 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 1,027,959 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 48 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 537,906 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 8 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 756,996 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 44 | 10 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 508,729 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 50 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | | 995,803 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | | 764,989 | * | 20 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 9.8 | | 546,354 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 50 | 19 | 1 | 19.6 | | 376,363 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 31 | 3 | 33.7 | | 251,944 | * | 17 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 42 | 44 | 6 | 50.2 | | 155,882 | * | 16 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 30 | 53 | 13 | 66.4 | | 92,043 | * | 15 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 24 | 79.9 | | 51,976 | * | 14 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 53 | 37 | 89.8 | | 26,668 | * | 13 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 44 | 51 | 95.6 | | 12,957 | * | 12 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 33 | 65 | 98.5 | | 6,015 | * | 11 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.5 | | 2,420 | * | 10 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | 99.9 | | 785 | * | 9 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 284 | | 8 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 65 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,199 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.8 | % | 3.8 | % | 4 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | % | 28,913,820 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |